The RAND Blog

China
commentary
How Washington Could Make Beijing Listen on Xinjiang
Mollie Saltskog, Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
Jan 17, 2020
Foreign Affairs
In autonomous Xinjiang, at least one million ethnic Uighurs, Kazakhs, and other Muslim minorities have been incarcerated by the Chinese government. What can the United States and its allies do to help defuse this humanitarian crisis?
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Iran
commentary
Iran Claws Back Its Regional Influence
Jordan R. Reimer
Jan 17, 2020
The World Post
Last year, Iran faced protests at home as well as in Iraq and Lebanon, where thousands rallied against Tehran's regional hegemony. But with its recent machinations and the fallout over the killing of Soleimani, Iran has succeeded in changing the regional conversation.
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Indonesia
commentary
Why Is China Pressing Indonesia Again Over Its Maritime Claims?
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jan 16, 2020
World Politics Review
China sparked a major maritime confrontation with Indonesia near the South China Sea in December when dozens of Chinese fishing vessels, along with a coast guard escort, entered waters off the Natuna Islands. What drove Beijing to stake out its sovereignty claims against Indonesia at this particular time? And what can Indonesia and other regional neighbors expect of Chinese behavior going forward?
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Mental Health and Illness
commentary
Mental Wellbeing in the Workplace
Michael Whitmore
Jan 13, 2020
Employee Benefits
Much of the mental health support provided by employers focuses on individual staff members, but it is equally important to consider how an organization itself may need to change to effectively support employees. If an organization is serious about improving staff mental health, assessing the working culture honestly and implementing appropriate changes could be one necessary step.
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China
commentary
China's Footprint in Europe
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne, Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Jan 13, 2020
ChinaFile
Tensions between Washington and Brussels may be helping China find a more receptive audience for its Belt and Road initiative. One of the central challenges for the United States and Europe will be to forge a more united approach to China's resurgence.
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Education Policy
commentary
How the 'Ostrich Europe' Scenario Could Help Guide EU Education Policy
Axelle Devaux @AxelleDevaux
Jan 13, 2020
Encompass
A future scenarios approach can help identify different ways in which the future may plausibly unfold. Seeing how policies implemented now play out in the different scenarios can show us what the possible implications of policy decisions could be. This in turn can contribute to evidence-based policy making.
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Iran
commentary
How Will Iran Respond to Soleimani's Killing—and Where Will the Escalation End?
Elisa Catalano Ewers, Ariane M. Tabatabai @ArianeTabatabai
Jan 7, 2020
The Washington Post Monkey Cage Blog
Iranian Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani's death will reverberate in the Middle East region for a long time. The United States must know its end game and be able to respond to this changing landscape of its own making, without stumbling into another full-fledged conflict that the Trump administration itself, Congress, and the American people have said they do not want.
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Iraq
commentary
Baghdad Siege Wasn't Benghazi, and Never Will Be
Raphael S. Cohen
Jan 6, 2020
Fox News Channel
Given the heightened tension between the United States and Iran and the ongoing instability in Iraq, the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad may very well be attacked again. If such an attack were to be successful, it would be more akin to the fall of the U.S. Embassy in Saigon than the U.S. mission in Benghazi.
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Iraq
commentary
Iraq's Vote to Expel U.S. Troops Is Iran's True Victory
Ben Connable
Jan 6, 2020
Los Angeles Times
If American soldiers are ejected from Iraq, the consequences may be far-reaching and damaging to U.S. strategic interests. What options remain to reset the relationship between Washington and Baghdad?
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Iran
commentary
All-Out U.S.-Iran War Is Unlikely. But Low-Level War Expected to Continue
Brian Michael Jenkins @BrianMJenkins
Jan 6, 2020
Fox News Channel
Iranian retaliation for Soleimani's killing and counter-retaliation by the United States seem likely. But Tehran and Washington have good reasons to inflict limited pain without engaging in a full-scale war.
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Iraq
commentary
Can Iraq Evict U.S. Forces?
Stacie L. Pettyjohn @StaciePettyjohn
Jan 6, 2020
The Washington Post
The Iraqi parliament voted to expel U.S. troops from Iraq. This vote was nonbinding, and the Iraqi caretaker government cannot pass laws, but it does indicate that a majority in parliament wants U.S. forces to leave.
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Artificial Intelligence
commentary
What Chess Can Teach Us About the Future of AI and War
Andrew J. Lohn @andrewjlohn
Jan 3, 2020
War on the Rocks
Will artificial intelligence (AI) change warfare? It's hard to say. AI itself is not new, but AI as a critical factor in competitions is relatively novel and, as a result, there's not much data to draw from. Perhaps the most interesting examples are in the world of chess.
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North Korea
commentary
North Korea: Selling Political Deception
Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett
Jan 3, 2020
The National Interest
Why did Kim Jong-un substitute releasing the North Korean Workers' Party Plenary report instead of his traditional New Year's address? As with many things in North Korea, we do not know, forcing us to speculate.
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West Africa
commentary
Abandoning West Africa Carries Risks for U.S.
Michael Shurkin @MichaelShurkin
Jan 3, 2020
The Hill
News that the U.S. Department of Defense is contemplating a major drawdown in West Africa comes as the region is in crisis. For Americans, the Sahel crisis raises a fundamental question: Beyond basic humanitarian concern, if the Sahel falls apart, why should Americans care?
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China
commentary
What to Expect from China in 2020
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne, James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Jan 3, 2020
The Hill
Last year was an eventful one in China, with U.S.–China trade tensions escalating, protests in Hong Kong reaching a crisis point, and President Xi Jinping further consolidating power. What might the rest of the world expect from China in 2020?
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Russia
commentary
Why We Must Talk to Russia
Samuel Charap @scharap, Jeremy Shapiro
Jan 2, 2020
Atlantic Council
Compromise is the essence of diplomacy, the only way short of coercion, violence, and war of settling international disputes. Before we accept that no compromise with Russia is possible, we should first understand the cost of a new Cold War with Russia that would result.
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244

Turkey's Nationalist Course and How It Affects U.S.-Turkish Relations

U.S. Airport Infrastructure Funding and Financing

How Washington Could Make Beijing Listen on Xinjiang

U.S.-Turkish Relations, Airports, Opioids: RAND Weekly Recap

Built to Last: Planning and Funding Resilient Infrastructure

The Policy Currents Podcast

Helping Children Cope with Trauma: A School-Based Intervention

Planning for the Rising Costs of Dementia

Addressing the Invisible Wounds of War

Helping Coastal Communities Plan for Climate Change

The RAND Blog

How Washington Could Make Beijing Listen on Xinjiang

Iran Claws Back Its Regional Influence

Why Is China Pressing Indonesia Again Over Its Maritime Claims?

Mental Wellbeing in the Workplace

China's Footprint in Europe

How the 'Ostrich Europe' Scenario Could Help Guide EU Education Policy

How Will Iran Respond to Soleimani's Killing—and Where Will the Escalation End?

Baghdad Siege Wasn't Benghazi, and Never Will Be

Iraq's Vote to Expel U.S. Troops Is Iran's True Victory

All-Out U.S.-Iran War Is Unlikely. But Low-Level War Expected to Continue

Can Iraq Evict U.S. Forces?

What Chess Can Teach Us About the Future of AI and War

North Korea: Selling Political Deception

Abandoning West Africa Carries Risks for U.S.

What to Expect from China in 2020

Why We Must Talk to Russia

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