Arms Proliferation and Control

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Nuclear Testing: A Second Coming?
Vladimir Putin's Russia is again rattling its nuclear saber. Putin has hinted that Russia might, as one option, resume nuclear testing. The United States and NATO must carefully consider their nuclear responses.
Sep 12, 2024

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South Korean Nuclear Nonproliferation Pivot Points
The growing North Korean nuclear weapon force has created a pivot point for South Korea, where many are unsure that they can blindly depend on the U.S. nuclear umbrella to deter North Korea. A growing number of South Korean officials are calling for South Korea to build its own nuclear weapons.
Aug 12, 2024
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Something Is Rotten in the State of Russian Arms Industry
Despite Russia's claims of robust arms production and export capabilities, Moscow faces significant challenges. Declining sales, reliance on outdated weaponry, and strained international relationships indicate a stark contrast between state propaganda and the reality faced by the Russian arms industry.
Aug 7, 2024
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Did Kim Jong-un Really Seek to Denuclearize?
Former South Korean President Moon Jae-in claims in his recent memoir that Kim was sincere in promising to denuclearize in 2018, and Moon believed him. Moon sees the failure to pursue Kim's willingness as a major lost opportunity. Can we believe such a claim?
Jun 11, 2024
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National Security Memorandum 20 and the Challenge of Operational End-Use Monitoring
The U.S. Department of Defense's internal efforts to address civilian harm due to U.S. military operations should be closely integrated with the goal of increasing accountability in arms transfer decisions. Making conditions associated with the transfer of U.S. arms more explicit is an important first step in being able to enforce them.
May 13, 2024
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Did North Korea Really Test a Hypersonic Missile?
North Korea is working toward the deployment of hypersonic missiles that it claims could render South Korean and U.S. missile defenses useless. Still, its claims of a successful test this month appear greatly exaggerated.
Apr 9, 2024
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The Politics of North Korea's ICBM Program
It appears that Kim Jong-un is now practicing ICBM politics. Successful ICBM launches generate internal political support and remind South Korean citizens of reasons to question the reliability of the U.S. nuclear umbrella.
Jan 2, 2024
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Nuclear Weapons in the North Korean World View
As Kim Jong-un's actions become more threatening, the risks of a catastrophic accidental nuclear war become more likely. The United States needs to make North Korean denuclearization a long-term objective but focus in the immediate future on limiting the size and danger of the North Korean nuclear weapon force.
Oct 11, 2023
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Hard Times for U.S.-Russian Nuclear Arms Control
New START is slated to expire in February 2026 and cannot be extended. The next chapter in U.S.-Russia nuclear arms control, if there is to be one, may not be written until rulers in Moscow ease repression at home, pull troops out of Ukraine, and recognize the mutual benefits of reducing, rather than stoking, nuclear tensions.
Aug 28, 2023
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Russia's War in Ukraine Could Reshape the Global Arms Market in Favor of China
The war in Ukraine is straining Russia's defense production, which is having downstream effects on Moscow's ability to export arms. China has the opportunity, the incentive, and the capacity to gain from Russia's losses. As Russia relinquishes more of its share of the global arms market, there is not much standing in the way of China's success.
Jul 10, 2023
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Countries Buy Defective Chinese Military Equipment. Why?
China's defense industry has exported malfunctioning and defective military equipment in recent years—leaving countries short of what's needed for their security while also draining military budgets. So why do countries continue to order military equipment from China?
Jun 8, 2023
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How China Is Building Influence Through Arms Sales
China may be using arms sales to strengthen alliances around the South China Sea and counter the United States' regional alliances. Beijing's security relationships around the South China Sea could be a harbinger of what it might replicate in Africa and possibly Latin America.
Dec 9, 2022
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The Iran Nuclear Deal: Is the Juice Still Worth the Squeeze?
The talks to reinstate the Iran nuclear deal have been dragging on for 18 months. But the negotiations are not about very much; the general contours of the original agreement still hold. As the clock keeps ticking, though, it gets harder to revive it. At some point, the juice won't be worth the squeeze.
Oct 10, 2022
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How Russia's Nuclear Double Cross of Ukraine Teaches Dangerous Lessons
Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the West's support for Kyiv has been tempered by an ace up Vladimir Putin's sleeve: the potential use of nuclear weapons. But other countries are taking notice, which could imperil world stability even further.
Aug 16, 2022
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A Renewed Nuclear Deal With Iran: Turning Back the Clock?
Diplomats from Europe, the United States, Russia, China, and Iran are in Vienna trying to revive the Iran nuclear agreement of 2015. But even if negotiations succeed, the post-deal environment could be much more unstable than it was seven years ago.
Mar 4, 2022
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What Does Africa Need Most Now: Russian Arms Sales or Good Vaccines?
Why is Russia's main export to Africa advanced conventional weapons at a time when other needs are so great? African leaders might think twice about aggressive Russian arms pitches and engagement of mercenaries, and prioritize measures to stem the COVID-19 pandemic and encourage economic growth.
Nov 17, 2021

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Quoted

Ukraine's Kursk offensive was a tactical masterstroke that changed the geometry of the battlefield by extending Russian lines and obliging them to rethink their force allocation assumptions. This changes the military calculus.

Ann Marie Dailey

Policy Researcher

Source: The National Interest

While it may not be obvious to patients, AI is already integrated into daily health care systems, from predicting which patients are likely to develop infections to forecasting missed appointments. Other uses are not fully developed: while ChatGPT has demonstrated success on a number of medical board exams, hospitals are not outsourcing actual medical care to computers yet.

Shira H. Fischer

Physician Policy Researcher

Source: rand.org

What Teachers Think of School Safety and Lockdown Drills

The Veterans Left Behind: Eligibility for VA Benefits and Other Than Honorable Discharges

Take a Fresh Look at How Leaders Approach Narratives

Ukraine's 'Masterstroke' Kursk Offensive Is About Geometry, not Geography

Climate Change and Critical Infrastructure: Assessing the Risks and Identifying Mitigation Strategies

The Policy Currents Podcast

Getting to Know Military Caregivers and Their Needs

Managing Escalation in Crisis and War

Assessing and Articulating the Wider Benefits of Research

Improving Access to Early Childhood Education

Arms Proliferation and Control

Nuclear Testing: A Second Coming?

South Korean Nuclear Nonproliferation Pivot Points

Something Is Rotten in the State of Russian Arms Industry

Did Kim Jong-un Really Seek to Denuclearize?

National Security Memorandum 20 and the Challenge of Operational End-Use Monitoring

Did North Korea Really Test a Hypersonic Missile?

The Politics of North Korea's ICBM Program

Nuclear Weapons in the North Korean World View

Hard Times for U.S.-Russian Nuclear Arms Control

Russia's War in Ukraine Could Reshape the Global Arms Market in Favor of China

Countries Buy Defective Chinese Military Equipment. Why?

How China Is Building Influence Through Arms Sales

The Iran Nuclear Deal: Is the Juice Still Worth the Squeeze?

How Russia's Nuclear Double Cross of Ukraine Teaches Dangerous Lessons

A Renewed Nuclear Deal With Iran: Turning Back the Clock?

What Does Africa Need Most Now: Russian Arms Sales or Good Vaccines?

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