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     <title>RAND Research Topic: Robust Decision Making</title>
     <link rel="self" href="http://www.rand.org/topics/robust-decision-making.xml"/>
     <updated>2012-05-24T21:13:56Z</updated>
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     <rights>Copyright (c) 2012, The RAND Corporation</rights>
     <author>
       <name>RAND Corporation</name>
     </author>
     <id>http://www.rand.org/topics/robust-decision-making.html</id>
	 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Recrafting Scenario Practice to Achieve Robust Long-Term Decisions</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20120085.html</id>
   <published>Feb 1, 2012</published>
   <updated>Feb 1, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Freight transport is a rapidly expanding and changing economic sector.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20120085.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Reconsidering California Transport Policies: Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions in an Uncertain Future</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/rgs_dissertations/RGSD292.html</id>
   <published>Jan 20, 2012</published>
   <updated>Jan 20, 2012</updated>
   <summary type="html">Applies robust decision methods to evaluate California&apos;s transportation policies that considers multiple views of the future, and identifies strategies that consistently reduce emissions at acceptable costs regardless of future conditions.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/rgs_dissertations/RGSD292.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">California&apos;s Water Challenges</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/multimedia/audio/2011/10/25/californias-water-challenges.html</id>
   <published>Oct 25, 2011</published>
   <updated>Oct 25, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">David Groves discusses an innovative approach to dealing with the many challenges that may contribute to sustainable and affordable solutions of long term water supplies in California.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/multimedia/audio/2011/10/25/californias-water-challenges.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Governing Geoengineering Research: A Political and Technical Vulnerability Analysis of Potential Near-Term Options</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR846.html</id>
   <published>Apr 19, 2011</published>
   <updated>Apr 19, 2011</updated>
   <summary type="html">Geoengineering is risky, but could transform the portfolio of options for limiting future climate change. Some geoengineering approaches could prove fast acting and inexpensive and could be deployed by one or a few nations without global cooperation.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR846.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Robust Decision Making</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/multimedia/video/2010/04/2/robust_decision_making.html</id>
   <published>Apr 1, 2010</published>
   <updated>Apr 1, 2010</updated>
   <summary type="html">Robert Lempert, Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition, highlights the Robust Decision Making (RDM) method and presents an example of how RDM allowed a municipal water utility to revise their long term plans while still considering climate change.
</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/multimedia/video/2010/04/2/robust_decision_making.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Sustainable Digital Preservation of Scholarly Publications</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR510.html</id>
   <published>Nov 6, 2007</published>
   <updated>Nov 6, 2007</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;The digital revolution has fundamentally modified the way that research results are circulated, reviewed, accessed and preserved. Established models of market dynamics and stewardship need to be rethought and part of the responsibilities of national libraries redefined. &lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR510.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Despite Deep Scientific Uncertainty, Long-Term Problems Can Be Tackled</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9186.html</id>
   <published>Jun 22, 2006</published>
   <updated>Jun 22, 2006</updated>
   <summary type="html">This research brief describes an analytical approach developed by RAND to manage scientific uncertainty, which involves the use of computer programs to frame strategies that will work well across a wide range of plausible futures.</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9186.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Success Matters: Recasting the Relationship Among Geophysical, Biological, and Behavioral Scientists to Support Decision Making on Major Environmental Challenges</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20060328.html</id>
   <published>Dec 31, 2005</published>
   <updated>Dec 31, 2005</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;A potentially rich vein of transdiciplinary research is to integrate the psychology of decision making, known as judgment and decision making, of JDM, with the development of technical information and decision support tools for complex, long-term environmental problems.&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20060328.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Shaping the Future</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20050415.html</id>
   <published>Dec 31, 2004</published>
   <updated>Dec 31, 2004</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;The authors have developed an alternative framework focused on flexibility--finding, testing and implementing policies that work well no matter what happens.&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20050415.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">A New Decision Sciences for Complex Systems</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20020514.html</id>
   <published>Dec 31, 2001</published>
   <updated>Dec 31, 2001</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;This article describes Computer-Assisted Reasoning, an approach to decision-making under conditions of deep uncertainty that is ideally suited to applying complex systems to policy analysis.&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20020514.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Confronting Surprise</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20021201.html</id>
   <published>Dec 31, 2001</published>
   <updated>Dec 31, 2001</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;The authors demonstrate, using the example of planning for long-term global sustainability, how RAP methods may offer greater insight into the vulnerabilities inherent in several types of surprises and enhance decision makers&apos; ability to construct strategies that will mitigate or minimize the effects of surprise.&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20021201.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Climate-change Strategy Needs to Be Robust</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20010719.html</id>
   <published>Dec 31, 2000</published>
   <updated>Dec 31, 2000</updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;Decision-makers need to develop a climate policy acceptable to groups with many different estimates of the likelihood of alternative futures, and may tend to rely on strategies that work reasonably well instead of alternatives across a wide range of plausible scenarios. The authors agreed with a recommendation for use of ensembles of multiple scenarios to capture what is known about the long-term climate future.&lt;/p&gt;</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP20010719.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Sandra H. Berry</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/about/people/b/berry_sandra_h.html</id>
   <published></published>
   <updated></updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;em&gt;Senior Behavioral Scientist; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;M.A. in sociology, University of California, Los Angeles</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/b/berry_sandra_h.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Evan Bloom</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/about/people/b/bloom_evan.html</id>
   <published></published>
   <updated></updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;em&gt;Assistant Policy Analyst&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;Ph.D. candidate in policy analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School; B.S. in management science, University of California San Diego</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/b/bloom_evan.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">David G. Groves</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/about/people/g/groves_david.html</id>
   <published></published>
   <updated></updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;em&gt;Policy Researcher; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;Ph.D. in policy analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School; M.S. in atmospheric sciences, University of Washington; M.S. in earth systems, B.S. in geological and environmental sciences, Stanford University</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/g/groves_david.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Andrew Hackbarth</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/about/people/h/hackbarth_andrew.html</id>
   <published></published>
   <updated></updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;em&gt;Assistant Policy Analyst&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;M.Phil. (Ph.D. candidate) in policy analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School; B.A. in applied mathematics, Harvard University</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/h/hackbarth_andrew.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">David R Johnson</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/about/people/j/johnson_david_r.html</id>
   <published></published>
   <updated></updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;em&gt;Assistant Policy Analyst&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;Ph.D. candidate in policy analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School; M.S. in mathematics, University of Cambridge; B.S. in mathematics, North Carolina State University</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/j/johnson_david_r.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Nidhi Kalra</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/about/people/k/kalra_nidhi.html</id>
   <published></published>
   <updated></updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;em&gt;Information Scientist&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;Ph.D. and M.S. in robotics, Carnegie Mellon University; B.S. in computer science, Cornell University</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/k/kalra_nidhi.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Robert J. Lempert</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/about/people/l/lempert_robert_j.html</id>
   <published></published>
   <updated></updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;em&gt;Director, Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;Ph.D. in applied physics, S.M. in applied physics and science policy, Harvard University; B.A.S. in physics and political science, Stanford University</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/l/lempert_robert_j.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
 <entry>
   <title type="html">Elvira N. Loredo</title>
   <id>http://www.rand.org/about/people/l/loredo_elvira_n.html</id>
   <published></published>
   <updated></updated>
   <summary type="html">&lt;em&gt;Operations Researcher; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;Ph.D. in industrial engineering, Arizona State University; M.S. in management science, University of Miami; B.S. in systems analysis, University of Miami</summary>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/xhtml" hreflang="en" title="Read More" href="http://www.rand.org/about/people/l/loredo_elvira_n.html" />
   
 </entry>
 
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