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International Economic Relations
commentary
The Trump-Xi Meeting at G-20: Kicking the Can Down the Road
Rafiq Dossani
Dec 14, 2018
RealClearWorld
Much was expected of the discussion at the 2018 G-20 meeting in Buenos Aires between the United States and China on their ongoing trade war. However, nothing of significance emerged. With signs of a global economic slowdown surfacing earlier than expected, the failed outcomes of this meeting could come back to haunt world leaders.
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China
commentary
Is This the Beginning of a New Cold War?
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Dec 12, 2018
ChinaFile
It has become increasingly common for observers of world affairs to contend that the United States and China have either entered into or are poised to embark on a new Cold War. While the contours of a long-term contest between Washington and Beijing are undoubtedly forming, especially in the economic realm, the analogy is problematic.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Sino-Japan Rapprochement Will Likely Fail
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Dec 7, 2018
Debating Japan (CSIS)
Recent meetings and otherwise relative calm between China and Japan may give the impression that their ties are improving. But because of their strategic competition and fundamental differences, it is more likely than not that their current rapprochement will fail.
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Operational Readiness
commentary
China's Military Has No Combat Experience: Does It Matter?
Timothy R. Heath
Nov 27, 2018
Foreign Policy
China's military has an impressive high-tech arsenal, but its ability to use these weapons and equipment remains unclear. The one asset that the People's Liberation Army lacks is combat experience. But there is no consensus—either within Chinese military circles or among foreign analysts—on how much that matters.
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China
commentary
U.S.-China Relations See Potential Thaw, but Risk of Military Crisis Remains
Timothy R. Heath
Nov 20, 2018
Newsweek
Deep disagreements between China and the United States on an array of issues, exacerbated by political incentives to avoid compromise, raise a persistent risk of military crisis. Stepping up official communication, building mechanisms to manage crises, and dialing back antagonistic behavior could help cut the risk of miscalculation and help stabilize ties.
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Politics and Government
commentary
What Does America's Political Polarization Mean for Competition with China?
Timothy R. Heath
Nov 9, 2018
The Hill
Political polarization in the United States potentially carries significant implications for America's strategic competition with China. Leaders in Washington will need to work to mitigate the effects of polarization and manage competition with China in a stable, effective manner.
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Law of the Sea
commentary
The Quad Needs Broadening to Balance China—And Now's the Time to Do It
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Oct 22, 2018
Foreign Policy
Even in its resurrected form, the Quad could be in danger of failing to achieve its mission. The Quad might consider getting its house in order by extending dialogue partnerships to ASEAN maritime counterclaimant states.
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Pakistan
commentary
New Pakistan, Old Challenges
Rafiq Dossani, Jalal Awan
Oct 17, 2018
The National Interest
While the United States has been voicing concerns about the destabilizing potential of China's Belt and Road Initiative, Pakistan needs the economic stability that initiative could bring. As long as Pakistan remains a poor country, its democracy will be at risk.
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Operational Readiness
commentary
Are We Truly Prepared for a War with Russia or China?
Michael Spirtas
Oct 9, 2018
The Hill
The U.S. Department of Defense will likely need a strategy to overcome a war with either Russia or China. As threats from these two countries grow, what can the United States do now to prepare for major conflict?
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China
commentary
What Does China's Pursuit of a Global Coalition Mean for World Politics?
Timothy R. Heath
Oct 8, 2018
Pacific Forum
As disputes between Beijing and Washington over trade and other issues intensify, analysts have highlighted domestic factors as reasons why President Xi Jinping may resist compromise. However, China's pursuit of a greater international leadership role likely plays an overlooked, but increasingly important role.
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International Economic Relations
commentary
The Implications of U.S.-China Trade Tensions for Japan
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Sep 18, 2018
Kyodo News
Washington and Beijing seem prepared to begin decoupling from one another economically, which puts Tokyo in a difficult position. Japan may have to devise new strategies not only for sustaining its growth, but also for insulating itself from the impact of deteriorating relations between the United States and China.
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Joint Operations
commentary
Huge Military Drills Show Both the Limits and the Durability of China-Russia Ties
Timothy R. Heath
Sep 11, 2018
World Politics Review
The appearance of military cooperation between China and Russia masks deep strategic distrust and suspicion. But despite these real limitations, strong incentives and a lack of alternatives provide a sturdy foundation for a continued strategic partnership going forward.
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Globalization
commentary
The Global Order Will Outlast U.S. Leadership
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Aug 23, 2018
The Wall Street Journal
Even if America bails on the international order there is plenty of evidence that Europe, China, Japan, and the rest of the developed world will maintain existing multilateral structures and build new ones. The order will survive but may become less liberal, less democratic, and perhaps less peaceful.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
A U.S.-Russia Partnership Against China Is Unlikely
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Aug 21, 2018
Lowy Institute
After Donald Trump's summit with Vladimir Putin in Helsinki in July, it might appear as if the U.S. and Russia are considering the formation of a partnership against China. But Russia seems more likely to try to expand the scope of its cooperation with China while also attempting to extract concessions from the United States.
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China
commentary
Navigating Asia's Stormy Seas: Regional Perspectives on U.S.-China Competition
Michael S. Chase, Mara Karlin
Aug 7, 2018
The Diplomat
Many of the key advantages the United States enjoys in a strategic competition with China depend on strong relationships with U.S. allies and partners. Beijing will certainly do its utmost to take advantage of any opportunities presented by concerns about the strength and sustainability of the U.S. role in the region.
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Threat Assessment
commentary
The Security Risks of a Trade War with China
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Aug 6, 2018
Foreign Affairs
As U.S.-China trade tensions continue to rise, many observers are focused on the potential for a full-fledged trade war that could destabilize the world economy. But there are security concerns as well. A China less constrained by and invested in economic ties with the United States could pose a greater challenge to U.S. foreign policy.
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China

The Trump-Xi Meeting at G-20: Kicking the Can Down the Road

Is This the Beginning of a New Cold War?

Sino-Japan Rapprochement Will Likely Fail

China's Military Has No Combat Experience: Does It Matter?

U.S.-China Relations See Potential Thaw, but Risk of Military Crisis Remains

What Does America's Political Polarization Mean for Competition with China?

The Quad Needs Broadening to Balance China—And Now's the Time to Do It

New Pakistan, Old Challenges

Are We Truly Prepared for a War with Russia or China?

What Does China's Pursuit of a Global Coalition Mean for World Politics?

The Implications of U.S.-China Trade Tensions for Japan

Huge Military Drills Show Both the Limits and the Durability of China-Russia Ties

The Global Order Will Outlast U.S. Leadership

A U.S.-Russia Partnership Against China Is Unlikely

Navigating Asia's Stormy Seas: Regional Perspectives on U.S.-China Competition

The Security Risks of a Trade War with China

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