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China

International Diplomacy
commentary
The Need for Superpowers to Embrace a Vision of World Affairs
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Jun 21, 2018
The RAND Blog
A superpower promulgates a conception of world affairs that attracts others, enabling it to advance its objectives and amplify its values far more than it could do on its own. Washington has a significant edge over Beijing in this regard.
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commentary
The Quad: Second Verse, Same as the First?
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Jun 15, 2018
The Diplomat
Members of “the Quad” — an informal collaborative arrangement among the United States, Japan, India, and Australia — have proven incapable of adopting either a shared understanding of or unified policies toward China.
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Taiwan
commentary
Beijing's Threats Against Taiwan Are Deadly Serious
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
May 22, 2018
Foreign Policy
China's perception of the political status of Taiwan and how close Taipei and Washington have become has come to dominate cross-strait relations. Taiwan and the United States should prepare for greater hostility in the coming years, almost certainly lasting until the next Taiwan presidential election in 2020.
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Vietnam
commentary
Deciphering Vietnam's Evolving Military Doctrine in the South China Sea
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman, Nguyen Nhat Anh
May 11, 2018
Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative
Vietnam has sought to balance China's expanding presence in the South China Sea through diplomacy and military modernization. The Vietnam People's Army has acquired many useful weapons, but unfamiliarity with combat in the sea and air will test its evolving military doctrine.
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International Trade
commentary
The Greater Danger of U.S.-China Trade Tensions
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
May 9, 2018
The Diplomat
Trade tensions between the United States and China could escalate into a full-blown trade war, with ramifications for economic ties and the global economy. The long-term danger, however, is that tensions could begin to undercut the interdependence that has been so essential to keeping strategic competition between the two giants in check.
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China
commentary
Recalibrate, Rather Than Abandon, U.S. China Policy
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
May 8, 2018
World Politics Review
China does not necessarily seek to succeed the U.S. as the world’s superpower, especially if such a mantle would impose on it real and/or perceived obligations for steering global affairs. What is the verdict, then, on America’s China policy, and where should the two countries go from here?
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China
commentary
To Protect Interests Abroad, China Will Feature a Diverse Array of Military, Non-Military Forces
Timothy R. Heath
Apr 9, 2018
The National Interest
As Beijing grapples with the realities of an economy increasingly susceptible to disruption from distant influences, experts debate how the Chinese military might protect overseas interests. Some have speculated that China may seek a military like that of the United States. Others have dismissed such a possibility.
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Military Tactics
commentary
China Welcomes Its Newest Armed Force: The Coast Guard
Lyle J. Morris @LyleJMorris
Apr 4, 2018
War on the Rocks
China's recent move to transfer responsibility for the China Coast Guard to the People's Armed Police will have major symbolic implications for China's presence in disputed waters. It can no longer claim its presence in the South China Sea is purely civilian in nature.
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Communism
commentary
China's Strengthening of Communist Party Rule Is Not Just a Power Grab
Timothy R. Heath
Apr 2, 2018
World Politics Review
Strengthening the leadership role of the Communist Party and removing term limits for President Xi Jinping have raised fears about increasingly authoritarian Chinese politics. While repression may well increase, boosting the party’s influence also increases the chance of badly needed reforms concerning governance and the economy.
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Vietnam
commentary
Vietnam's Remarkable Month of Balancing Against China in the South China Sea
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Mar 26, 2018
The Diplomat
Vietnam in March very publicly engaged in a string of activities to strengthen deterrence against China in the South China Sea. But Hanoi's push to deepen external defense ties with states that can help its cause will not necessarily translate into greater risk-taking in the region.
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China
commentary
Book Review: Safe Passage: The Transition from British to American Hegemony
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Mar 7, 2018
Los Angeles Review of Books
In Safe Passage: The Transition from British to American Hegemony Kori Schake discusses the world's peaceful transition from British Empire to United States preeminence. She also considers the implications of her analysis for the present dynamics between a preeminent United States and a resurgent China.
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Communism
commentary
One Belt, One Road, One Ruler: China Term Limits Ban Imperils Progress
Bill Gelfeld
Mar 6, 2018
United Press International
The abolition of presidential term limits in China represents a sea change in Communist Party politics and signals the consolidation of personalist rule by President Xi Jinping. Deviations from term limits are deleterious for good governance, political rights, and accountability.
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Information Operations
commentary
Beijing's Influence Operations Target Chinese Diaspora
Timothy R. Heath
Mar 1, 2018
War on the Rocks
China's efforts to cultivate support in and control diaspora communities threaten to worsen inter-ethnic tensions, aggravate political and social polarization, and harm the civil rights and freedoms of citizens in other countries. Such activities merit close attention by democratic governments seeking to counter China's influence operations.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
The Danger of Might Without Power
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Feb 28, 2018
Lowy Institute
A more forceful U.S. posture in the Asia-Pacific would likely strengthen America's long-term position in the region. The effort should rehabilitate key bilateral alliances, especially with Tokyo and Seoul, and compete with or at least supplement the roster of economic initiatives that China is advancing across the region.
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International Economic Relations
commentary
North Korean Sanctions to Make for Interesting U.S.-China Trade Talks
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Feb 28, 2018
The Hill
With one of China's top officials arriving in Washington for trade talks, this might not be the best time to impose additional tariffs on Chinese exports, as the Trump administration has been threatening.
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Economic Development
commentary
What Next for China-Pakistan Relations?
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman, Keren Zhu
Feb 26, 2018
South China Morning Post
The recent downgrade in U.S.-Pakistan relations will present both opportunities and challenges for China. Beijing can use the recent strain to promote a new model of international development, but must be wary of becoming the sole external power responsible for maintaining stability in the region.
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China

The Need for Superpowers to Embrace a Vision of World Affairs

The Quad: Second Verse, Same as the First?

Beijing's Threats Against Taiwan Are Deadly Serious

Deciphering Vietnam's Evolving Military Doctrine in the South China Sea

The Greater Danger of U.S.-China Trade Tensions

Recalibrate, Rather Than Abandon, U.S. China Policy

To Protect Interests Abroad, China Will Feature a Diverse Array of Military, Non-Military Forces

China Welcomes Its Newest Armed Force: The Coast Guard

China's Strengthening of Communist Party Rule Is Not Just a Power Grab

Vietnam's Remarkable Month of Balancing Against China in the South China Sea

Book Review: Safe Passage: The Transition from British to American Hegemony

One Belt, One Road, One Ruler: China Term Limits Ban Imperils Progress

Beijing's Influence Operations Target Chinese Diaspora

The Danger of Might Without Power

North Korean Sanctions to Make for Interesting U.S.-China Trade Talks

What Next for China-Pakistan Relations?

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