The RAND Blog

Russia

commentary
How to Break the Cycle of Conflict with Russia
Europe might well be on the brink of a major catastrophe. Until Russia, the United States, Europe, and the states stuck in between them reach a consensus on a revised regional order, post-Soviet Eurasia will remain a source of instability and conflict.
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Feb 7, 2022
Samuel Charap @scharap
North Atlantic Treaty Organization

blog
NATO's Open-Door Policy, U.S. Health Care Payments, Climate Migrants: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on NATO’s open-door policy, U.S. health care payments, supporting climate migrants, and more.
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Feb 4, 2022
United States Department of Defense

commentary
Trying to Forestall the Next Civilian Casualty Horror
After civilians are injured or killed, the U.S. Defense Department isn't doing enough to learn from its own failures. The Pentagon needs to devote resources and senior leader attention to an issue that has historically lacked both. Civilian protection should become the singular priority for a critical mass of people across the organization.
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Feb 3, 2022
Michael J. McNerney, Gabrielle Tarini @gabbytarini
Arctic Region

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A United Strategy Could Reap Rewards for the United Kingdom in the High North
The multifaceted nature of Arctic policies, stretching from climate security and scientific cooperation to economic development and conflict mitigation, may require a whole-of-government approach from the United Kingdom. Such an approach could be necessary for the United Kingdom to appear a credible partner to Arctic countries and other third parties.
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Feb 2, 2022
Nicolas Jouan
North Atlantic Treaty Organization

commentary
Should NATO Close Its Doors?
In their current confrontation with Russia, the United States and its allies are defending a dangerously anachronistic principle: that all of Russia's European neighbors should be free to seek NATO membership and that NATO should be free to incorporate them. But maintaining this open-ended process of NATO expansion is likely to produce further conflicts.
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Feb 2, 2022
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Ukraine

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Two Choices in Ukraine
Facing existential risk, Ukraine may consider unprecedented steps. Urgent measures might help it protect against a Russian invasion. And if the immediate threat were to ebb, Ukraine might use the time gained to prepare for potential future threats.
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Jan 31, 2022
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Khrystyna Holynska
United States Department of Defense

blog
Preventing Civilian Casualties, Drinking During the Pandemic, Vaccination Equity: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on how to reform the Pentagon’s policies on civilian casualties, secondary school principals’ well-being, alcohol use in the COVID-19 era, and more.
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Jan 28, 2022
Forecasting Methodology

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Why Did Nobody See It Coming? How Scenarios Can Help Us Prepare for the Future in an Uncertain World
Scenarios are a useful tool for informing policy, guiding strategies, and accommodating future change. Using scenario planning to target potential problems or areas for development and building resilience can pinpoint robust policies that could be viable across a range of future states.
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Jan 28, 2022
Mann Virdee @MannVirdee, Megan Hughes
Displaced Persons

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To Help Climate Migrants, We Must First Recognize Them
Despite the large and growing population displaced by extreme weather, there is no common definition of a “climate migrant.” Once we get a clearer sense of just who is a climate migrant, policy efforts should begin focusing on the full fabric of life in our communities, creating systems that will help migrants become a part of that fabric in safe and dignified ways.
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Jan 28, 2022
Jay Balagna, Aaron Clark-Ginsberg @aclarkginsberg, et al.
Operational Readiness

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The Future and Past of War and Disease
The U.S. government is actively reviewing its efforts to counter biological attacks and the Department of Defense is taking steps that could allow it to perform day-to-day operations during a pandemic, but it might not be preparing adequately for a future large-scale operation during a more-transmissible and lethal pandemic.
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Jan 27, 2022
Michael Spirtas, Stephen Webber
China

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Shaping China's Ambitions
Managing a rivalry with a regionally ambitious, globally engaged peer competitor of China's economic heft and technological sophistication will be one of the most profound strategic tests the United States has ever faced. A major lesson from its last global rivalry is that mistaken impressions about the nature of the rival and the character of the rivalry can create momentum for dangerous policies.
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Jan 24, 2022
Michael J. Mazarr @MMazarr
Japan

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The Premier Who Helped Change U.S.-Japan Relations
A Japanese politician who played an important part in the history of U.S.-Japan relations died recently, and chances are you've never heard of him. Kaifu Toshiki was Japan's prime minister from 1989 to 1991, a critical time in U.S.-Japan relations as the world was transitioning from the Cold War to the fog that lay beyond.
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Jan 24, 2022
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Politics and Government

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American Deterrence's Missing Half
If American deterrence fails, it may not be because adversaries doubt U.S. military capabilities so much as they doubt American willpower. Shifting those perceptions will require not just defense authorizations, but also repairing the social fabric here at home.
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Jan 24, 2022
Raphael S. Cohen
Ukraine

commentary
U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine: A Silver Bullet?
U.S. military assistance to Ukraine now will at best be marginal in affecting the outcome of the Russia-Ukraine crisis. It might be morally justified to help a U.S. partner at risk of aggression. But given the scale of the potential threat to Ukraine and its forces, the most effective way Washington can help is to work on finding a diplomatic solution.
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Jan 21, 2022
Samuel Charap @scharap, Scott Boston
Russia

blog
U.S.-Russia Diplomacy, Citizen Science, America's Blood Supply: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on U.S.-Russia diplomacy in the context of the Ukraine crisis, the value of citizen science, strengthening the America's blood supply, and more.
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Jan 21, 2022

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Wait Times for Veterans Scheduling Health Care Appointments

Elon Musk May Have a Point About Bots on Twitter

Putin's Latest Threats, U.S. Policy in the Middle East, Disaster Recovery: RAND Weekly Recap

Addressing Vaccine Hesitancy with Research

The Policy Currents Podcast

Improving Psychological Wellbeing and Work Outcomes in the UK

Managing Escalation in Crisis and War

Getting to Know Military Caregivers and Their Needs

Planning for the Rising Costs of Dementia

The RAND Blog

How to Break the Cycle of Conflict with Russia

NATO's Open-Door Policy, U.S. Health Care Payments, Climate Migrants: RAND Weekly Recap

Trying to Forestall the Next Civilian Casualty Horror

A United Strategy Could Reap Rewards for the United Kingdom in the High North

Should NATO Close Its Doors?

Two Choices in Ukraine

Preventing Civilian Casualties, Drinking During the Pandemic, Vaccination Equity: RAND Weekly Recap

Why Did Nobody See It Coming? How Scenarios Can Help Us Prepare for the Future in an Uncertain World

To Help Climate Migrants, We Must First Recognize Them

The Future and Past of War and Disease

Shaping China's Ambitions

The Premier Who Helped Change U.S.-Japan Relations

American Deterrence's Missing Half

U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine: A Silver Bullet?

U.S.-Russia Diplomacy, Citizen Science, America's Blood Supply: RAND Weekly Recap

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