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     <title>RAND Research Topic: Modeling and Simulation</title>
     <link rel="self" href="http://www.rand.org/topics/modeling-and-simulation.xml"/>
     <updated>2012-05-24T21:00:12Z</updated>
     <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" hreflang="en" href="http://www.rand.org/topics/modeling-and-simulation.html" />
     <rights>Copyright (c) 2012, The RAND Corporation</rights>
     <author>
       <name>RAND Corporation</name>
     </author>
     <id>http://www.rand.org/topics/modeling-and-simulation.html</id>
	 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Understanding Preferences Through Choice Modeling and Valuation </title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/randeurope/research/modelling.html</id>
   <published>Jul 14, 2010</published>
   <updated>Jul 14, 2010</updated>
   <summary type="html">RAND Europe&apos;s &quot;Choice Modelling and Valuation&quot; group provides specific expertise in using discrete choice modeling methods to understand and predict choice behavior as a result of policy intervention. This work is frequently undertaken in the transport sector, but expertise is increasingly applied in sectors including health and social care, post and communications, and provision of regulated consumer services.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/randeurope/research/modelling.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Toward Affordable Systems III: Portfolio Management for Army Engineering and Manufacturing Development Programs</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1187.html</id>
   <published>May 8, 2012</published>
   <updated>May 8, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Together this and two companion monographs demonstrate a method, model, and simulation that the U.S. Army can use to analyze and manage portfolios at any stage of the research and development process. This monograph expands and applies RAND&apos;s portfolio analysis and management (PortMan) method to address the problem of selecting Army engineering and manufacturing development projects in order to develop affordable systems.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1187.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Cost-effectiveness Analysis of Interferon Beta-1b for the Treatment of Patients with a First Clinical Event Suggestive of Multiple Sclerosis</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP201200110.html</id>
   <published>May 1, 2012</published>
   <updated>May 1, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">This study assesses, from a Swedish societal perspective, the cost effectiveness of interferon &#946;-1b (IFNB-1b) after an initial clinical event suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS) (ie, early treatment) compared with treatment after onset of clinically definite MS (CDMS) (ie, delayed treatment).</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP201200110.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Assessing the Benefits of U.S. Customs and Border Protection Regulatory Actions to Reduce Terrorism Risks</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/conf_proceedings/CF301.html</id>
   <published>Apr 16, 2012</published>
   <updated>Apr 16, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">This document distills and synthesizes the proceedings of a workshop in which experts in the field of regulatory analysis and terrorism risk examined alternative approaches for estimating the benefits of regulations designed to reduce the risks of terrorist attacks in the United States. The workshop gave rise to several recommendations for improving the modeling and data collection that support the benefit-cost analysis of terrorism security regulations.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/conf_proceedings/CF301.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Qatar&apos;s School Transportation System: Supporting Safety, Efficiency, and Service Quality (Arabic-language version)</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1136z1.html</id>
   <published>Mar 28, 2012</published>
   <updated>Mar 28, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">In consideration of the many challenges associated with Qatar&apos;s continued growth and demographic changes, the government of Qatar is interested in updating its school transportation system (STS). This volume assesses parents&apos; and school administrators&apos; perspectives on Qatar&apos;s STS, identifies a vision and goals for the STS, and discusses strategies to achieve the vision and better align Qatar&apos;s STS with international norms. This is the Arabic-language version.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1136z1.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Using Pattern Analysis and Systematic Randomness to Allocate U.S. Border Security Resources</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1211.html</id>
   <published>Mar 27, 2012</published>
   <updated>Mar 27, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Pattern and trend analysis and systematic randomness can be used to position U.S. border security personnel and equipment effectively for interdiction, and in some circumstances the combined approach is competitive with perfect surveillance.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1211.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">RAND Corporation, Risk Management Solutions Launch New Company to Develop Liability Insurance Tools</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/03/14.html</id>
   <published>Mar 14, 2012</published>
   <updated>Mar 14, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">The RAND Corporation, Risk Management Solutions, Inc. (RMS) and private investors have launched a company named Praedicat, Inc., that will provide consulting services and software to the property and casualty insurance industries.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/03/14.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Application System for Sydney Strategic Travel Model</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR949.html</id>
   <published>Mar 13, 2012</published>
   <updated>Mar 13, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">This report documents work to update the Application System of the Sydney Strategic Model (STM). The Application System implements models of frequency, mode and destination choice for each of the nine travel purposes in the STM.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR949.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Ways to Improve Health Care Provider &apos;Report Cards&apos;</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20120051.html</id>
   <published>Mar 5, 2012</published>
   <updated>Mar 5, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">As health care reform expands the use of &quot;report cards&quot; to grade health care providers, greater attention to reporting methods may be needed to assure the quality of such efforts.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20120051.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Development of a Prognostic Model for Six-Month Mortality in Older Adults with Declining Health</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20120057.html</id>
   <published>Mar 1, 2012</published>
   <updated>Mar 1, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">This study seeks to develop a new prognostic model, the Patient-Reported Outcome Mortality Prediction Tool (PROMPT), for six-month mortality in community-dwelling elderly patients.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20120057.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">A Vision for Qatar&apos;s School Transportation System</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1136.html</id>
   <published>Feb 21, 2012</published>
   <updated>Feb 21, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Considering the challenges associated with continued growth and demographic changes, the government of Qatar is interested in updating its school transportation system (STS). This volume assesses the perspectives of parents and school administrators, identifies a vision for the STS, and discusses strategies to achieve it. </summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG1136.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Ending Individual Mandate Would Cut Health Coverage, but Not Dramatically Hike Insurance Price</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1221.html</id>
   <published>Feb 15, 2012</published>
   <updated>Feb 15, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Eliminating a key part of health care reform that requires all Americans to have health insurance would sharply lower the number of people gaining coverage, but would not dramatically increase the cost of buying policies through new insurance exchanges.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1221.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">How Would Eliminating the Individual Mandate Affect Health Coverage and Premium Costs?</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9646.html</id>
   <published>Feb 15, 2012</published>
   <updated>Feb 15, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">An analysis of the effects of implementing the Affordable Care Act without an individual mandate found that over 12 million people who would have otherwise signed up for coverage will be uninsured and premium prices will increase by 2.4 percent.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9646.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Ending Individual Mandate Would Cut Health Coverage, but Not Dramatically Hike Insurance Price</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/02/16.html</id>
   <published>Feb 15, 2012</published>
   <updated>Feb 15, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Eliminating a key part of health care reform that requires all Americans to have health insurance would sharply lower the number of people gaining coverage, but would not dramatically increase the cost of buying policies through new insurance exchanges.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/news/press/2012/02/16.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Updating Qatar&apos;s School Transportation System</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9642.html</id>
   <published>Feb 13, 2012</published>
   <updated>Feb 13, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Describes a vision for updating Qatar&apos;s school transportation system and identifies strategies for achieving the proposed vision.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9642.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Extending Copenhagen&apos;s Traffic Model May Help Reduce Congestion</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/randeurope/research/projects/copenhagen-traffic-model.html</id>
   <published>Feb 9, 2012</published>
   <updated>Feb 9, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">RAND Europe is expanding the original traffic model it developed for Copenhagen to include time-of-day choice for car drivers. Doing so will allow city planners to assess the effectiveness of different charging policies aimed at reducing congestion levels.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/randeurope/research/projects/copenhagen-traffic-model.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Measuring Consumer Preferences for Postal Services in Europe</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1140.html</id>
   <published>Jan 16, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 16, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Different market segments have varying postal service needs, according to RAND Europe research conducted for the European Commission. All consumers value parcel services, reliability, and low levels of loss, but big businesses value letter services more than small or medium businesses or the public.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1140.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Sydney Strategic Model Population Synthesiser, 2006 Base</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR954.html</id>
   <published>Jan 13, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 13, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">This report documents work to update the Population Synthesiser component of the Sydney Strategic Model (STM). The Population Synthesiser generates forecasts of the future Sydney population by spatial area and socio-economic segment.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR954.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Use of Alternative Time Scales in Cox Proportional Hazard Models: Implications for Time-Varying Environmental Exposures</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP201200102.html</id>
   <published>Jan 1, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 1, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">The authors use simulation studies to examine performance (bias, mean squared error, coverage probabilities, and power) of models using all three time scales when the primary exposure of interest depends on calendar time.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP201200102.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Evidence-Based Approaches to Law Enforcement Recruitment and Hiring</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/rgs_dissertations/RGSD281.html</id>
   <published>Aug 29, 2011</published>
   <updated>Aug 29, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">The methods employed, as well as those recommended for future studies, are applicable to any law enforcement agency interested in attracting and identifying high-quality applicants more efficiently.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/rgs_dissertations/RGSD281.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
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