Gregory S. Jones

ISIS and Dirty Bombs

There has been growing concern that terrorists might use radiological sources to create a Radiological Dispersal Device (RDD). Calculations have shown that an attack would be unlikely to produce radioactive contamination sufficient to kill or even injure anyone, but there would be psychological and economic effects.

Questions After the First U.S. Bank Takeover by a Chinese State-Controlled Company

In considering foreign application to acquire U.S. companies, the United States needs to consider both risks as well as benefits in both defense and economic dimensions, write Charles Wolf, Jr., Brian Chow, Gregory Jones, and Scott Harold.

Report

Options for Strengthening ROK Nuclear Assurance

Many in the Republic of Korea (ROK) are not feeling assured by the U.S. nuclear umbrella. The authors propose options for strengthening that assurance, including enhancing strategic clarity and committing U.S. nuclear weapons to support the ROK.

Report

Characterizing the Risks of North Korean Chemical and Biological Weapons, Electromagnetic Pulse, and Cyber Threats

The authors provide a comprehensive overview, based on open sources, of North Korean capabilities in terms of its weapons of mass destruction and cyber operations, assess the threats these pose, and suggest possible responses.

Tool

Costs and Effectiveness of Interventions to Reduce Motor Vehicle–Related Injuries and Deaths: Project Report and Online-Tool Documentation

This report documents production of an online tool to help assess costs and effectiveness of implementing up to 14 interventions and select those most effective in reducing death and injury from motor vehicle crashes for a given budget.

Research Brief

How to Get the Biggest Impact from an Increase in Spending on Traffic Safety

According to analysis with a free new tool, allocating increased federal traffic safety funding by cost-effectiveness ratios rather than equally among states would save more than double the number of lives and prevent almost five times the injuries.

Research Brief

A New Tool to Help Decisionmakers Select Interventions to Reduce Traffic Crash Deaths and Injuries

This brief describes an interactive tool that can help statedecisionmakers choose policies that are effective in reducing motor vehicle accidents in their states and appropriate to state budgets, saving lives and reducing economic and societal loss.

Research Brief

Should Traffic Crash Interventions Be Selected Nationally or State by State?

According to analysis using a new, free tool, a national allocation of funds for traffic crash prevention might cost less than allocating according to state-by-state needs, but it might save significantly fewer lives and reduce far fewer injuries.

Research Brief

Which Behavioral Interventions Are Most Cost-Effective in Reducing Drunk Driving?

Drunk driving is extremely dangerous, but not all drunk driving policies are equally cost-effective in all states. This brief describes a tool that can help decisionmakers choose policies that are appropriate for their states and state budgets.

Report

China's Expanding Role in Global Mergers and Acquisitions Markets

To improve understanding of China's investment patterns, the authors analyze recent and proposed Chinese investment in companies in the United States, Europe, Asia, and the rest of the world.

Report

U.S. Combat Commands' Participation in the Proliferation Security Initiative: A Training Manual

A manual of nine lecture and seminar sessions to be used by the U.S. Geographic Combat Commands to train personnel for participation in the Proliferation Security Initiative.

Report

The Global Technology Revolution China, In-Depth Analyses: Emerging Technology Opportunities for the Tianjin Binhai New Area (TBNA) and the Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area (TEDA) (Chinese-language version)

Tianjin Binhai New Area and the Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area commissioned a technology-foresight study to help them plan for economic growth. Seven applications stand out; the authors describe drivers, barriers, and plans for each.

Report

The Global Technology Revolution China, Executive Summary: Emerging Technology Opportunities for the Tianjin Binhai New Area (TBNA) and the Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area (TEDA)

Tianjin Binhai New Area and the Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area commissioned a technology-foresight study to help them plan for economic growth. Seven applications stand out; the authors describe drivers, barriers, and plans for each.

Report

The Global Technology Revolution China, In-Depth Analyses: Emerging Technology Opportunities for the Tianjin Binhai New Area (TBNA) and the Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area (TEDA)

Tianjin Binhai New Area and the Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area commissioned a technology-foresight study to help them plan for economic growth. Seven applications stand out; the authors describe drivers, barriers, and plans for each.

Report

Enhancement by Enlargement: The Proliferation Security Initiative

Details the cost-and-benefit estimates arrived at by five key countries reluctant to affiliate with the Proliferation Security Initiative (the "hold-out" nations) and suggests strategies for changing those estimates in favor of affiliation.

Report

Distribution of Losses from Large Terrorist Attacks Under the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act

The pending expiration of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) of 2002 is the impetus for this assessment of how TRIA redistributes terrorism losses, helping to inform policymakers on whether to extend, modify, or terminate it.

Research Brief

Assessing the Effectiveness of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act

This study simulates the expected losses from three modes of terrorist attacks and shows how the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) would distribute the resulting losses.

Report

From Testing to Deploying Nuclear Forces: The Hard Choices Facing India and Pakistan

This issue paper discusses what decisions India and Pakistan must make in order to attempt to fulfill these requirements and describes the risks involved in their failure to attain them.

Report

Managing Waste With and Without Plutonium Separation

This study examines whether reprocessing and plutonium recycle will make radioactive waste management more effective and economical.

Report

Does Burning Weapons Plutonium Generate Hotter Waste and Conserve More Repository Space?

This paper describes a comparative methodology that is based on an equal amount of energy generated and an equal amount of weapons plutonium being burned or directly disposed of.

Report

Air Force Operations in a Chemical and Biological Environment

This documented briefing examines how adversaries might use chemical and biological weapons (CBWs) to paralyze U.S. Air Force operations, how the Air Force might continue operations despite a contaminated environment, and what additional measures might enable the Air Force to sustain tactical aircraft sortie generation and airlift cargo delivery operations in a contaminated environment.

Draft

A Concept for Strategic Material Accelerated Removal Talks (SMART)

The United States, Russia, and other countries should ensure that weapon-usable material is not subject to national diversion. The quickest way to achieve this goal is to transport excess weapon-usable material to a secure foreign storage site.

Draft

An Initial Look at Reprocessing, Recycle and the Waste Issue

The claim that plutonium reprocessing and recycling eases waste management is based on incomplete assessments and inappropriate metrics. The United States should use a systems approach to compare different waste management benefits and options.

Report

The Proposed Fissile-Material Production Cutoff: Next Steps

Examines and proposes some "next steps" to the proposed convention, to further strengthen worldwide control of weapon-usable material.