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Globalization

International Diplomacy
commentary
This Is Not a Great-Power Competition
Michael J. Mazarr
May 29, 2019
Foreign Affairs
The emerging conventional wisdom among foreign policy analysts in Washington is that a new era of great-power competition is upon us. But does that phrase really capture today's reality?
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International Diplomacy
commentary
What Ronald Reagan Can Teach Us About Dealing with Contemporary Russia
Raphael S. Cohen, James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
May 13, 2019
Lawfare
Politics loves its historical analogies and today, perhaps, there is no more common a comparison to the Trump presidency than the Reagan administration. Reagan's tenure was marked by his successful competition with the Soviet Union. Does Reagan provide a blueprint for triumphing over modern Russia?
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Russia
commentary
Russia Chooses Paupers as Partners, with Questionable Benefit
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Howard J. Shatz @HowardJShatz
Feb 14, 2019
Newsweek
By leveraging the efficiencies of globalization and cultivating ties with prosperous partners, Russia could increase its economic potential and improve living standards for its people. And by engaging more positively with the world, it could gain influence in the forums that matter, such as the G20 and multilateral institutions.
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Globalization
commentary
The Need to Think More Clearly About 'Great-Power Competition'
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Feb 11, 2019
The National Interest
Today's world order is increasingly defined by competition between the United States and a host of major powers, especially China and Russia. Who is America's principal competitor and over what is it competing? What is America’s ultimate objective? And how will it prepare its economy and its society for infinite competition of an indefinite nature?
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Globalization
commentary
Questioning the Presumption of a U.S.-China Power Transition
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Jan 9, 2019
The Diplomat
The United States occupies the central role in a world order that, while under growing duress, remains a central organizing framework in world affairs. There are many trajectories along which U.S.-China relations might evolve if China aims to displace the United States for global pre-eminence.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
The End of the End of History?
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Jan 8, 2019
The Wall Street Journal
The Trump administration has taken steps that represent a significant retreat from the norm-based, world order that the United States has championed since 1945. If this shift continues, what might be the impact?
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International Diplomacy
commentary
The Good and Bad of the Trump Administration's New Africa Strategy
Michael Shurkin @MichaelShurkin
Dec 20, 2018
The Hill
The Trump administration's Africa strategy combines a turn away from counterterrorism as a priority, emphasis on trade, and working to help Africans solve their own problems, all of which could be opportunities for a more positive relationship. The implied prioritization of great power competition, however, suggests the real risk of a return to Cold War-era approach.
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Globalization
blog
Most Popular RAND Blog Commentary of 2018
Dec 20, 2018
RAND experts publish hundreds of pieces of RAND Blog commentary every year, weighing in on pressing policy questions, breaking down current events, and untangling complex trends. To look back on some of the policy stories that defined the year, we've rounded up the RAND Blog pieces that resonated most with rand.org visitors.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Japan's Chance to Shine?
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Oct 30, 2018
Foreign Policy
Japan may never be a global leader in a way comparable to the United States. But Tokyo does have the power to provide critical leadership that will sustain key elements of the crumbling international order.
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China
commentary
What Does China's Pursuit of a Global Coalition Mean for World Politics?
Timothy R. Heath
Oct 8, 2018
Pacific Forum
As disputes between Beijing and Washington over trade and other issues intensify, analysts have highlighted domestic factors as reasons why President Xi Jinping may resist compromise. However, China's pursuit of a greater international leadership role likely plays an overlooked, but increasingly important role.
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Politics and Government
commentary
Taking Stock of a Shifting World Order
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Aug 31, 2018
Aus Politik und Zeitgeschichte
The postwar order seems poised to continue eroding, without a clear alternative in the offing. It has often taken cataclysmic events to inaugurate new eras of geopolitical order, but one hopes that the postwar order will instead be reinvigorated through farsighted statecraft.
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Globalization
commentary
The Global Order Will Outlast U.S. Leadership
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Aug 23, 2018
The Wall Street Journal
Even if America bails on the international order there is plenty of evidence that Europe, China, Japan, and the rest of the developed world will maintain existing multilateral structures and build new ones. The order will survive but may become less liberal, less democratic, and perhaps less peaceful.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
The Roots—and Purpose—of the Post-War Order
Michael J. Mazarr
Aug 7, 2018
Foreign Affairs
As the world enters an era of greater international competition, U.S. policymakers should take care not to underestimate the importance of the postwar system. The order is far from a myth; it is the United States' most important competitive advantage.
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Threat Assessment
commentary
The Security Risks of a Trade War with China
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Aug 6, 2018
Foreign Affairs
As U.S.-China trade tensions continue to rise, many observers are focused on the potential for a full-fledged trade war that could destabilize the world economy. But there are security concerns as well. A China less constrained by and invested in economic ties with the United States could pose a greater challenge to U.S. foreign policy.
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China
commentary
China Prepares for an International Order After U.S. Leadership
Timothy R. Heath
Aug 2, 2018
Lawfare
In Beijing's estimation, key geopolitical developments have increased the possibility that China will face a power transition with the United States in coming years. In response, Chinese officials are laying the groundwork to manage that transition and ensure a leading role for their country in the emerging international order.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Attempts to Order Geopolitics Have a Sobering History
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Jul 25, 2018
The WorldPost (Washington Post)
Past efforts to introduce world order have resulted less from foresighted statecraft than from cataclysmic upheavals such as World War II. If the current international system erodes, what might have to happen for a new one to emerge?
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