Envisioning Security in 2040

What will it mean, and what will it take, to be safe and secure in 2040? RAND president and CEO Michael D. Rich launched the Security 2040 initiative—an exploration of the security issues that leaders may face in coming decades—to help answer these questions.

On April 24, a kickoff event drew a capacity crowd in RAND's Santa Monica office. Security 2040 researchers shared findings from the first group of reports released through the initiative, on artificial intelligence (AI) and nukes, 3D printing, and speed. They spoke about the possibility of AI upending nuclear deterrence, how 3D printing could help the spread of illicit weapons, and how the accelerating pace of life challenges policymakers.

The multiyear research effort is building on RAND’s legacy of helping policymakers stay ahead of the curve on security risks. RAND researchers from a wide range of backgrounds, including engineering, economics, political science, and anthropology, are working together to explore trends likely to shape global security in the future. The initiative is funded by gifts from RAND supporters and income from operations.

Listen to the Security 2040 event podcast
Security 2040 adviser Andrew Parasiliti and project  researchers Ed Geist, Drew Lohn, Luke Irwin,  Trevor Johnston, Troy Smith, Casey Bouskill, and​​  Seifu Chonde present their work in RAND's Santa Monica office

Security 2040 adviser Andrew Parasiliti and project researchers Ed Geist, Drew Lohn, Luke Irwin, Trevor Johnston, Troy Smith, Casey Bouskill, and​​ Seifu Chonde presented their work in RAND's Santa Monica office.

Photo by Diane Baldwin/RAND Corporation