How can nonmilitary factors be used in defense planning? The authors distinguish between political-strategic and military decisions and discuss recent findings regarding crisis and war variables to create science-based structured scenarios.
Feb 18, 2019
Building Security in Africa: An Evaluation of U.S. Security Sector Assistance in Africa from the Cold War to the Present
A RAND Corporation study used statistical models to evaluate the impact that U.S.-provided SSA has had on political violence in Africa -- in particular, the incidence of civil wars and insurgencies, terrorist attacks, and state repression.
Sep 13, 2018
U.S. security-sector assistance has a mixed record in Africa. RAND experts offer recommendations to promote the success of such assistance in Africa. The recommendations focus on strategies, programs, and their assessment, monitoring, and evaluation.
Sep 13, 2018
Empirically assesses how U.S. military presence -- in particular, U.S. troop presence and military assistance -- is associated with the interstate and intrastate conflict behavior of states and nonstate actors.
Feb 15, 2018
This report analyzes trends in violent conflict and their implications for defense planning. It presents models estimating levels of conflict to 2040 under different scenarios and suggests early warning indicators of potential increases in conflict.
Sep 12, 2017