The RAND Blog

North Atlantic Treaty Organization
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NATO's Open-Door Policy, U.S. Health Care Payments, Climate Migrants: RAND Weekly Recap
Feb 4, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on NATO’s open-door policy, U.S. health care payments, supporting climate migrants, and more.
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United States Department of Defense
commentary
Trying to Forestall the Next Civilian Casualty Horror
Michael J. McNerney, Gabrielle Tarini @gabbytarini
Feb 3, 2022
Foreign Policy
After civilians are injured or killed, the U.S. Defense Department isn't doing enough to learn from its own failures. The Pentagon needs to devote resources and senior leader attention to an issue that has historically lacked both. Civilian protection should become the singular priority for a critical mass of people across the organization.
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Arctic Region
commentary
A United Strategy Could Reap Rewards for the United Kingdom in the High North
Nicolas Jouan
Feb 2, 2022
The RAND Blog
The multifaceted nature of Arctic policies, stretching from climate security and scientific cooperation to economic development and conflict mitigation, may require a whole-of-government approach from the United Kingdom. Such an approach could be necessary for the United Kingdom to appear a credible partner to Arctic countries and other third parties.
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North Atlantic Treaty Organization
commentary
Should NATO Close Its Doors?
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Feb 2, 2022
The Hill
In their current confrontation with Russia, the United States and its allies are defending a dangerously anachronistic principle: that all of Russia's European neighbors should be free to seek NATO membership and that NATO should be free to incorporate them. But maintaining this open-ended process of NATO expansion is likely to produce further conflicts.
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Ukraine
commentary
Two Choices in Ukraine
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Khrystyna Holynska
Jan 31, 2022
The Hill
Facing existential risk, Ukraine may consider unprecedented steps. Urgent measures might help it protect against a Russian invasion. And if the immediate threat were to ebb, Ukraine might use the time gained to prepare for potential future threats.
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United States Department of Defense
blog
Preventing Civilian Casualties, Drinking During the Pandemic, Vaccination Equity: RAND Weekly Recap
Jan 28, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on how to reform the Pentagon’s policies on civilian casualties, secondary school principals’ well-being, alcohol use in the COVID-19 era, and more.
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Forecasting Methodology
commentary
Why Did Nobody See It Coming? How Scenarios Can Help Us Prepare for the Future in an Uncertain World
Mann Virdee @MannVirdee, Megan Hughes
Jan 28, 2022
The RAND Blog
Scenarios are a useful tool for informing policy, guiding strategies, and accommodating future change. Using scenario planning to target potential problems or areas for development and building resilience can pinpoint robust policies that could be viable across a range of future states.
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Displaced Persons
commentary
To Help Climate Migrants, We Must First Recognize Them
Jay Balagna, Aaron Clark-Ginsberg @aclarkginsberg, Vanessa Parks
Jan 28, 2022
The Hill
Despite the large and growing population displaced by extreme weather, there is no common definition of a “climate migrant.” Once we get a clearer sense of just who is a climate migrant, policy efforts should begin focusing on the full fabric of life in our communities, creating systems that will help migrants become a part of that fabric in safe and dignified ways.
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Operational Readiness
commentary
The Future and Past of War and Disease
Michael Spirtas, Stephen Webber
Jan 27, 2022
United Press International
The U.S. government is actively reviewing its efforts to counter biological attacks and the Department of Defense is taking steps that could allow it to perform day-to-day operations during a pandemic, but it might not be preparing adequately for a future large-scale operation during a more-transmissible and lethal pandemic.
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China
commentary
Shaping China's Ambitions
Michael J. Mazarr @MMazarr
Jan 24, 2022
9DASHLINE.com
Managing a rivalry with a regionally ambitious, globally engaged peer competitor of China's economic heft and technological sophistication will be one of the most profound strategic tests the United States has ever faced. A major lesson from its last global rivalry is that mistaken impressions about the nature of the rival and the character of the rivalry can create momentum for dangerous policies.
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Japan
commentary
The Premier Who Helped Change U.S.-Japan Relations
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Jan 24, 2022
The Hill
A Japanese politician who played an important part in the history of U.S.-Japan relations died recently, and chances are you've never heard of him. Kaifu Toshiki was Japan's prime minister from 1989 to 1991, a critical time in U.S.-Japan relations as the world was transitioning from the Cold War to the fog that lay beyond.
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Politics and Government
commentary
American Deterrence's Missing Half
Raphael S. Cohen
Jan 24, 2022
The Hill
If American deterrence fails, it may not be because adversaries doubt U.S. military capabilities so much as they doubt American willpower. Shifting those perceptions will require not just defense authorizations, but also repairing the social fabric here at home.
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Ukraine
commentary
U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine: A Silver Bullet?
Samuel Charap @scharap, Scott Boston
Jan 21, 2022
Foreign Policy
U.S. military assistance to Ukraine now will at best be marginal in affecting the outcome of the Russia-Ukraine crisis. It might be morally justified to help a U.S. partner at risk of aggression. But given the scale of the potential threat to Ukraine and its forces, the most effective way Washington can help is to work on finding a diplomatic solution.
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Russia
blog
U.S.-Russia Diplomacy, Citizen Science, America's Blood Supply: RAND Weekly Recap
Jan 21, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on U.S.-Russia diplomacy in the context of the Ukraine crisis, the value of citizen science, strengthening the America's blood supply, and more.
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Ukraine
commentary
Ukraine Needs Help Surviving Airstrikes, Not Just Killing Tanks
Dara Massicot @MassDara
Jan 19, 2022
Defense One
A Russian large-scale multidomain operation would be devastating for the Ukrainian military and people, and Ukraine should work to prevent that. But steps can also be taken to reduce the effects of the air and missile strikes that would likely lead off such an operation.
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U.S. Policy Toward the Taliban: Engage, Isolate, or Oppose?

Engaging Youth with Public Policy: Middle School Lessons to Counter Truth Decay

A Four Day Week: Is America Ready?

Russia Will Struggle to Sustain Its Disinformation Machine, Former New York Times/BBC Chief Tells RAND Europe

Expert Insights: Truth Decay in Europe

The Policy Currents Podcast

Improving Psychological Wellbeing and Work Outcomes in the UK

Managing Escalation in Crisis and War

Getting to Know Military Caregivers and Their Needs

Planning for the Rising Costs of Dementia

The RAND Blog

NATO's Open-Door Policy, U.S. Health Care Payments, Climate Migrants: RAND Weekly Recap

Trying to Forestall the Next Civilian Casualty Horror

A United Strategy Could Reap Rewards for the United Kingdom in the High North

Should NATO Close Its Doors?

Two Choices in Ukraine

Preventing Civilian Casualties, Drinking During the Pandemic, Vaccination Equity: RAND Weekly Recap

Why Did Nobody See It Coming? How Scenarios Can Help Us Prepare for the Future in an Uncertain World

To Help Climate Migrants, We Must First Recognize Them

The Future and Past of War and Disease

Shaping China's Ambitions

The Premier Who Helped Change U.S.-Japan Relations

American Deterrence's Missing Half

U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine: A Silver Bullet?

U.S.-Russia Diplomacy, Citizen Science, America's Blood Supply: RAND Weekly Recap

Ukraine Needs Help Surviving Airstrikes, Not Just Killing Tanks

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