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Security Cooperation
commentary
Taiwan and Six Potential New Year's Resolutions for the U.S.-Japanese Alliance
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Jan 5, 2022
War on the Rocks
How might the United States and Japan prepare for possible conflict with China over Taiwan, and ensure forces are postured to operate together? The alliance could benefit from greater clarity, and practical conversations could make a better and stronger alliance in the new year.
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Immigrants and Emigrants
blog
Supporting Undocumented and Asylum-Seeking Children, L.A. Housing, Veterans: RAND Weekly Recap
Oct 1, 2021
This weekly recap focuses on educating and supporting undocumented and asylum-seeking children in U.S. schools, what drives America's adversaries to use military forces, and measuring the compounding effects of racism.
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Japan
commentary
What Instability at the Top Means for Japan's Alliance with the United States
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Sep 22, 2021
Nikkei Asia
Having shorter-serving prime ministers tends to minimize Japan's ability to operate as a strategic player. If Suga's resignation is the start of a revolving door, then the implications for Japan's policies and the U.S.-Japan alliance could be significant.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Japan's Potential Acquisition of Ground-Launched Land-Attack Missiles: Implications for the U.S.-Japanese Alliance
Jeffrey W. Hornung, Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Sep 9, 2021
War on the Rocks
If Japan acquired ground-based strike capabilities, it would have significant consequences for the U.S.-Japanese alliance. American and Japanese policymakers may need to have a new and expanded set of conversations about how such capabilities would be used and how the alliance could adjust to incorporate them.
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International Economic Relations
commentary
Cryptocurrency Should Be Added to the U.S.-Japan Trade Deal
Sale Lilly @SaleLilly, Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Jul 28, 2021
Nikkei Asia
As the Biden administration begins to define its approach to international trade, and the Suga administration looks to further tighten cooperation with the United States, it may be worth reconsidering the exclusion of cryptocurrency from the U.S.-Japan trade deal. Substantial economic equities are at stake for both sides.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
A Taiwan Contingency and Japan's Counterstrike Debate
Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold, Satoru Mori
Jul 23, 2021
The Diplomat
The United States and Japan could be drawn into a conflict in the event of Chinese aggression against Taiwan whether they like it or not. Allied defense planning could consider how Japan might further reinforce deterrence and if necessary improve its ability to contribute to the common defense.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
What the United States Wants from Japan in Taiwan
Jeffrey W. Hornung
May 10, 2021
Foreign Policy
If a Taiwan conflict breaks out, what might the United States request of Japan? For the U.S.-Japan alliance, the answer is critical if the countries want to translate expressions of support into actual planning and preparation.
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Arms Proliferation and Control
commentary
Nuclear Ban Treaty Offers Rare Chance for Japan
Sayuri Romei
Apr 30, 2021
Asahi Shimbun
As the only country to suffer the horrors of wartime atomic bombings, one would assume Japan would eagerly sign any treaty to ban such weapons. Why hasn't Japan signed the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, which took effect in January 2021?
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Japan
commentary
Suga-Biden Summit: Rekindling Confidence in the U.S.-Japan Alliance
Sayuri Romei, Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Apr 26, 2021
Kyodo News
The April summit between U.S. President Joe Biden and Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga signaled a deepening in the U.S.-Japan alliance. It highlighted important new areas of cooperation and a concrete agenda for U.S.-Japan relations.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
'Joe-Yoshi' Spirit Buoys Japan-U.S. Alliance in Turbulent Seas
Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Apr 20, 2021
The Diplomat
President Biden and Prime Minister Suga appear to have established a warm, personal rapport while communicating a clear vision of the importance of working together to end the pandemic, combat climate change, preserve a free and open Indo-Pacific, and defend democracy.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Upcoming Summit an Opportunity for Japan to Reconsider Whether to Join Rest of G-7 in Sanctioning China Over Genocide
Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Apr 15, 2021
The Hill
Japan has been lukewarm in its response to global condemnation of China's crimes against humanity against the Uyghurs and other Muslim minority groups in Xinjiang. What options might President Biden have to encourage Japan to reconsider its position as he hosts his first in-person summit meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga?
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Japan
commentary
The United States Considers Reinforcing Its 'Pacific Sanctuary'
Wallace Gregson, Jeffrey W. Hornung
Apr 12, 2021
War on the Rocks
Soon after he took office, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin ordered a posture review to ensure that the U.S. global footprint is the right size to support U.S. strategy. Japan's continued importance to U.S. strategy and Tokyo's increased willingness to be more proactive in the security domain mean that Japan could see an uptick in U.S. military presence after this review is complete.
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Japan
commentary
Biden Puts Japan at the Center of U.S. Policy in Asia
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Apr 12, 2021
Nikkei Asia
Addressing the Chinese threat in the Indo-Pacific requires working with allies and partners. So far, Japan appears to be one of the priority relationships for the Biden administration.
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Public Health Preparedness
blog
Trust in the CDC, Teaching Students with Disabilities, Russian Mercenaries: RAND Weekly Recap
Apr 9, 2021
This weekly recap focuses declining trust in the CDC, insights from educators about teaching students with disabilities, Russian mercenaries, and more.
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Japan
commentary
The Japan-U.S. Summit and Cooperation with South Korea
Scott W. Harold @ScottWHarold
Apr 6, 2021
The Diplomat
The Biden administration's goal of renewed Japan–South Korea–U.S. trilateralism is laudable and promising, but substantial obstacles remain. The passage of time alone is not going to strengthen ties between South Korea and Japan. Washington may have to play a leading role if it wants to see relations between Seoul and Tokyo improve.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
What to Expect When You're Expecting So Much from the Quad
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Mar 31, 2021
CNN
In March, the leaders of the United States, Japan, India, and Australia met virtually for their first Quadrilateral Security Dialogue group meeting. What are the goals of the Quad? What tangibly can or will the Quad do and what does it look like in practice?
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