COMMENTARY
Predictions of al Qaeda's imminent demise are rooted more in wishful thinking and politicians' desire for applause lines than in rigorous analysis, writes Seth G. Jones.
NEWS RELEASE
Despite al Qaeda's increasing use of the Internet to attempt to radicalize and recruit homegrown terrorists in the United States, the turnout has been tiny and mostly inept.
REPORT
Despite al Qaeda's increasing use of the Internet to attempt to radicalize and recruit homegrown terrorists in the United States, the turnout has been tiny and mostly inept.
NEWS RELEASE
A new collection of essays by experts from the RAND Corporation examines America in the decade since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, focusing a critical eye on the nation's actions since the attacks and outlining changes in strategy needed to improve efforts against jihadist groups.
REPORT
A new collection of essays by experts from the RAND Corporation examines America in the decade since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, focusing a critical eye on the nation's actions since the attacks and outlining changes in strategy needed to improve efforts against jihadist groups.
REPORT
An analysis of the pre-attack behaviors of the most significant Jihadist terrorist groups in the UK found that there are certain distinctive behavioral characteristics displayed as a result of planning, preparing, and implementing an act of terrorism, but more research will be needed to identify "signal indicators."
REPORT
The rising number of terrorist plots in the United States with links to Pakistan—most recently the failed car-bombing in New York City—is partly a result of an unsuccessful strategy by Pakistan and the U.S. to weaken the range of militant groups operating in Pakistan.
PROJECT
The Homeland Security and Defense Center conducts analysis to prepare and protect communities and critical infrastructure from natural disasters and terrorism and is a joint effort of the RAND National Security Research Division and RAND Infrastructure, Safety and Environment.
REPORT
This brochure describes “Policy Analysis Techniques for Homeland Security Professionals”, a five-day course hosted by RAND to be held in Arlington, VA on November 16-20, 2009.
JOURNAL ARTICLE
This article presents a framework for using probabilistic terrorism risk modeling in regulatory analysis. The authors demonstrate the framework with an example application involving a regulation under consideration, the Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative for the Land Environment, (WHTI-L).
REPORT
Since September 11, 2001, organized groups of families and friends have emerged to become a powerful voice in U.S. counterterrorist policy and legislation. These groups have been successful in establishing the 9/11 Commission and implementing its most important recommendations.
JOURNAL ARTICLE
In selecting targets, terrorists seem to respond rationally to costs and benefits: they are more likely to hit targets more accessible from their own homebases and international borders, closer to symbolic centers of government administration, and in more heavily Jewish areas. Long periods without an attack signal lower risk for most localities, but higher risk for important areas such as regional or national capitals.
JOURNAL ARTICLE
After briefly reviewing definitions of terrorism risk and rationales for risk-based resource allocation, this article compares estimates of terrorism risk in urban areas that received Urban Area Security Initiative (UASI) funding in 2004 to other federal risk management decisions. This comparison suggests that UASI allocations are generally consistent with other federal risk management decisions.
PEOPLE
Senior Cost Analyst
M.S.I.E. in operations research, Pennsylvania State University
PEOPLE
Assistant Policy Analyst
Ph.D. candidate in policy analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School; M.P.P. in public policy, University of Maryland; B.A. in theater and physics, Hope College
PEOPLE
Director, RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center; Senior Behavioral Scientist
Ph.D. in psychology, New School for Social Research
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