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The RAND Blog

Threat Assessment
commentary
The Security Risks of a Trade War with China
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Aug 6, 2018
Foreign Affairs
As U.S.-China trade tensions continue to rise, many observers are focused on the potential for a full-fledged trade war that could destabilize the world economy. But there are security concerns as well. A China less constrained by and invested in economic ties with the United States could pose a greater challenge to U.S. foreign policy.
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China
commentary
China Prepares for an International Order After U.S. Leadership
Timothy R. Heath
Aug 2, 2018
Lawfare
In Beijing's estimation, key geopolitical developments have increased the possibility that China will face a power transition with the United States in coming years. In response, Chinese officials are laying the groundwork to manage that transition and ensure a leading role for their country in the emerging international order.
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Medical Ethics
commentary
CONSORT-SPI 2018: Announcing an Extension for Randomized Controlled Trials of Social and Psychological Interventions
Paul Montgomery, Evan Mayo-Wilson, Sean Grant @GrantSeanP
Aug 2, 2018
On Medicine (BioMed Central)
Complete and transparent reporting of randomized controlled trials is integral for replication, critical appraisal and understanding context. A new extension of the CONSORT Statement aims to improve the reporting of randomized controlled trials of social and psychological interventions.
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Iran
commentary
Regime Change in Iran: Watch What You Ask For
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Aug 2, 2018
USA Today
Mike Pompeo's speech in May signaled a desire for regime change in Iran, but the U.S. will have to change its approach to shape a positive outcome. This could involve targeting sanctions more narrowly rather than seeking to impoverish the general population. And lifting the ban on Iranian visitors to the U.S. would be a good start.
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Community Health and Well-Being
commentary
Local Development of a Culture of Health: Learning from Sentinel Communities
Anita Chandra, Todd Rogers, Margaret Tait
Aug 1, 2018
Health Affairs Blog
The Culture of Health project focuses on making health a priority in communities. As the United States grapples with health care spending and changing demographics, the Sentinel Communities project will illuminate stories from local communities and paint a picture of the ways communities strive to improve population health.
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Combat Support Operations
commentary
Lives on the Line: The A2AD Challenge to Combat Casualty Care
Marta Kepe @martakepe
Jul 31, 2018
Modern War Institute (West Point)
Countries such as Russia and China continue to develop and expand the ability to integrate long-range strike, anti-ship, anti-air, space and cyber abilities. Provision of medical support could be a worthy priority for NATO planners when considering deterrence of and defense against near-peer or peer adversaries.
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Emerging Technologies
commentary
Downloadable Guns and Other 3-D Printing Security Threats
Troy D. Smith @troy_d_smith, Trevor Johnston, J. Luke Irwin
Jul 31, 2018
Fox News Channel
Americans may soon be able to legally access blueprints for 3D-printed guns. The growing opposition to these weapons shows that potential security threats do not have to be inevitable. The security challenges inherent in 3D printing could be addressed, while the development of industry norms can still be shaped.
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Adult Populations
commentary
What Keeps Millennials Awake at Night Could Change Over Time
Marek N. Posard @mnposard, Jennifer Kavanagh @jekavanagh, Kathryn Edwards
Jul 30, 2018
United Press International
Millennials are less worried than baby boomers about national security topics and more worried about kitchen table issues, such as making ends meet each month and paying off debts. But this may have less to do with the fact that they are millennials and more to do with the fact that millennials are young.
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Military Mobilization
commentary
Exploring the Allied Decisions on Military Mobility in Europe
Marta Kepe @martakepe
Jul 27, 2018
Defense News
Debates about defense expenditure and concerns over the unity of NATO overshadowed decisions on defense and deterrence in Europe made during the recent NATO summit and European Council meetings. Both high-level events brought significant and tangible conclusions with potential impacts on defense, deterrence, and readiness in Europe.
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Nuclear Terrorism
commentary
Is the Threat of Nuclear Terrorism Distracting Attention from More Realistic Threats?
Antonia Ward
Jul 27, 2018
Georgetown Security Studies Review
A nuclear terrorist attack is currently not a realistic threat. It would require an unprecedented level of sophistication from terrorists. The majority of terrorist attacks are conducted with conventional explosives.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Attempts to Order Geopolitics Have a Sobering History
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Jul 25, 2018
The WorldPost (Washington Post)
Past efforts to introduce world order have resulted less from foresighted statecraft than from cataclysmic upheavals such as World War II. If the current international system erodes, what might have to happen for a new one to emerge?
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Making Sense of South Korea's Cautious Optimism on North Korea
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jul 24, 2018
Pacific Council on International Policy
South Korea is cautiously optimistic that North Korea will denuclearize, and it hopes that this will lead to the normalization of relations. The vast majority of U.S. observers believe that the North is bluffing. Seoul and Washington should continue to strive for transparency about the future of the peninsula.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Is India the Weakest Link in the Quad?
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jul 23, 2018
Foreign Policy
India's sustained membership in the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue would fit with the goal of balancing against China to deter it from further militarizing the Indo-Pacific. But New Dehli may be getting cold feet.
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Military Force Planning
commentary
Reshaping U.S. Military Forces: Getting the Process Right
David Ochmanek
Jul 20, 2018
Defense News
War gaming and analysis show that American forces face serious operational challenges. What steps could be taken to ensure the United States can defeat aggression by its greatest adversaries?
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Trade Barriers
commentary
The U.S.-China Trade War: Different Messages
Rafiq Dossani
Jul 20, 2018
RealClearWorld
The trade war between the United States and China began with the notification of tariffs on $34 billion of traded goods on each side. Officials on both sides of the Pacific are using different messages to convey the dispute. What are the real impacts likely to be?
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