Luke Muggy

Photo of Luke Muggy
Operations Researcher
Santa Monica Office


Ph.D. in industrial engineering, Kansas State University; Masters in operations research, Kansas State University; B.S. in mathematics, University of Nebraska


Luke Muggy is an operations researcher with a wide breadth of skills and experiences. Muggy has a Ph.D. in industrial engineering focusing on humanitarian logistics systems. His dissertation applies optimization and game theory to model decentralized systems of response agencies which establish supply chains and beneficiaries who access them. At RAND, Muggy has built simulation models of Army logistics systems. He has helped the Army compute the time required to issue and move equipment, identifying bottlenecks and inefficiencies within processes. He has also helped the Kenyan Defense Forces improve inventory and supply chain management. For the Air Force, Muggy modeled and optimized the flow of crewman between career fields in order to assist manpower experts to forecast personnel shortages. Finally, Muggy has assisted the Marine Corps. through a simulation that forecasts the demand and cost of replacing ballistic glass in their fleet of vehicles. Recently, Muggy became a Professional Cost Estimation Analyst (PCEA). This certification allows him to work full-time in Puerto Rico analyzing FEMA's cost estimates for reconstruction projects. This work will ensure that the Puerto Rico government may rebuild effectively and in a manner that is fair to U.S. tax payers.

Recent Projects

  • Strengthening the Foundations of Army Global Health Engagement
  • Army Prepositioned Stocks Sustainment Strategy
  • Addressing Ballistic Glass Delamination in the Marine Corps Tactical Vehicle Fleet
  • Cost Validation in Puerto Rico

Selected Publications

Cohen, Nekoul, Evans, Gulrez, Muggy, "How Networks of Medicare Beneficiary Inpatient Transfers Affect The Odds of Hospital-wide Clostridioides difficile Clusters," Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology, , 2020 (forthcoming)

Cohen, Gulrez, Muggy, "When Is An Outbreak An Outbreak? Using Literature And Discharge Data To Define C. difficile Infection Outbreaks," Journal of Hospital Infection, 2020 (forthcoming)

Luke Muggy, Jessica Heier Stamm, "Decentralized Beneficiary Behavior in Humanitarian Supply Chains: Models, Performance Bounds, and Coordination Mechanisms," Annals of Operations Research, 284, 2020

Luke Muggy, Jessica Heier Stamm, "Dynamic, Robust Models to Quantify the Impact of Decentralization in Post-Disaster Health Care Facility Location Decisions," Annals of Operations Research , 284(1), 2017

Luke Muggy, Jessica Heier Stamm, "Game Theory Applications in Humanitarian Operations: A Review," Journal of Humanitarian Logistics and Supply Chain Management, 4(1), 2014

Luke Muggy, Todd Easton, "Generating Class Schedules within a Complex Modular Environment with Application to Secondary Schools," Journal of Scheduling, 18(4), 2015

Honors & Awards

  • Best Dissertation in Humanitarian Logistics 2016, The Journal for Humanitarian Logistics and Supply Chain Management


  • The “LUKE” prosthetic arm developed by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, photo by DARPA

    Biden's Proposed New Health Agency Would Emphasize Innovation. Here's How It Might Work

    President Biden has proposed a new health agency modeled on DARPA to work on groundbreaking research. This agency could pursue the kind of high-risk research that can lead to high-reward results and help get more medical treatments to market sooner.

    May 24, 2021 Los Angeles Times

  • People wait in line in a Disneyland parking lot to receive the COVID-19 vaccine at a mass vaccination site in Anaheim, California, January 13, 2021, photo by Mario Anzuoni/Reuters

    How Game Theory Could Solve the COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout Puzzle

    The health systems behind the vaccine rollout are attempting to create order from chaos, sometimes with mixed results. Rather than relying on on-the-fly decisionmaking, state authorities should consider turning to game theory as a tool that could be the key to more efficient, faster vaccine distribution.

    Mar 11, 2021 Fortune