International Diplomacy

International Diplomacy
commentary
Maximizing Bargaining Leverage with Beijing: Developing Missiles as Bargaining Chips
Luke Griffith
Apr 3, 2020
RealClearDefense
Arms negotiations may offer the only way to reduce the grave threat posed to the United States and allied security by China's missiles. U.S. owned and operated missiles could provide the best bargaining chips.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
U.S.–South Korea OPCON Transition: The Element of Timing
Soo W. Kim @mllesookim
Apr 2, 2020
Council on Foreign Relations
As Washington and Seoul continue to examine the feasibility and conditions for wartime operational control transition, decisionmakers will likely face political pressure on timing. It may well be to the advantage of both allies that the determination of the transfer be driven by a hard, thorough diagnosis of military capabilities against emerging threats.
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Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
commentary
Economic Consequences of COVID-19 in the Middle East: Implications for U.S. National Security
Daniel Egel, Charles P. Ries @charles_ries, Howard J. Shatz @HowardJShatz
Apr 1, 2020
The RAND Blog
The global COVID-19 pandemic will have a dramatic impact on economies across the globe, but the Middle East may be particularly affected given the simultaneous fall in oil prices. The economic consequences of this pandemic are also likely to affect U.S. interests in the region.
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Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
commentary
After the Coronavirus: America Needs to Reengage with the World, Not Retreat from It
Krishna B. Kumar @kbkumar_, James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Apr 1, 2020
USA Today
The COVID-19 pandemic should lead to a further strengthening of the national and international response capacity. The alternative of erecting barriers and closing America off to the world would leave it more vulnerable to the next big shock.
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Middle East
commentary
COVID-19 Impacts on Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East
Dalia Dassa Kaye
Mar 26, 2020
The RAND Blog
The pandemic is sure to have transformational effects everywhere, and the Middle East is no exception. But it's unlikely that the crisis will lead to new regional strategic dynamics. Rather, it's more likely to reinforce existing and largely negative trend lines.
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Russia
commentary
Russia's Ties with the West Rhyme
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Mar 23, 2020
The Hill
With Vladimir Putin seeking constitutional changes that could allow him to stay as president until the 2030s, Russia's strained relations with the West may persist. But if it chooses, Russia can chart a more dynamic future with closer Western ties.
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Vietnam
commentary
China Remains Unfazed by Warming U.S.-Vietnam Security Ties
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Mar 19, 2020
The Diplomat
In early March, the United States sent an aircraft carrier to Da Nang, Vietnam, in a display of goodwill and deepening security ties between the former adversaries. China is well aware of U.S.–Vietnam moves, and yet its public reaction to the USS Theodore Roosevelt can be summed up in one word: unfazed.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Delayed Chuuk Secession Vote a Win for U.S. Policy in Oceania
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Mar 6, 2020
The Diplomat
In February, the island of Chuuk postponed a referendum vote on secession from the Federated States of Micronesia. At least for the time being, Chuuk's decision is a significant victory in the U.S. diplomatic, economic, and security competition with China in the Pacific Islands.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Book Review: 'The Costs of Conversation: Obstacles to Peace Talks in Wartime' by Oriana Skylar Mastro
Patrick Roberts @RamblingRoberts, Ariel I. Ahram
Mar 2, 2020
War on the Rocks
Why do warring parties wait so long to start peace negotiations? How can we get to that stage more quickly and definitively? Oriana Skylar Mastro explores the tension between the imperative to fight and the imperative to negotiate in her book, The Costs of Conversation: Obstacles to Peace Talks in Wartime.
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Philippines
commentary
If U.S. Forces Have to Leave the Philippines, Then What?
Caroline Baxter @CarolineCBaxter
Feb 28, 2020
Foreign Policy Research Institute
If the United States were to lose access to bases in the Philippines, the effects would ripple outward. Maintaining alliances in the Indo-Pacific in all their manifestations is critical—and the details matter.
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West Africa
commentary
More Engagement in West Africa Could Blunt Looming Crisis
Michael Shurkin @MichaelShurkin
Feb 25, 2020
RealClearWorld
There is a very real possibility that the security crisis afflicting Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger will spread to the countries of the West African coastal region. Early action including security-sector support could be the key to staving off worst-case scenarios.
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United States
commentary
Power and Legitimacy Go Hand in Hand
Michael J. Mazarr @MMazarr
Feb 21, 2020
Lowy Institute's Interpreter
The United States has a truly distinct approach to power which has made all the difference in the post-war world. We abandon it at our peril.
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Russia
blog
New START, Trump's Middle East Peace Plan, New Tobacco Products: RAND Weekly Recap
Feb 21, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on why the United States should extend the New START agreement, Trump's Middle East peace plan, new tobacco products, and more.
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Maternal Health
blog
Infectious Diseases, Zimbabwe, Students with Disabilities: RAND Weekly Recap
Feb 14, 2020
This weekly recap focuses on the U.S. response to infectious diseases, Zimbabwe after Mugabe, the support for students with disabilities, and more.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Where Does China's 'One Country, Two Systems' Stand in 2020?
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Feb 13, 2020
The Diplomat
Hong Kong and Macau live under “one country, two systems,” and China aspires to include Taiwan in the future as well. But President Tsai Ing-wen's landslide re-election in Taiwan on January 11 resoundingly demonstrates that the arrangement is dead on arrival there.
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Nuclear Deterrence
commentary
Jumpstarting Arms Control Talks with Russia: A Low-Risk Gambit
Luke Griffith
Feb 13, 2020
Defense One
In 2019, Russia proposed a moratorium on missile deployments in Europe. If the United States does not accept, it could increase the threat to NATO allies and provide Moscow with more bargaining chips in future arms negotiations.
Read More »

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…

Quoted

It may be too late for prevention or containment [of COVID-19] among farmworkers. But without action the human toll will be tragic and the effect on our food supply will be critical failure. [FEMA], the [CDC], and state governments must include farmworkers and agricultural communities in their emergency response plans.

Susan L. Marquis

Dean, Pardee RAND Graduate School

Source: The RAND Blog

If people can come together around COVID-19, and all developments are showing that they can, then perhaps they can be equally innovative in tackling many of the more silent 'COVIDs' of the time—i.e., the less immediately impactful but equally urgent and important challenges associated with aging and frailty, mental health, cancer, comorbidities, and health inequalities as just some examples.

Sonja Marjanovic

Senior Research Leader and Head of THIS Institute-RAND Europe partnership

Source: The RAND Blog

New Tool Can Help Health Officials Plan for COVID-19 Patient Surge

Promising Strategies for Creating Critical Care Capacity in U.S. Hospitals

Should the Federal Workforce Stay Remote? Planning for After the Crisis

Maximizing Bargaining Leverage with Beijing: Developing Missiles as Bargaining Chips

The Coronavirus Pandemic's Effect on Sleep

The Policy Currents Podcast

Measuring Wellbeing to Help Communities Thrive

Managing Escalation in Crisis and War

Assessing and Articulating the Wider Benefits of Research

Reducing Poverty Among Mexico's Elderly

International Diplomacy

Maximizing Bargaining Leverage with Beijing: Developing Missiles as Bargaining Chips

U.S.–South Korea OPCON Transition: The Element of Timing

Economic Consequences of COVID-19 in the Middle East: Implications for U.S. National Security

After the Coronavirus: America Needs to Reengage with the World, Not Retreat from It

COVID-19 Impacts on Strategic Dynamics in the Middle East

Russia's Ties with the West Rhyme

China Remains Unfazed by Warming U.S.-Vietnam Security Ties

Delayed Chuuk Secession Vote a Win for U.S. Policy in Oceania

Book Review: 'The Costs of Conversation: Obstacles to Peace Talks in Wartime' by Oriana Skylar Mastro

If U.S. Forces Have to Leave the Philippines, Then What?

More Engagement in West Africa Could Blunt Looming Crisis

Power and Legitimacy Go Hand in Hand

New START, Trump's Middle East Peace Plan, New Tobacco Products: RAND Weekly Recap

Infectious Diseases, Zimbabwe, Students with Disabilities: RAND Weekly Recap

Where Does China's 'One Country, Two Systems' Stand in 2020?

Jumpstarting Arms Control Talks with Russia: A Low-Risk Gambit

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