The international system appears headed for a renewed era of intense competition among major powers. The authors sought to identify the factors that keep such rivalries stable and those that lead to conflictual outcomes. Leveraging theory and historical case studies, the authors created a framework for assessing the stability of a strategic rivalry, then applied it to the current U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China competitions.
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Soldier Preferences and Retention Effects of Changes in Army Reserve Training Requirements: An Exploration of Revealed and Stated Behavior 2021
The authors examine how changes in training requirements affect soldiers' interest in staying in the U.S. Army Reserve (USAR) and how their civilian employment and family situations influence that decision. The authors use administrative data and a survey to investigate both the likely impacts of changing unit-level USAR training requirements on retention outcomes and the overall preferences of USAR soldiers with respect to training load.
The authors of this report describe strategic global trends related to Russian global influence and behavior and provide an overview and assessment of hostile activities — including information warfare, political subversion, and the use of violence or the threat of violence through proxies to undermine political order and influence vulnerable governments — that Russia has undertaken in the face of these trends.
Evaluating the Effectiveness of Public Communication Campaigns and Their Implications for Strategic Competition with Russia 2021
The authors examine evidence on the effectiveness of campaigns to influence public opinion in target populations — sometimes referred to as "information warfare" — in the context of strategic competition between the United States and Russia, and they provide recommendations for how the United States can maximize the effectiveness of its public communications in competition with Russia.
The authors of this report assess the role of U.S. Army special operations forces (ARSOF) in great-power competition, focusing on the types of activities the United States will need to conduct in competition with Russia and ARSOF's effectiveness in conducting them, as well as ARSOF's advantages and disadvantages relative to conventional military forces and the efforts of nonmilitary agencies.