Belarus

Belarus

commentary
Moscow Hesitated in Poland—Will It in Belarus?
Forty years ago, Russia used a major military exercise in part to scare Poland's communist leaders into cracking down on protesters. A similar Russian exercise now could be aimed in part at pressuring Belarus. If so, the West could respond in several ways.
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Sep 13, 2021
William Courtney @courtneywmh

Russia

commentary
Belarusian Mortgage on Russia's Future
In September, President Vladimir Putin signaled that Russia was throwing its weight behind embattled Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko. But any move to enforce Putin's will in Belarus could invite tougher Western sanctions and scare investors. This would exacerbate problems facing Russia's flagging economy.
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Oct 5, 2020
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Howard J. Shatz @HowardJShatz
Political Reform Movements

blog
Radicalization, the Gender Pay Gap, Israel-UAE Deal: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on the potential for a new era of radicalization, insights into the gender pay gap, why the Israel-UAE deal doesn’t merit the hype, and more.
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Aug 21, 2020
Belarus

commentary
The West's Role in Belarus
Belarus may be on the verge of political change. If allowed to help, how could the West support free and fair elections and the formation of a legitimate government?
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Aug 18, 2020
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Michael Haltzel
Security Cooperation

commentary
Joint Military Exercises Distract from Complex Russia-Belarus Relationship
Analysts and military leaders have concerns that Russia will use the Zapad 2017 exercise in Belarus as a smokescreen to put personnel and equipment in place, and keep it there. But the deep ties and history of cooperation between the two states make the chances of that happening unlikely.
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Sep 13, 2017
Bruce McClintock @BHMcClintock, Bilyana Lilly
commentary
Belarus: Between Russia and the West
Public demonstrations in Minsk and across Russia hint that winds of political change and disillusionment with stagnation and corruption may be reaching both countries. Their leaders will blame the West, try to ride out the protests and, despite differences, will likely stick together.
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Mar 29, 2017
Kenneth Yalowitz, William Courtney @courtneywmh

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Belarus

Moscow Hesitated in Poland—Will It in Belarus?

Belarusian Mortgage on Russia's Future

Radicalization, the Gender Pay Gap, Israel-UAE Deal: RAND Weekly Recap

The West's Role in Belarus

Joint Military Exercises Distract from Complex Russia-Belarus Relationship

Belarus: Between Russia and the West

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