Terrorism

The Munich Olympics. The Lockerbie bombing. Oklahoma City. 9/11. London, Madrid, Mumbai. Terrorism is by no means a localized or recent phenomenon. Similarly, efforts to both catalog and counter terrorism, both at home and around the world, have been a key focus of RAND research since the early 1970s.

Research conducted by: RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment; RAND National Security Research Division; RAND Project AIR FORCE; RAND Arroyo Center; RAND Europe

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RAND Database of Worldwide Terrorism Incidents

With over 36,000 incidents of terrorism coded and detailed, the quality and completeness of the RDWTI is unparalleled, as it is built from the research of RAND staff with regional expertise, relevant language skills, and in-country field work experience.

All Items (539)

Report

When Armies Divide: The Security of Nuclear Arsenals During Revolts, Coups, and Civil Wars — Apr 11, 2013

This book examines the security of nuclear arsenals during revolts, coups, and civil wars.

Commentary

Special Ops Global Whack-a-Mole — Apr 8, 2013

A new model for our nation's special forces could follow the approach used in Colombia and the Philippines, where special forces planned ongoing campaigns that use numerous advisory, civil affairs, and informational activities to address those governments' weaknesses in providing security and ending conflicts.

Journal Article

Human Subjects Protection and Research on Terrorism and Conflict — Apr 1, 2013

The authors discuss how current legal developments raise complications and may limit the ability of researchers to work on terrorism and conflict topics.

Commentary

The Invasion of Iraq: A Balance Sheet — Mar 22, 2013

A U.S. Marine vehicle on patrol outside of Fallujah.

The costly removal of Saddam Hussein won no applause, earned no gratitude, established no reliable ally, and produced no lasting strategic benefit, says Brian Michael Jenkins.

Report

Managing September 12th in Cyberspace: Presented before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on Europe, Eurasia, and Emerging Threats — Mar 21, 2013

Testimony presented before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on Europe, Eurasia, and Emerging Threats on March 21, 2013.

Report

Managing September 12th in Cyberspace — Mar 20, 2013

Red network cables

The U.S., while worried about a "9/11 in cyberspace," also ought to worry about what a "9/12 in cyberspace" would look like. The consequences of the reaction to a cyberattack could be more serious than the consequences of the original action itself.

Report

After the Withdrawal: A Way Forward in Afghanistan and Pakistan — Mar 19, 2013

Tarin Kot, Afghanistan chief of police

At the time of the U.S. withdrawal, there are several militant groups in Afghanistan and Pakistan that threaten U.S. security and its interests overseas. How can we avoid the inherent risks in the drawdown?

Commentary

Tuberculosis Outbreak in LA Reminds Us of Importance of 'Bread and Butter' Public Health Capabilities — Mar 12, 2013

Center for Domestic Preparedness Training

In this fiscally uncertain climate, we should continue to leverage the dual-use benefit of bioterrorism investments by building and maintaining those routine (but essential) public health capabilities that can also be used in response to a variety of public health emergencies.

Commentary

Al Qaeda Is Weak and Bungling—but Still Dangerous — Feb 25, 2013

The swift march into Mali by a band of Islamist thugs demonstrates an efficient, opportunistic filling of a security vacuum more than an increase in jihadist power or influence, writes Andy Liepman.

Report

Capabilities-Based Planning Can Enhance Energy Security at DoD Installations — Feb 20, 2013

Energy security strategies are needed because DoD installations rely on the U.S. commercial electricity grid which is vulnerable to disruption from natural hazards and actor-induced outages, such as physical or cyber attacks.

Report

Assessing Multiple Data Points Can Help in Predicting Suicide Attack Targets — Feb 18, 2013

Analysis of data on suicide attacks in Israel suggest that assessing sociocultural, political, economic, and demographic factors in addition to geospatial data enhances the ability to predict future suicide attack targets.

Report

Embassy Security: From the Outside In — Feb 11, 2013

U.S. embassies shored up security in the wake of the 2012 attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi. Going forward, the security plan for the U.S. diplomatic presence abroad must include strategies to detect and prevent such attacks before they occur.

Journal Article

Exploiting the Chaos: Terrorist Target Choice Following Natural Disasters — Feb 8, 2013

This article explores the differences between transnational and domestic terrorism, further differentiating by private versus government targets, to estimate the effect of exogenous catastrophic shocks on a country's level of domestic and transnational terrorism.

Periodical

In Wake of Presidential Election, RAND Helps Set Politics Aside — Feb 5, 2013

RAND's November 2012 Politics Aside weekend brought together leaders in government policy, business, and philanthropy to discuss challenges and solutions in an objective, nonpartisan environment.

Commentary

What Does the Amenas Attack Mean for U.S. Policy in Africa? — Jan 31, 2013

Coinciding with continuing, contentious hearings on the U.S. response to last September's terrorist attack in Benghazi, the attack on the Amenas natural gas facility in Algeria has elevated a more general debate about the war on terrorism and U.S. policy in Africa, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Commentary

The Dynamics of the Hostage Situation at Amenas — Jan 30, 2013

Looking at the turmoil in Libya following Qaddafi's removal; the overthrow of governments in Tunisia, Egypt, and Yemen; and Syria's ongoing civil war, it is easy to see why the Algerian government would view any manifestation of an Islamist resurgence as a threat that had to be promptly crushed, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Commentary

The Motivations Behind the Amenas Terrorist Attack — Jan 29, 2013

An attack of this complexity would have required months of reconnaissance, planning, recruiting of inside confederates, and training of participants. France's intervention in Mali was used to “justify” an attack that would likely have taken place anyway, writes Brian Michael Jenkins.

Commentary

The al Qaeda Threat in North Africa — Jan 24, 2013

Last week's terrorist attack at the In Amenas gas complex in Algeria, along with the recent success of the militant groups fighting government forces in Mali, indicate al Qaeda and other terrorist groups are gaining influence in North Africa. RAND experts weigh in on the latest developments.

Commentary

Hostage Taking Exposes Terror Threat in Africa — Jan 17, 2013

There is a danger in viewing Mali through the prism of counter-terrorism, since the rebel element there is tangled up in movements and groups with a wide variety of interests and motives, ranging from sincere religious conviction to local political rivalries to base economic opportunism, writes Michael Shurkin.

Commentary

Al Qaeda Threat to U.S. Embassy in Yemen Raises Questions — Jan 4, 2013

As in most war zones and high threat environments, one of the dangers to guard against is complacency...people become accustomed to a certain level of danger and assume that they have everything under control, when in fact they may have not fully thought through the problems posed by an enemy that is continually innovating, writes William Young.

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