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The RAND Blog

Belarus

  • Russian paratroopers line up to board a transport plane during Zapad-2021 military exercises at an aerodrome in Kaliningrad Region, Russia, September 13, 2021, photo by Vitaly Nevar/Reuters
    Belarus

    commentary

    Moscow Hesitated in Poland—Will It in Belarus?

    William Courtney @courtneywmh

    Sep 13, 2021

    The Hill

    Forty years ago, Russia used a major military exercise in part to scare Poland's communist leaders into cracking down on protesters. A similar Russian exercise now could be aimed in part at pressuring Belarus. If so, the West could respond in several ways.

    Read More »
  • Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko and Russian President Vladimir Putin meet in Sochi, Russia, February 15, 2019, photo by Sergei Chirikov/Pool/Reuters
    Russia

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    Belarusian Mortgage on Russia's Future

    William Courtney @courtneywmh, Howard J. Shatz @HowardJShatz

    Oct 5, 2020

    The Moscow Times

    In September, President Vladimir Putin signaled that Russia was throwing its weight behind embattled Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko. But any move to enforce Putin's will in Belarus could invite tougher Western sanctions and scare investors. This would exacerbate problems facing Russia's flagging economy.

    Read More »
  • Political Reform Movements

    blog

    Radicalization, the Gender Pay Gap, Israel-UAE Deal: RAND Weekly Recap

    Aug 21, 2020

    This weekly recap focuses on the potential for a new era of radicalization, insights into the gender pay gap, why the Israel-UAE deal doesn’t merit the hype, and more.

    Read More »
  • Protestors gather in Minsk, Belarus, to demand the resignation of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko and the release of political prisoners, August 16, 2020, photo by Vasily Fedosenko/Reuters
    Belarus

    commentary

    The West's Role in Belarus

    William Courtney @courtneywmh, Michael Haltzel

    Aug 18, 2020

    RealClearWorld

    Belarus may be on the verge of political change. If allowed to help, how could the West support free and fair elections and the formation of a legitimate government?

    Read More »
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko walk to watch the closing stage of the joint war games Zapad-2013 (West-2013) at the Gozhsky firing range in Grodno, September 26, 2013
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Joint Military Exercises Distract from Complex Russia-Belarus Relationship

    Bruce McClintock @BHMcClintock, Bilyana Lilly

    Sep 13, 2017

    The National Interest

    Analysts and military leaders have concerns that Russia will use the Zapad 2017 exercise in Belarus as a smokescreen to put personnel and equipment in place, and keep it there. But the deep ties and history of cooperation between the two states make the chances of that happening unlikely.

    Read More »
  • Law enforcement officers walk during a gathering denouncing the new tax on those not in full-time employment in Minsk, Belarus, March 25, 2017

    commentary

    Belarus: Between Russia and the West

    Kenneth Yalowitz, William Courtney @courtneywmh

    Mar 29, 2017

    The National Interest

    Public demonstrations in Minsk and across Russia hint that winds of political change and disillusionment with stagnation and corruption may be reaching both countries. Their leaders will blame the West, try to ride out the protests and, despite differences, will likely stick together.

    Read More »

Quoted

  • The allure of training technology can often overshadow its value. Today, virtual reality, or VR, is a hot topic in the military training community, but training tools must be developed and selected according to their anticipated use. Context matters, and sometimes the best and most cost-effective training tool may just be a book.

    tim marler, m1168

    Timothy Marler

    Senior Research Engineer

    Source: Defense News

  • In the United States, a good soldier is a happy soldier, one that's properly fed, paid, and treated with respect. But the Russian high command behaves as if its troops are an afterthought, making tactical decisions as if it can simply throw people at poorly designed objectives until it succeeds.

    Dara Massicot

    Senior Policy Researcher

    Source: Foreign Affairs

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