Terrorism and Homeland Security

RAND is a world leader in research on terrorism, counterterrorism, counterinsurgency, disaster management, and homeland security—topics that affect a wide variety of policy areas and challenge individuals and nations worldwide. As a public service, RAND disseminates all its unclassified research online or in printed documents.

Research conducted by: Homeland Security and Defense Center; RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment; RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Project AIR FORCE; RAND Europe; RAND Arroyo Center; Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy

Featured at RAND

Capabilities-Based Planning Can Enhance Energy Security at DoD Installations

Energy security strategies are needed because DoD installations rely on the U.S. commercial electricity grid which is vulnerable to disruption from natural hazards and actor-induced outages, such as physical or cyber attacks.

Reports (521)

Unfolding the Future of the Long War: Motivations, Prospects, and Implications for the U.S. Army — Nov 29, 2008

Explores the concept of the long war and identifies ways in which it might unfold as well as the implications for the Army and the U.S. military more generally.

Pennsylvania's Rail System Will Require Collaborative Approach to Improve Safety and Security — Nov 24, 2008

Pennsylvania leaders have an active role to play in coordinating public and private efforts to improve the safety and security of Pennsylvania's extensive and complex railroad system.

Producing Liquid Fuels from Coal: Prospects and Policy Issues — Nov 17, 2008

Government actions to gain early experience in producing liquid fuels from coal offer major energy security benefits but also raise important economic, governance, and environmental issues, as addressed in this book.

While China's Regional Influence Grows, U.S. Remains Key Security and Economic Partner in East Asia — Nov 17, 2008

China is not eroding the foundations of U.S. alliances in East Asia and the United States remains the security partner of choice in the region. But consistent U.S. efforts are needed to ensure that the nation retains its influence.

Rethinking the Reserves — Nov 11, 2008

Given the changed threat environment and utilization pattern, presents perspectives for rethinking the Reserve Component of the armed forces, the level of commitment expected from its members, what roles are assigned to them, and their compensation.

Lessons from Six Decades of Research on Deterrence, From Cold War to Long War — Oct 30, 2008

The United States' 2006 reversal of its 2002 proclamation that deterrence was irrelevant to most future national security strategies is bolstered by research which shows that deterrence will likely play an ongoing role in U.S. efforts to manage a variety of threats, including both near-peer competitors and terrorist organizations.

Easing Restrictions on Deliveries to Postal Mailboxes Could Hurt Efforts to Keep Mail Safe — Oct 23, 2008

Allowing private courier services to deliver items into mailboxes could hamper efforts by the U.S. Postal Service to safeguard the nation's mail. Although the impact of such a change is likely to be moderate, it could diminish public safety and security by diluting the effectiveness of the U.S. Postal Inspection Service.

Should the United States Establish a Dedicated Domestic Intelligence Agency for Counterterrorism? — Oct 22, 2008

In the wake of 9/11, Congress directed the Department of Homeland Security to evaluate whether the U.S. needs a dedicated domestic intelligence agency, separate from law enforcement, to deter terrorism. DHS asked RAND not to offer specific recommendations, but to make clear what should be considered in the creation of such an agency.

New Book Provides Unique View Into Mind of Fanatical Jihadists — Oct 15, 2008

David Aaron, a veteran U.S. diplomat and director of the RAND Center for Middle East Public Policy, has compiled a wide range of writings by Islamic terrorists that offer an unusual window into their mentality. The book, "In Their Own Words: Voices of Jihad," is a virtual encyclopedia of jihadist rhetoric written by the terrorists themselves.

Recommended Infrastructure Standards for Mass Antibiotic Dispensing — Oct 10, 2008

In order to ensure that the U.S. government is able to dispense antibiotics and other life-saving medical countermeasures to large populations under short timelines in the case of a large-scale public health emergency, this report recommends standards for points of dispensing that are designed to apply to widely divergent jurisdictions.

Political Reform in the Arab World is a Mixed Bag in Confronting Terrorism — Sep 24, 2008

Democratic political reforms can marginalize extremists and undermine support for political violence, but cosmetic reforms and backtracking on democratization can exacerbate the risk of terrorism.

Analysis of Strategy and Strategies of Analysis in Weighing National Defense Alternatives — Sep 22, 2008

The likely costs and implications of alternative national defense strategies should be assessed through disciplined analyses that examine whether the primary agents of the strategy, U.S. combatant commands, have the ability to meet the strategy's expectations, rather than by merely allowing external events, time constraints, or politics to direct the strategy and inflate its costs.

Defeating Terrorist Groups — Sep 18, 2008

In testimony presented before the House Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Terrorism and Unconventional Threats and Capabilities, Seth Jones discusses how to defeat terrorist groups through a strategy based on careful police and intelligence work rather than military force.

Developing Resource-Informed Strategic Assessments and Recommendations — Sep 4, 2008

A portfolio-analysis approach that deals explicitly with both uncertainty and differences of strategic perspective allows an integrated comparison of alternative strategies' effectiveness, risks, and resource implications.

Dangerous Thresholds: Managing Escalation in the 21st Century — Aug 25, 2008

Historical examples and the analysis of two modified Delphi exercises augment an examination of approaches to escalation management within the demands of today’s security environment and its attendant threats involving not only long-standing nuclear powers, but also insurgent groups and terrorists.

Terrorism Expert Examines Intelligence on Al Qaida in "Will Terrorists Go Nuclear?" — Aug 20, 2008

According to a British intelligence report leaked to the press in 2007, al Qaida operatives are planning a large-scale attack "on par with Hiroshima and Nagasaki." But just how likely is such an attack?

DoD Should Consider Nonmilitary Means to Advance U.S. National Security Interests — Aug 13, 2008

The nature of recent challenges and the types of missions the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) has undertaken highlight the need for training DoD personnel in the simultaneous use of different types of tools, military and otherwise.

After the Taliban: Nation-Building in Afghanistan — Aug 3, 2008

As the Bush administration's first special envoy to Afghanistan, Ambassador Dobbins helped the Afghans assemble a successor government to the Taliban. His memoir explains why the United States has failed to stabilize either Afghanistan or Iraq.

U.S. Should Rethink "War On Terrorism" Strategy to Deal with Resurgent Al Qaida — Jul 29, 2008

Current U.S. strategy against terrorist organization al Qaida has not been successful at limiting the group's capabilities. Since Sept. 11, 2001, al Qaida has been involved in more terrorist attacks than ever before, spanning an increasingly broader range of targets.

Security Policy on Terrorism Should Incorporate Risk Analysis, Researcher Testifies — Jun 26, 2008

Terrorism risk analysis needs to be more consistently used as a means of connecting program activities and decision-making to budget priorities within the Department of Homeland Security. Challenges in doing so stem from terrorism's indeterminate nature.

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