China

International Diplomacy
commentary
What to Watch to Understand the Sino-Iranian Relationship
Colin P. Clarke, Mollie Saltskog
Aug 13, 2020
Lawfare
Beijing and Tehran are in the process of finalizing an ambitious partnership covering a range of security and economic issues. The United States should not overreact to shifting geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East, and should instead keep an eye out to assess the evolution of the relationship and take stock of what is delivered instead of what is merely promised.
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Vaccination
commentary
Who Will Benefit from a Successful Chinese COVID-19 Vaccine?
Jennifer Bouey @BoueyHuang
Aug 12, 2020
The Hill
China is already one of the world's largest producers of vaccines, and could be among the first to produce a successful vaccine for COVID-19. There are several issues before large-scale benefits will accrue globally. Can China produce sufficient doses for its domestic use and for other countries? Which countries are likely to benefit?
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Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
blog
Preparing for a COVID-19 Election, Hurricane Response, North Korea: RAND Weekly Recap
Aug 7, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on preparing for a COVID-19 election, how the pandemic is affecting artists, North Korea's deadly artillery, and more.
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Vietnam
commentary
What Does Vietnam Think About America's Indo-Pacific Strategy?
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Aug 5, 2020
The Diplomat
The South China Sea is where the rubber meets the road for U.S.-Vietnam security ties, and in this regard, Hanoi has gone as far as it is comfortable. Washington should expect Vietnam to continue seeking balance between China, which has economic and military superiority over it, and the United States, which can help offset Chinese power.
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Nuclear Deterrence
commentary
Negotiating with Great Powers on Nuclear Arms
Frank G. Klotz, John Lauder, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Aug 3, 2020
RealClearDefense
The Trump Administration has yet to decide the fate of the sole remaining U.S.-Russian nuclear arms control treaty, New START, which expires in February. Among other conditions, it insists that any follow-on nuclear accord with Russia must also include China. But overcoming China's reticence to engage in nuclear-related talks will likely take deft diplomacy, time, and patience.
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China
blog
China in 2050, Using Mobile Tools to Track COVID-19, Telemedicine: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 31, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on the future of U.S.-China competition, privacy concerns surrounding mobile tools used to track COVID-19, how telemedicine can help patients access specialized care, and more.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
The Quad Is Poised to Become Openly Anti-China Soon
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jul 28, 2020
The Wire
What has been striking about the Quad thus far is that it has resisted openly identifying China as the primary target it seeks to rein in. If the Quad is to be sustained, then it will likely have to come to grips with a forward-leaning approach to opposing Chinese activities.
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Philippines
commentary
China Refuses to Quit on the Philippines
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jul 22, 2020
The Diplomat
When the Filipino people elected Rodrigo Duterte to become their next president in May 2016, China saw a distinct opportunity to pull the longtime U.S. ally away from Washington and into Beijing's strategic orbit. But it remains to be seen how the long-term geopolitical competition between the United States and China over the Philippines will play out.
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China
commentary
Wuhan, from the Cultural Revolution to COVID-19
Andrew Scobell
Jul 20, 2020
Lawfare
Fifty-three years ago, China was in the midst of the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution, and Wuhan was ground zero for battles between armed factions in the streets of cities across the country. In 2020, Wuhan has once again taken center stage as the epicenter of a contagion sweeping not just China, but the world. There are some striking parallels and similarities between the notoriety of this central Chinese city then and now.
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Summer Learning
blog
COVID Learning Loss, Russian Trolls, Artificial Intelligence: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 17, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on helping students recover learning losses, fighting Russian trolls, racial disparity in unemployment benefits, the race for AI leadership, and more.
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International Economic Relations
commentary
Demystifying the Belt and Road Initiative
Rafiq Dossani
Jul 6, 2020
Encompass
Under the Belt and Road Initiative, China works with more than 70 countries to design and implement large infrastructure projects. Why are countries of all stripes turning to China for funding when the world is awash with cash?
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China
commentary
Chinese Border Aggression Against India Likely Unrelated to Pandemic
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jul 6, 2020
The Diplomat
Some argue that Beijing's aggression at the China-India border is part of an attempt to exploit the pandemic. But it may simply be a continuation of China's threatening behavior in the Indo-Pacific, which began before COVID-19 started to spread.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
China Just Botched a Monumental Opportunity with the Philippines
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jun 18, 2020
The Diplomat
China hailed Philippines President Duterte's announcement in February of an end to the U.S.-Philippines Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) in six months as evidence the United States was losing the great power competition with China in the Indo-Pacific. But on June 2, Duterte decided to postpone the VFA termination, breathing new life into the decades-long agreement.
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Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
blog
Air Travel Data to Predict COVID Risk, Heatwave Planning, Caregiver Time Off: RAND Weekly Recap
Jun 12, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on using air travel data to predict COVID risk, planning for a heat wave during the pandemic, why caregivers need time off, and more.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Should the U.S. Move to Strengthen Ties with Taiwan?
Jeffrey W. Hornung, Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Jun 8, 2020
The Hill
The contrasts in behavior between Taiwan and China during the COVID-19 pandemic show why it could be critical that U.S. policymakers consider advancing U.S.-Taiwan cooperation to enhance Taiwan's security, protect U.S. interests, and preserve peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific.
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Taiwan
commentary
Is the '1992 Consensus' Fading Away in the Taiwan Strait?
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jun 3, 2020
The Diplomat
For nearly 30 years, China has routinely touted Taiwan's recognition of the 1992 Consensus as the sole basis for maintaining peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. However, the consensus may hold less relevance for both sides today than in the past.
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What to Watch to Understand the Sino-Iranian Relationship

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The Policy Currents Podcast

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Managing Escalation in Crisis and War

Planning for the Rising Costs of Dementia

Assessing and Articulating the Wider Benefits of Research

China

What to Watch to Understand the Sino-Iranian Relationship

Who Will Benefit from a Successful Chinese COVID-19 Vaccine?

Preparing for a COVID-19 Election, Hurricane Response, North Korea: RAND Weekly Recap

What Does Vietnam Think About America's Indo-Pacific Strategy?

Negotiating with Great Powers on Nuclear Arms

China in 2050, Using Mobile Tools to Track COVID-19, Telemedicine: RAND Weekly Recap

The Quad Is Poised to Become Openly Anti-China Soon

China Refuses to Quit on the Philippines

Wuhan, from the Cultural Revolution to COVID-19

COVID Learning Loss, Russian Trolls, Artificial Intelligence: RAND Weekly Recap

Demystifying the Belt and Road Initiative

Chinese Border Aggression Against India Likely Unrelated to Pandemic

China Just Botched a Monumental Opportunity with the Philippines

Air Travel Data to Predict COVID Risk, Heatwave Planning, Caregiver Time Off: RAND Weekly Recap

Should the U.S. Move to Strengthen Ties with Taiwan?

Is the '1992 Consensus' Fading Away in the Taiwan Strait?

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