Terrorism and Homeland Security

RAND is a world leader in research on terrorism, counterterrorism, counterinsurgency, disaster management, and homeland security—topics that affect a wide variety of policy areas and challenge individuals and nations worldwide. As a public service, RAND disseminates all its unclassified research online or in printed documents.

Research conducted by: Homeland Security and Defense Center; RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment; RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Project AIR FORCE; RAND Europe; RAND Arroyo Center; Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy

Featured at RAND

Capabilities-Based Planning Can Enhance Energy Security at DoD Installations

Energy security strategies are needed because DoD installations rely on the U.S. commercial electricity grid which is vulnerable to disruption from natural hazards and actor-induced outages, such as physical or cyber attacks.

Reports (520)

Measuring the Effectiveness of Border Security Between Ports-of-Entry — Jul 8, 2010

Focusing on three missions—illegal drug control, counterterrorism, and illegal migration—this report recommends ways to measure performance of U.S. border-security efforts in terms of interdiction, deterrence, and exploiting networked intelligence.

Evaluating the Reliability of Emergency Response Systems for Large-Scale Incident Operations — Jun 29, 2010

This report describes a method for modeling an emergency response system; identifying how individual parts of the system might fail; and assessing the likelihood of each failure and the severity of its effects on the overall response effort.

Whither Al-Anbar Province? Five Scenarios Through 2011 — Jun 25, 2010

Presents a discussion of likely scenarios for Iraq's al-Anbar Province over the course of the next three years.

Reconstruction Under Fire: Case Studies and Further Analysis of Civil Requirements — Jun 24, 2010

Building on a framework for integrating civil and military counterinsurgency (COIN), this volume presents an approach to the civil component, illustrated with three case studies from Afghanistan, Iraq, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Counterinsurgency in Pakistan — Jun 21, 2010

The rising number of terrorist plots in the United States with links to Pakistan—most recently the failed car-bombing in New York City—is partly a result of an unsuccessful strategy by Pakistan and the U.S. to weaken the range of militant groups operating in Pakistan.

Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Detailed Counterinsurgency Case Studies — Jun 18, 2010

Narratives on the 30 most recent resolved insurgencies, covering the period 1978 to 2008, and data on 76 factors hypothesized to be related to the success of counterinsurgency forces supplement analyses of historical and contemporary insurgencies.

Hired Guns: Views About Armed Contractors in Operation Iraqi Freedom — Jun 16, 2010

While most U.S. government officials working in Iraq believe the use of armed private security contractors has been a useful strategy, many worry that the contractors have not always had a positive effect on U.S. foreign policy objectives.

Navigating the Road to Recovery: Assessment of the Coordination, Communication, and Financing of the Disaster Case Management Pilot in Louisiana — Jun 11, 2010

Researchers assessing a disaster case management pilot recommend that future efforts establish better ways to find affected residents, consider needs/vulnerabilities in planning, and ensure continuity of services before, during, and after disaster.

Building Security in the Persian Gulf — Jun 9, 2010

The U.S. must determine how best to promote long-term security and stability in the Persian Gulf region while seeking to reduce the risks and costs imposed by its role as a permanent regional power—particularly vis-à-vis Iraq's future, the role of Iran, asymmetric threats, regional tensions, and the roles of other external actors.

No Path to Glory: Deterring Homegrown Terrorism — May 26, 2010

In testimony presented before the House Homeland Security Committee, Subcommittee on Intelligence, Information Sharing and Terrorism Risk Assessment, Brian Michael Jenkins asserts that applying the law can counter the individualistic quality of radicalization and recruitment to jihadist terrorism in the United States.

Pakistan: Can the United States Secure an Insecure State? — May 19, 2010

The ability of the United States to forge a broad yet effective relationship with Pakistan depends on likely developments in its internal and external security environment over the coming decade as well as Pakistan's national will and capacity to solve its problems.

CT Course Brochure — May 10, 2010

This brochure describes "Terrorism and U.S. Counterterrorism in the Post-9/11 Era", a three-day course hosted by RAND to be held in Arlington, VA on July 12--14, 2010.

Would-Be Warriors: Incidents of Jihadist Terrorist Radicalization in the United States Since September 11, 2001 — May 5, 2010

Effective intelligence gathering and a Muslim community unsympathetic to calls to violence have discouraged homegrown jihadist terrorism in the U.S. While there was a spike in domestic terrorism in 2009, the perpetrators were mostly individuals who recruited themselves into the role of terrorists.

Conflict in Yemen Fueled by Tribalism, Religious Conflicts — May 3, 2010

Armed conflict between the government of Yemen and an opposition movement in the nation's north—consisting of groups of its citizens known as Huthis— has spilled across its borders into Saudi Arabia, posing a potential threat to U.S. interests.

How Insurgencies End – Key Indicators, Tipping Points, and Strategy — Apr 22, 2010

From the lessons of the Vietnam War to the recent downfall of the Tamil Tigers in Southeast Asia, conflicts between insurgencies and governments tend to follow certain patterns as they arc toward their endings. This planning framework for both policymakers and strategists will help design counterinsurgency campaigns and mitigate the kind of false expectations at work in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Managing New Orleans Flood Risk in an Uncertain Future Using Non-Structural Risk Mitigation — Apr 20, 2010

Considers proposals to augment the existing flood-damage protection system in New Orleans with ''nonstructural'' risk mitigation programs focused on single-family homes.

EU Civilian Crisis Management: The Record So Far — Apr 19, 2010

For a decade, the European Union has been developing civilian capabilities for international reconstruction efforts in fragile and war-torn states. As the U.S. builds up its own civilian capabilities, it will be important to understand the EU's valuable civilian contributions and why it is not living up to its potential.

Bridging the Gap: Developing a Tool to Support Local Civilian and Military Disaster Preparedness — Apr 12, 2010

This report describes the current policy context for domestic all-hazards risk-informed capabilities-based planning by local military and civilian authorities and provides a framework for a local planning support tool for their use.

Chaos or Control? — Mar 11, 2010

What is the role of government in a borderless internet world? RAND Europe assesses the implications for policy makers.

Reform or Radicalisation? — Mar 11, 2010

Is prison a training ground for extremists? RAND Europe explores radicalisation and recruitment in European prisons.

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