Arroyo Center Publications - 2011

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Research Briefs

Occasional Papers

  • The 2008 Battle of Sadr City 2011

    David E. Johnson, M. Wade Markel, Brian Shannon

    Using primary sources and interviews with those involved in the fighting and its aftermath, the authors describe the 2008 Battle of Sadr City, analyze its outcome, and derive implications for the conduct of land operations. Their analysis identifies factors critical to the coalition victory over Jaish al-Mahdi and describes a new model for dealing with insurgent control of urban areas.

  • Conflict with China: Prospects, Consequences, and Strategies for Deterrence 2011

    James Dobbins, David C. Gompert, David A. Shlapak, Andrew Scobell

    This paper presents some scenarios that, if they were to come to pass, could result in military conflict with China over the next thirty years. The authors begin by exploring different plausible sources of conflict — whether it be the collapse of North Korea, possible dwindling relations between Taiwan and China, or other contingencies involving Japan or India. They discuss the operational implications each might present the United States and then turn to the requirements for defense and deterrence.

  • Heavy Armor in the Future Security Environment 2011

    David E. Johnson

    The U.S. Army is under pressure to demonstrate a valid need for heavy brigade combat teams in the future security environment — an environment in which many believe that such units will be largely irrelevant. Through an examination of adversary capabilities in recent conflicts, the author explores whether heavy armored forces can be justified as a prominent component of the future U.S. Army.

  • Perspectives on the Battle of Wanat: Challenges Facing Small Unit Operations in Afghanistan 2011

    Randall Steeb, John Matsumura, Thomas J. Herbert, John Gordon IV, William W. Horn

    Using the Battle of Wanat as a case study, the authors explore and evaluate a range of alternative technological and corresponding tactical improvements to help small unit operations in Afghanistan, particularly when the mission is to establish and protect combat outposts. The authors develop a tactical-level understanding of the circumstances and risks that a small unit faced as it transitioned from a vehicle patrol base to a combat outpost.

  • Where Might the U.S. Army Budget Go, and How Might It Get There? 2011

    Carter C. Price, Aaron L. Martin, Edward Wu, Christopher G. Pernin

    Since 1950, the U.S. Army's budget has waxed and waned on a roughly 20-year cycle. As the Army's role in Iraq and Afghanistan diminishes over the next decade, it will enter the waning phase of this budget cycle. The authors examine historic trends in the Army's largest budget accounts to provide a context for decisions of future spending. They also explore recent public discourse on cuts in military spending and discuss potential implications.


Documented Briefings

  • Strategic Distribution Platform Support of CONUS Army Units 2011

    Marc Robbins

    The Army desires a distribution system for home station units that provides timely and low-cost delivery of needed supplies. A critical part of this system is the scheduled truck service provided by the Strategic Distribution Platforms. Although this system is relatively strong, researchers explored ways to improve it by adding new units and posts to the truck network and taking other steps to reduce "leakage" from the truck network.

  • Using Field Data to Improve Authorized Stockage List Push Packages 2011

    Marygail K. Brauner, Arthur W Lackey, John Halliday

    Readiness problems associated with newly fielded systems are relevant to both combat effectiveness and public perception. When new equipment comes into the Army, it is often fielded on a unit-by-unit basis, so the "initial" fielding can take many years. This report demonstrates the feasibility of using demands from earlier fieldings to improve push packages as equipment is fielded to successive units.

Annual Reports

  • RAND Arroyo Center Annual Report 2010 2011

    Describes the full range of research products and services that RAND Arroyo Center provided to the Army leadership in FY 2010, including projects, quick-response studies, peer-reviewed publications, and the analytic training of Army officers.