Europe

Nuclear Deterrence
commentary
Negotiating with Great Powers on Nuclear Arms
Frank G. Klotz, John Lauder, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Aug 3, 2020
RealClearDefense
The Trump Administration has yet to decide the fate of the sole remaining U.S.-Russian nuclear arms control treaty, New START, which expires in February. Among other conditions, it insists that any follow-on nuclear accord with Russia must also include China. But overcoming China's reticence to engage in nuclear-related talks will likely take deft diplomacy, time, and patience.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Can America Weaken the Russia-Iran Axis?
Colin P. Clarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Jul 31, 2020
Newsweek
America's slow-motion retreat in Syria could embolden Iran and Russia and perhaps lead them to underestimate U.S. resolve to protect its interests in the Middle East. Clearer U.S. priorities and more deliberate engagement could reduce risk and help avoid miscalculation.
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China
blog
China in 2050, Using Mobile Tools to Track COVID-19, Telemedicine: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 31, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on the future of U.S.-China competition, privacy concerns surrounding mobile tools used to track COVID-19, how telemedicine can help patients access specialized care, and more.
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Child Health
commentary
COVID-19: Why Spending More Time at Home for Some Children Is Bad for Their Health
Andreas Culora
Jul 20, 2020
Open Access Government
Children in Europe are at a higher risk of poor quality and overcrowded housing when compared to the general population. Efforts to improve the quality of children's living environments could be key to mitigating the impacts of the outbreak of COVID-19 on children and their households in the coming months and years.
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Summer Learning
blog
COVID Learning Loss, Russian Trolls, Artificial Intelligence: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 17, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on helping students recover learning losses, fighting Russian trolls, racial disparity in unemployment benefits, the race for AI leadership, and more.
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Information Operations
commentary
How You Can Fight Russia's Plans to Troll Americans During Campaign 2020
Marek N. Posard @mnposard, James V. Marrone, Todd C. Helmus @Helmus
Jul 14, 2020
Los Angeles Times
The goal of Russian interference is to trigger emotional reactions and drive people to ideological extremes, making it nearly impossible to build a consensus. But Americans are less likely to have their emotions manipulated if they are aware that manipulation is the goal.
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Turkey
commentary
A Way Forward for the United States and Turkey
Nilsu Goren, Dalia Dassa Kaye
Jul 9, 2020
Al-Monitor
Relations between the United States and Turkey, while fraught with tension, must also align with a mutual interest in stability in the Middle East and preventing the spread of weapons of mass destruction. It may be important for the region's stability and prosperity to find constructive ways for the United States to work with Turkey in the years ahead.
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Military Doctrine
commentary
Modern War for Romantics: Ferdinand Foch and the Principles of War
Michael Shurkin @MichaelShurkin
Jul 8, 2020
War on the Rocks
Recent American military history suggests civilian and military leaders could benefit from studying French military strategy. For those who wish to understand French military thinking, the place to start is with Marshal Ferdinand Foch.
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International Economic Relations
commentary
The Cost of Brexit Uncertainty and the Negative Implications for the UK Economy
Christian Van Stolk, Marco Hafner
Jul 8, 2020
The RAND Blog
Leaving the European Union has had an overall negative economic effect on the UK economy, and there are additional economic costs associated with the uncertainty surrounding the new relationship. Will there be a deal? And if so, what type of deal is likely?
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Nuclear Deterrence
commentary
Take the Bird in the Hand. Strike a Nuclear Weapons Deal with Russia
Luke Griffith
Jul 1, 2020
RealClearPolicy
By extending New START, the Trump administration would preserve verifiable constraints on Russia's nuclear arsenal, buy time to negotiate a more comprehensive agreement, and pave the way for arms talks about intermediate-range missiles.
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Russia
commentary
Russia Is Eyeing the Mediterranean. The U.S. and NATO Must Be Prepared
Colin P. Clarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh, Bradley Martin, Bruce McClintock @BHMcClintock
Jun 30, 2020
Newsweek
Russia is seeking more access and freedom of movement in the Mediterranean region, and is bolstering its military footprint to achieve this objective. The United States and NATO could respond by developing a more robust southern strategy, with a reinforced air and naval presence, respectively.
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Social Services and Welfare
commentary
Long-Term Furloughs During COVID-19 Hold Risks for Employee Health and Well-Being
Carol Black, Christian Van Stolk
Jun 15, 2020
The Council for Work and Health
Governments around the world have offered furlough schemes to try to delay employers from making any restructuring decisions during the pandemic. The aims of such programs are laudable. But they may come with unintended consequences.
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Military Acquisition and Procurement
commentary
Spending Smart or Spending Big: The Value of Systematic Assessments of Weapons Procurement
Peter A. Wilson, John V. Parachini
Jun 8, 2020
The RAND Blog
Considering the COVID-19 pandemic and inevitable economic difficulties, national governments should be encouraged to weigh their military requirements in a more cost-effective manner. Countries need to think strategically about the life cycle costs of equipment, not just the original purchase price.
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Military Technology
commentary
The Risks of Autonomous Weapons Systems for Crisis Stability and Conflict Escalation in Future U.S.-Russia Confrontations
Burgess Laird @BurgessLaird
Jun 3, 2020
Russia Matters
While autonomous weapons systems are still in their early development stages, it is worth the time of policymakers to carefully consider whether their putative operational advantages are worth the potential risks of instability and escalation they may raise.
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Libya
commentary
Is the Conflict in Libya a Preview of the Future of Warfare?
Nathan Vest, Colin P. Clarke
Jun 2, 2020
Defense One
The Libyan conflict, now entering its ninth year, could well be a testing ground for how wars will be fought in the future. External nation-states have long interfered in other countries' civil wars, so what is new, exactly, about what is happening in Libya?
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Russia
commentary
Russia's Challenge and Syria's Chance
Colin P. Clarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh
May 20, 2020
Newsweek
With much of Syria lying in ruins, Russia can back a revived United Nations–led peacemaking process, or see the West rebuff its appeals for large-scale aid. If Russia chooses wisely, the West, wealthy Gulf countries, and China could help. If Moscow procrastinates, the West may withhold assistance and continue cooperation with regional partners.
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Europe

Negotiating with Great Powers on Nuclear Arms

Can America Weaken the Russia-Iran Axis?

China in 2050, Using Mobile Tools to Track COVID-19, Telemedicine: RAND Weekly Recap

COVID-19: Why Spending More Time at Home for Some Children Is Bad for Their Health

COVID Learning Loss, Russian Trolls, Artificial Intelligence: RAND Weekly Recap

How You Can Fight Russia's Plans to Troll Americans During Campaign 2020

A Way Forward for the United States and Turkey

Modern War for Romantics: Ferdinand Foch and the Principles of War

The Cost of Brexit Uncertainty and the Negative Implications for the UK Economy

Take the Bird in the Hand. Strike a Nuclear Weapons Deal with Russia

Russia Is Eyeing the Mediterranean. The U.S. and NATO Must Be Prepared

Long-Term Furloughs During COVID-19 Hold Risks for Employee Health and Well-Being

Spending Smart or Spending Big: The Value of Systematic Assessments of Weapons Procurement

The Risks of Autonomous Weapons Systems for Crisis Stability and Conflict Escalation in Future U.S.-Russia Confrontations

Is the Conflict in Libya a Preview of the Future of Warfare?

Russia's Challenge and Syria's Chance

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