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The RAND Blog

Belarus

  • Russian reservists recruited to support the military campaign in Ukraine walk towards a banner with a portrait of Russian President Putin during a ceremony before their departure in Omsk, Russia, January 6, 2023, photo by Alexey Malgavko/Reuters
    Military Strategy

    commentary

    Consequences of the War in Ukraine: Escalation

    If Russian forces remain unable to defeat Ukraine, and Putin remains unwilling to back down, what escalation options does Russia have left?

    Read More »

    Feb 27, 2023

    The RAND Blog

    Brian Michael Jenkins @BrianMJenkins

  • Russia

    commentary

    Russia's Appetite May Extend Beyond Ukraine

    Unless Russian forces are defeated in Ukraine or withdrawn by new Kremlin rulers, Moscow might assault other post-Soviet neighbors. The West may face limits on the extent to which it could help them thwart such attacks.

    Read More »

    Feb 17, 2023

    The Hill

    William Courtney @courtneywmh

  • Belarus

    commentary

    Moscow Hesitated in Poland—Will It in Belarus?

    Forty years ago, Russia used a major military exercise in part to scare Poland's communist leaders into cracking down on protesters. A similar Russian exercise now could be aimed in part at pressuring Belarus. If so, the West could respond in several ways.

    Read More »

    Sep 13, 2021

    The Hill

    William Courtney @courtneywmh

  • Russia

    commentary

    Belarusian Mortgage on Russia's Future

    In September, President Vladimir Putin signaled that Russia was throwing its weight behind embattled Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko. But any move to enforce Putin's will in Belarus could invite tougher Western sanctions and scare investors. This would exacerbate problems facing Russia's flagging economy.

    Read More »

    Oct 5, 2020

    The Moscow Times

    William Courtney @courtneywmh, Howard J. Shatz @HowardJShatz

  • Political Reform Movements

    blog

    Radicalization, the Gender Pay Gap, Israel-UAE Deal: RAND Weekly Recap

    This weekly recap focuses on the potential for a new era of radicalization, insights into the gender pay gap, why the Israel-UAE deal doesn’t merit the hype, and more.

    Read More »

    Aug 21, 2020

  • Belarus

    commentary

    The West's Role in Belarus

    Belarus may be on the verge of political change. If allowed to help, how could the West support free and fair elections and the formation of a legitimate government?

    Read More »

    Aug 18, 2020

    RealClearWorld

    William Courtney @courtneywmh, Michael Haltzel

  • Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Joint Military Exercises Distract from Complex Russia-Belarus Relationship

    Analysts and military leaders have concerns that Russia will use the Zapad 2017 exercise in Belarus as a smokescreen to put personnel and equipment in place, and keep it there. But the deep ties and history of cooperation between the two states make the chances of that happening unlikely.

    Read More »

    Sep 13, 2017

    The National Interest

    Bruce McClintock @BHMcClintock, Bilyana Lilly

  • commentary

    Belarus: Between Russia and the West

    Public demonstrations in Minsk and across Russia hint that winds of political change and disillusionment with stagnation and corruption may be reaching both countries. Their leaders will blame the West, try to ride out the protests and, despite differences, will likely stick together.

    Read More »

    Mar 29, 2017

    The National Interest

    Kenneth Yalowitz, William Courtney @courtneywmh

Quoted

  • There is no question that the Iraq War upended the balance of power in the Middle East, but the war has had a similarly profound effect on American politics as well. It left sizeable swaths of the American population on both the left and the right questioning not only whether the United States should conduct armed nation-building in the future, but to what degree, if any, the United States should be militarily involved abroad at all.

    Raphael Cohen

    Raphael S. Cohen

    Director, Strategy and Doctrine Program, RAND Project AIR FORCE

    Source: The RAND Blog

  • The Iraq War had profound consequences for U.S.-Iran relations, as it turned Iraq into a site of indirect conflict between the United States and Iran. The political instability that accompanied the war, moreover, created an opening for Iran to increase its influence in Iraqi domestic politics and internal affairs.

    michelle grise

    Michelle Grisé

    Policy Researcher

    Source: The RAND Blog

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