Terrorism Risk Management

Research conducted by: Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy; RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment; Safety and Justice Program; Homeland Security and Defense Center; RAND Institute for Civil Justice

All Items (20)

Commentary

Reacting to Boston — Apr 22, 2013

Massachusetts National Guardsmen in Boston

Basing public safety decisions on risk analysis allows authorities to devote public resources to those counterterrorism measures that have the potential to do the most good, writes Henry Willis.

Report

An Assessment of TSA's Risk Management Analysis Tool Finds Some Gaps — Nov 26, 2012

The Transportation Security Administration's RMAT has enabled a more sophisticated understanding of terrorism risks to the air transportation system, but TSA should not treat RMAT results as credible estimates. Rather, the results can help to inform the components of terrorism risk and possible influences of system changes on that risk.

Commentary

A Year After Osama bin Laden's Death, Obituaries for al Qaeda Are Still Way Too Premature — Apr 23, 2012

Predictions of al Qaeda's imminent demise are rooted more in wishful thinking and politicians' desire for applause lines than in rigorous analysis, writes Seth G. Jones.

News Release

Al Qaeda's Efforts to Recruit Homegrown Jihadists in America Remain Largely Ineffective — Aug 31, 2011

Despite al Qaeda's increasing use of the Internet to attempt to radicalize and recruit homegrown terrorists in the United States, the turnout has been tiny and mostly inept.

Report

Al Qaeda's Efforts to Recruit Homegrown Jihadists in America Remain Largely Ineffective — Aug 31, 2011

Despite al Qaeda's increasing use of the Internet to attempt to radicalize and recruit homegrown terrorists in the United States, the turnout has been tiny and mostly inept.

Report

Can Individuals' Patterns of Behavior Predict Violent Jihadist Actions? — Jul 27, 2011

An analysis of the pre-attack behaviors of the most significant Jihadist terrorist groups in the UK found that there are certain distinctive behavioral characteristics displayed as a result of planning, preparing, and implementing an act of terrorism, but more research will be needed to identify "signal indicators."

News Release

RAND Book Provides Critical Review of U.S. Actions Since 9/11; Recommends Future Anti-Terror Path — Jul 26, 2011

A new collection of essays by experts from the RAND Corporation examines America in the decade since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, focusing a critical eye on the nation's actions since the attacks and outlining changes in strategy needed to improve efforts against jihadist groups.

Report

RAND Book Provides Critical Review of U.S. Actions Since 9/11; Recommends Future Anti-Terror Path — Jul 26, 2011

A new collection of essays by experts from the RAND Corporation examines America in the decade since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, focusing a critical eye on the nation's actions since the attacks and outlining changes in strategy needed to improve efforts against jihadist groups.

Report

Counterinsurgency in Pakistan — Jun 21, 2010

The rising number of terrorist plots in the United States with links to Pakistan—most recently the failed car-bombing in New York City—is partly a result of an unsuccessful strategy by Pakistan and the U.S. to weaken the range of militant groups operating in Pakistan.

Project

Research Center Focuses on Homeland Security and Defense — Feb 1, 2010

The Homeland Security and Defense Center conducts analysis to prepare and protect communities and critical infrastructure from natural disasters and terrorism and is a joint effort of the RAND National Security Research Division and RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment.

Report

DHS Course Brochure — May 26, 2009

This brochure describes ''Policy Analysis Techniques for Homeland Security Professionals'', a five-day course hosted by RAND to be held in Arlington, VA on November 16-20, 2009.

Journal Article

Using Probabilistic Terrorism Risk Modeling for Regulatory Benefit-Cost Analysis: Application to the Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative Implemented in the Land Environment — Jan 1, 2008

This article presents a framework for using probabilistic terrorism risk modeling in regulatory analysis.ment, (WHTI-L).

Report

The Victims of Terrorism: An Assessment of Their Influence and Growing Role in Policy, Legislation, and the Private Sector — Nov 12, 2007

This report documents 9/11 victims' groups -- a powerful force in U.S. counterterrorist policy and legislation -- and compares them to groups formed in response to other terrorist attacks.

Journal Article

How Does Terrorism Risk Vary Across Space and Time? An Analysis Based on the Israeli Experience — Jan 1, 2007

The authors study the spatial and temporal determinants of terrorism risk in Israel, using a geocoded database of Israeli terrorist attacks from 1949 to 2004.

Journal Article

Guiding Resource Allocations Based on Terrorism Risk — Jan 1, 2007

After briefly reviewing definitions of terrorism risk and rationales for risk-based resource allocation, this article compares estimates of terrorism risk in urban areas that received Urban Area Security Initiative (UASI) funding in 2004 to other federal risk management decisions.

Journal Article

National Security and Private-Sector Risk Management for Terrorism — Oct 11, 2006

High take-up rates for terrorism insurance or other forms of compensation for terrorism losses can enhance economic resilience after an attack and encourage national cohesion and post-event solidarity.

People

Mel Eisman

Senior Cost Analyst
M.S.I.E. in operations research, Pennsylvania State University

People

Russell Lundberg

Assistant Policy Analyst
Ph.D. candidate in policy analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School; M.P.P. in public policy, University of Maryland; B.A. in theater and physics, Hope College

People

David Manheim

Assistant Policy Analyst
B.S. in mathematics, Lander College for Men

People

Andrew R. Morral

Associate Director, RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment; Senior Behavioral Scientist
Ph.D. in psychology, New School for Social Research

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