North Korea

North Korea, formerly designated a state sponsor of terrorism by the United States, emerged as a nuclear-armed enigma under the dictatorship of Kim-Jong Il. RAND’s research on both deterrence and failed states includes expert analysis of the North Korean regime, opportunities for its modernization and democratization, and implications for post–Cold War geopolitics.

Research conducted by: Center for Asia Pacific Policy; RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Project AIR FORCE

All Items (109)

Report

Integrating Counterproliferation into Defense Planning — Jan 1, 1997

The United States has long sought to halt the spread of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and has met with substantial success. However, the shadow of WMD is present in any crisis.

Report

Psychological Effects of U.S. Air Operations in Four Wars, 1941-1991: Lessons for U.S. Commanders — Jan 1, 1996

This report examines ways to maximize the psychological impact of U.S. air power in future conflicts.

Journal Article

Ostpolitik and Its Relevance for Inter-Korean Relations — Jan 1, 1994

The unique situation of artificial division in both Korea and Germany following World War II, and the subsequent reunification in Germany, offer the Koreans an opportunity of analyzing Germany's experiences for their own purposes.

Report

The North Korea Nuclear Program: What Is to Be Done? — Jan 1, 1994

This report examines the possible outcomes of the North Korean threat to withdraw from the NPT and outlines alternative approaches for accomplishing U.S. security objectives affected by this situation.

Report

Roles and Missions for Conventionally Armed Heavy Bombers: An Historical Perspective — Jan 1, 1994

In light of changes in the world situation and in available funds, the Air Force is assessing the roles and effectiveness of existing and planned aircraft.

Report

Stopping the North Korean Nuclear Program — Jan 1, 1993

This issue paper examines three strategies which, as of late 1993, the United States could bring to bear against the North Korean regime to discontinue this program.

Report

Designing and Evaluating Conventional Arms Control Measures: The Case of the Korean Peninsula — Jan 1, 1993

This study attempts to design and evaluate effective arms control measures in relation to specific Korean security problems and arms control objectives that the South Korean government should undertake.

Report

Worst-case planning for a nuclear-capable North Korea: implications for U.S. force deployments — Jan 1, 1993

This Paper speculates on what the author considers the likely scenario of North Korea's acquiring a rudimentary nuclear weapons capability. He proposes that such acquisition be a major regional planning assumption underpinning U.S. policy and that op...

Report

Background and Options for Nuclear Arms Control on the Korean Peninsula — Jan 1, 1992

The threat posed by North Korea's nuclear weapons development program could significantly increase tensions in Northeast Asia. This Note presents four options for achieving a nuclear-free Korea.

Report

North Korea in the 1990s: Implications for the Future of the U.S.-South Korea Security Alliance — Jan 1, 1992

Assesses the implications of change for North Korea, the U.S.-South Korea security alliance, and the stability of Northeast Asia.

Report

Command and Control of Joint Air Operations: Some Lessons Learned from Four Case Studies of an Enduring Issue — Jan 1, 1991

Examines the achievement of the principle of unity of effort from a narrow focus on the command and control of U.S. joint tactical air operations in four campaigns (Midway, the Solomons, Korea, and Vietnam) from 1942 to 1968...

Report

North Korea's Response to the World: Is the Door Ajar? — Jan 1, 1990

The hard-line communist leadership in North Korea may be forced to change in response to far-reaching reforms in the rest of the communist world.

Report

Trends on the Korean peninsula and Soviet policy toward Korea: implications for U.S.-Japan relations — Jan 1, 1988

Three recent developments on the Korean Peninsula are noteworthy: South Korea's successful transition to a more democratic government, South Korea's continuing strong economy, and North Korea's growing domestic and foreign policy difficulties. For th...

Report

Leadership Change in North Korean Politics: The Succession to Kim Il Sung — Jan 1, 1988

This report examines the prospects of the political leadership of North Korea passing from Supreme Leader Kim Il Sung to his son Kim Jong Il.

Research Brief

The Changing Balance in the Military Competition Between South and North Korea — Jan 1, 1986

This research brief summarizes analysis on military competition between South and North Korea contained in the RAND Corporation report, "The Changing Balance: South and North Korean Capabilities for Long-Term Military Competition" (R-3305/1-NA).

Report

Casualties, Public Opinion, and Presidential Policy During the Vietnam War — Jan 1, 1985

Examines the relationship between U.S. casualties and public support for U.S. military intervention in Korea and Vietnam, and concludes that a strong inverse relationship existed between the two.

Report

The Political and Social Capabilities of North and South Korea for the Long-Term Military Competition — Jan 1, 1985

This report assesses the sociopolitical capabilities of South and North Korea to maintain their military competition through the 1980s.

Report

The Changing Balance: South and North Korean Capabilities for Long-Term Military Competition — Jan 1, 1985

This report has two principal purposes: to analyze South Korea's economic, technological, and political-social capabilities for long-term competition with North Korea, and to evaluate the relative capabilities of the two sides.

Report

The Future of Soviet-North Korean Relations — Jan 1, 1984

Examines factors that have influenced the Soviet relationship with North Korea to the present time, and evaluates the prospects for this relationship over the next decade.

Report

Management and Decisionmaking in the North Korean Economy — Jan 1, 1982

This study examines the implications of North Korea's broad approach to decisionmaking and the management of its economy for its ability to sustain a high level of military effort over the next five to seven years.

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