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  1. RAND
  2. >The RAND Blog
/content/rand/blog/jcr:content/par/bloglist .topic.missiles
The RAND Blog

Missiles

  • A Standard Missile (SM) 3 Block IIA is launched from the Aegis Ashore Missile Defense Test Complex at the Pacific Missile Range Facility at Kauai , HI, December. 10, 2018, photo by U.S. Army
    Military Strategy

    commentary

    Is Japan's Interest in Enemy Base Attack Capabilities a Good Idea?

    Jeffrey W. Hornung

    Jul 17, 2020

    War on the Rocks

    In the span of a month, Tokyo has rapidly gone from canceling a ballistic missile defense system to considering strike capabilities against foreign adversaries. Is Japan on the precipice of dramatically changing the way it uses its military?

    Read More »
  • Japanese Defense Minister Taro Kono speaks at the Foreign Correspondents' Club of Japan, Tokyo, June 25, 2020, photo by Yoshio Tsunoda/Reuters
    Japan

    commentary

    Japan Is Canceling a U.S. Missile Defense System

    Jeffrey W. Hornung

    Jul 6, 2020

    Foreign Policy

    In June, Japan canceled its planned deployment of two Aegis Ashore ballistic missile defense systems. This decision is understandable, but that doesn't negate the problems it could pose for Japanese security and Japan's relationship with the United States.

    Read More »
  • A Pantsir-S surface-to-air missile system fires a missile during the International Army Games 2017 outside Astrakhan, Russia, August 5, 2017, photo by Maxim Shemetov/Reuters
    Air Defense

    commentary

    Drone-Era Warfare Shows the Operational Limits of Air Defense Systems

    John V. Parachini, Peter A. Wilson

    Jul 2, 2020

    RealClearDefense

    External powers have intervened in the civil wars in Libya and Syria, supplying advanced conventional weapons that have intensified the conflicts. But not all of the weapons have performed as claimed.

    Read More »
  • The S-400 Triumph surface to air missile system after deployment at a military base near Kaliningrad, Russia, March 11, 2019, photo by Vitaly Nevar/Reuters
    Missile Defense

    commentary

    Russian S-400 Surface-to-Air Missile System: Is It Worth the Sticker Price?

    Peter A. Wilson, John V. Parachini

    May 6, 2020

    The RAND Blog

    Many countries do not fully appreciate that effective air defense requires a networked system and not just one missile system component. Getting the true defensive value out of the S-400 surface-to-air system requires additional components that add costs and complexities.

    Read More »
  • A Sabre short-range ballistic missile launches in June 2017 at White Sands Missile Range, New Mexico, for a test of the Patriot Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) Missile Segment Enhancement, an advanced missile defense system, photo by U.S. Army
    International Diplomacy

    commentary

    Maximizing Bargaining Leverage with Beijing: Developing Missiles as Bargaining Chips

    Luke Griffith

    Apr 3, 2020

    RealClearDefense

    Arms negotiations may offer the only way to reduce the grave threat posed to the United States and allied security by China's missiles. U.S. owned and operated missiles could provide the best bargaining chips.

    Read More »
  • A projectile is fired during North Korea's missile tests in this undated picture released by North Korea's Central News Agency (KCNA) on November 28, 2019, photo by KCNA/Reuters
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Japan's North Korea Challenge in 2020

    Naoko Aoki

    Jan 27, 2020

    East Asia Forum

    North Korea began 2020 by announcing a shift toward a more hard-line foreign policy approach. While this is bad news for all countries in the region, it is particularly unwelcome for Japan.

    Read More »
  • Missiles being launched during a military drill in North Korea, May 10, 2019, photo by KCNA/Reuters
    North Korea

    commentary

    Downplaying North Korea's Missile Tests Carries Political and Strategic Risks

    Naoko Aoki

    Jun 5, 2019

    East Asia Forum

    North Korea test-fired short-range ballistic missiles for the first time in 18 months. President Trump is downplaying the tests, refusing to call them a violation of U.N. Security Council resolutions. But if North Korea starts testing longer-range missiles, it could become harder for Washington to return to talks, risking the end of diplomacy with Pyongyang altogether.

    Read More »
  • The Missile Defense Agency conducts the first intercept flight test of a land-based Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense weapon system from the Aegis Ashore Missile Defense Test Complex in Kauai, Hawaii, December 10, 2015
    Missile Defense

    commentary

    Japan's Aegis Ashore Defense System

    Jeffrey W. Hornung

    Aug 20, 2018

    Yomiuri Shimbun

    For nearly 20 years, Japan has used the North Korea threat as a legitimate rationale to build its missile defense system and cooperate closely with the U.S. in its development. This argument remains as true today as it was before the flurry of regional diplomacy began earlier this year.

    Read More »
  • Bruce Bennett discusses North Korea at a March event at RAND's Santa Monica headquarters
    North Korea

    blog

    Preparing for U.S.-North Korea Talks: Insights from Researcher Bruce Bennett

    Apr 5, 2018

    What are the chances that a meeting between North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and President Trump will lead to meaningful progress? And what should U.S. leaders be thinking about as they prepare? RAND's Bruce Bennett discusses.

    Read More »
  • A U.S. Air Force B-52 prepares to carry the X-51 Hypersonic Vehicle out to the range for a launch test from Edwards AFB, California, May 1, 2013
    Ballistic Missiles

    commentary

    Hypersonic Missiles: A New Proliferation Challenge

    Richard H. Speier

    Mar 29, 2018

    Georgetown Journal of International Affairs

    Within 10 years, hypersonic missiles are likely to be deployed and offered on the international market. But there is time for action by states that do not want hypersonic missiles to flourish in their neighborhoods. It is time to move toward heading off this threat while it is still possible to do so.

    Read More »
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin addresses the Federal Assembly, including the State Duma parliamentarians, members of the Federation Council, regional governors and other high-ranking officials, in Moscow, Russia, March 1, 2018
    Nuclear Deterrence

    commentary

    Red Glare: The Origin and Implications of Russia's 'New' Nuclear Weapons

    Austin Long

    Mar 26, 2018

    War on the Rocks

    Why would Russia, which has over 1,500 deployed strategic nuclear warheads that can be delivered from existing ballistic and cruise missiles, invest in new, exotic systems? The answer is deeply rooted in modern Russian and Soviet history.

    Read More »
  • The Ohio-class ballistic-missile submarine USS Louisiana transits the Hood Canal as it returns to its homeport following a strategic deterrent patrol
    Submarines

    commentary

    Location, Location, Location: Evaluating Risks to Submarines from Low-Yield Warhead and Submarine Missile Launch Detection

    Austin Long

    Mar 12, 2018

    Lawfare

    Experts can argue that a low-yield SLBM might not be worth deploying as it would put U.S. submarines at unacceptable risk. But the costs to adversaries to develop the capability to target U.S. submarines with nuclear weapons are substantial. In contrast, the costs to the United States are low, requiring only modification to an existing warhead.

    Read More »
  • The Ohio-class ballistic missile submarine USS Rhode Island (SSBN 740) returns to Naval Submarine Base Kings Bay after three months at sea
    Ballistic Missiles

    commentary

    Discrimination Details Matter: Clarifying an Argument About Low-Yield Nuclear Warheads

    Austin Long

    Feb 16, 2018

    War on the Rocks

    Nuclear forces and nuclear strategy are complex and the facts surrounding them are often shrouded in classification. But if the United States were to deploy a low-yield submarine-launched ballistic missile warhead in the future, an adversary would face the same problems as it does today in knowing what the missile contains.

    Read More »
  • Tourists and locals enjoy Ko'Olina beach on the island of Oahu, Hawaii, July, 29, 2013
    Emergency Preparedness

    commentary

    Deadly Delay: Every Second Counts in Missile Defense

    Daniel Gonzales @gonzadan, Sarah Harting

    Jan 24, 2018

    The Hill

    The false alarm about a ballistic missile attack on Hawaii raises important questions. How much warning time would the public get before a missile hit? And how should the system be improved?

    Read More »
  • Smoke trails are seen as rockets are launched towards Israel from the northern Gaza Strip July 12, 2014
    Missile Defense

    commentary

    Is Iron Dome a Poisoned Chalice? Strategic Risks from Tactical Success

    Elizabeth M. Bartels @elliebartels

    Nov 29, 2017

    The Strategy Bridge

    While Iron Dome's past success in defending Israel makes it a tempting solution to future challenges, it does have shortcomings. This becomes even more serious when considering using the system in Korea, where the threat posed is substantially greater, and the targeted terrain substantially harder to defend.

    Read More »
  • A Japan Self-Defense Forces soldier (L) talks with a U.S. Forces soldier during a drill to mobilise JSDF's PAC-3 missile unit in response to a recent missile launch by North Korea, at U.S. Air Force Yokota Air Base in Fussa on the outskirts of Tokyo, Japan, August 29, 2017
    Missile Defense

    commentary

    Why Japan Needs Long-Range Strike Capabilities

    Jeffrey W. Hornung

    Oct 23, 2017

    Defense One

    Japan's pacifist constitution allows it to exercise force only when its survival is threatened and there are no other means to repel the attack. But North Korea's advancing military capabilities have drastically changed the threat environment. Japan no longer has the luxury to be complacent about its security threats.

    Read More »
  • North Korean leader Kim Jong Un inspects a long and medium-range ballistic rocket launch drill in this undated photo released by North Korea's Korean Central News Agency in Pyongyang on August 30, 2017
    Nuclear Weapons and Warfare

    commentary

    Beyond Strategic Patience with North Korea: What Comes Next?

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Sep 8, 2017

    The Ripon Forum

    North Korea says that nuclear weapons are essential to regime survival. The United States should figure out how to persuade the North Korean regime that it is less likely to survive by posing a nuclear threat than by cooperating with the international community.

    Read More »
  • A Terminal High Altitude Area Defense interceptor is launched during Flight Test THAAD in Kodiak, Alaska, July 11, 2017
    Missile Defense

    commentary

    Why THAAD Is Needed in Korea

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Aug 7, 2017

    The Korea Times

    As the threat from North Korea has been developing over the last 30 years, the U.S. has responsibly deployed missile defenses in Korea to protect its forces and South Koreans. Today, North Korea's medium- and intermediate-range missiles require a defense able to handle higher missile re-entry speeds like the THAAD system.

    Read More »
  • People watch a huge screen showing the test launch of intercontinental ballistic missile Hwasong-14 in this undated photo released by KCNA, July 5, 2017.
    Ballistic Missiles

    commentary

    A Surgical Strike Against North Korea? Not a Viable Option

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Jul 14, 2017

    Fox News Channel

    North Korea's July 4 launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile that could hit American soil has renewed talk of military intervention. But an effective limited military strike with minimal collateral damage and no escalation simply won't work.

    Read More »
  • The guided-missile destroyer USS Ross fires a Tomahawk land attack missile April 7, 2017
    Syria

    commentary

    (Withholding) Judgment of the U.S. Missile Strike on Syria

    Jeffrey Martini

    Apr 19, 2017

    The National Interest

    Will the U.S. missile strike in Syria constrain the Assad regime from future chemical weapons use? Rather than pass judgment, analysts should establish the benchmarks by which they will assess this decision once the facts are in.

    Read More »
  • U.S. President Donald Trump holds a bilateral meeting with China's President Xi Jinping at Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., April 7, 2017
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Five Dead-Ends — and One Risky Opportunity — When Trump and Xi Talk North Korea

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Apr 10, 2017

    U.S. News & World Report

    Among President Trump's options, proposing a deal that gives the North Korean elite an alternative to its murderous and unstable leader could be the safest and most realistic way to sheath North Korean nuclear weapons and safeguard the American people.

    Read More »
  • North Korean leader Kim Jong Un supervised a ballistic rocket launching drill of Hwasong artillery units of the Strategic Force of the KPA
    North Korea

    commentary

    Murder, Missiles, and Messages from North Korea

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Mar 24, 2017

    RealClearWorld

    Pyongyang launched a ballistic missile on February 12 — one day before Kim Jong Nam, half brother of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, was murdered in Malaysia — and four more on March 6. What would lead North Korea to carry out these provocations?

    Read More »
  • North Korean leader Kim Jong Un gives a New Year address in Pyongyang on January 1, 2017
    Nuclear Deterrence

    commentary

    Trump Should Confront Kim Over ICBM Tests

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Jan 6, 2017

    USA Today

    Whether successful or not, an ICBM test by North Korea would be very much against U.S. interests and President-elect Trump should act to counter it as early as possible. A turn to the basics of deterrence would be the path most likely to succeed.

    Read More »
  • A U.S. Air Force B-52 carries the X-51 Hypersonic Vehicle for a launch test from Edwards AFB, California, May 1, 2013
    Ballistic Missiles

    commentary

    The Future of Hypersonic Weapons

    Daniel M. Norton

    Oct 20, 2016

    The Cipher Brief

    Russia and China appear to be developing hypersonic weapons. But the United States should make decisions about whether to develop its own hypersonic weapons in a vacuum.

    Read More »
  • Chinese HQ-9 launcher during China's 60th anniversary parade in 2009
    China

    commentary

    How Do Chinese Surface-to-Air Missile Forces Train?

    Cristina L. Garafola @CLGarafola

    Sep 6, 2016

    The National Interest

    Surface-to-air missile (SAM) forces play a crucial role in Chinese military planning. Recent training activity indicates that PLAAF SAM units' operational readiness and capabilities may vary depending on their location and the time of year.

    Read More »
  • Soldiers of China's People's Liberation Army Navy patrol at Woody Island, in the Paracel Archipelago, which is known in China as the Xisha Islands, January 29, 2016
    China

    commentary

    Beijing Ups the Ante in South China Sea Dispute with HQ-9 Deployment

    Timothy R. Heath

    Mar 29, 2016

    Jamestown Foundation's China Brief

    China's recent deployment of HQ-9 missiles to the Paracel Islands signals its determination to consolidate its gains in the South China Sea, regardless of criticism by the United States and its allies.

    Read More »
  • S-400 Triumf SAMs during the rehearsal for 2009 Victory Day parade in Moscow
    Missile Defense

    commentary

    How China's New Russian Air Defense System Could Change Asia

    Timothy R. Heath

    Jan 21, 2016

    War on the Rocks

    The Russian S-400 TRIUMF surface to air missile entered the media spotlight when Moscow deployed the system after Turkey's shoot-down of a Russian plane near the Syria border on Thanksgiving Day. This episode demonstrated the S-400's potential as a weapon with strategic effects, a role that China may seek to exploit in future crises.

    Read More »
  • U.S. sailors conduct maintenance on an F/A-18C Hornet on the aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson Jan. 4, 2015
    United States Department of Defense

    commentary

    Advice for Defense Innovators

    David Ochmanek

    Jan 12, 2015

    Defense News

    If the U.S. is to retain its status as the security partner of choice for many of the world's most important states, and help sustain peace and stability in regions critical to our own security, future U.S. forces must be far more capable.

    Read More »
  • Palestinians walk past a mosque and water tower damaged by Israeli air strikes and shelling in Khuzaa, in the southern Gaza Strip
    Military Strategy

    commentary

    The Grim Lessons of 'Protective Edge'

    Raphael S. Cohen, Gabriel Scheinmann

    Sep 3, 2014

    The American Interest

    For all the attempts to find technological quick fixes or enforce a permanent settlement, Operation Protective Edge has highlighted that a war of attrition, known as a 'long war,' remains the only viable strategy in the current environment.

    Read More »
  • DPRK Kumsusan Memorial Palace
    Global Security

    blog

    Korea Tensions Different from Previous 'Normal Crises,' RAND Experts Tell Media

    Apr 9, 2013

    Three RAND Corporation researchers discussed the regional and global implications of the recent flurry of bluster and provocation emanating from North Korea, during a conference call April 9 with reporters.

    Read More »
  • an old DPRK stamp depicting children on a rocket
    North Korea

    commentary

    North Korean 'Satellite' May Fall from Sky, but That Won't Deter Kim Jong-Un

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Dec 21, 2012

    The RAND Blog

    Kim Jong-Un's regime has placed outsized import on its missile launches—despite the risk of alienating the international community—to offset the lack of success across a wide range of topics, writes Bruce Bennett.

    Read More »
  • North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un visits a military unit on an island in the most southwest of Pyongyang in this picture released by KCNA news agency August 18, 2012
    Global Security

    commentary

    North Korea's Just Getting Started

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Dec 12, 2012

    U.S. News & World Report

    While many observers of North Korea have been surprised by the apparently peaceful ascension of Kim Jong-Un, there are reasons to believe that the situation in the North is not so stable, writes Bruce Bennett.

    Read More »
  • A Patriot missile is launched by soldiers at McGregor Range near El Paso, Texas
    North Atlantic Treaty Organization

    commentary

    Turkey Edges Toward Seeking NATO Support in Syria Crisis

    Christopher S. Chivvis

    Nov 21, 2012

    The RAND Blog

    As the crisis along the border between Syria and Turkey intensifies, Turkey appears on the brink of a formal request to the North Atlantic Council that NATO deploy Patriot missiles to help defend the border, writes Christopher Chivvis.

    Read More »
  • Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Getting Value from the U.S.-ROK Summit

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Jun 15, 2009

    The Korea Herald

    For months, North Korea has been trying to upstage the summit between South Korean President Lee Myung-bak and U.S. President Barack Obama that is scheduled for June 16. Almost all Americans I know have heard of these North Korean provocations. But few have heard anything about the U.S.-ROK summit, writes Bruce Bennett.

    Read More »
  • Nuclear Deterrence

    commentary

    No Surprise in Failure to Deter N. Korea

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Jun 2, 2009

    Chicago Tribune

    North Korea's latest misbehavior highlights an uncomfortable truth: the failure of the United States and the international community to deter North Korean actions. In this case, it is pretty easy to see why North Korea has not been deterred, writes Bruce Bennett.

    Read More »
  • North Korea

    commentary

    N.K. Provocation Suggests Regime in Trouble

    Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

    Apr 9, 2009

    The Korea Herald

    North Korea spent weeks preparing to launch a ballistic missile that could reach the United States. It argued that the launch was intended to put a satellite into orbit. But a space launch vehicle is a ballistic missile used for a modestly different purpose, writes Bruce W. Bennett.

    Read More »
  • China

    commentary

    China's Challenge

    Roger Cliff

    Jul 29, 2007

    San Diego Union-Tribune

    China's Challenge, in San Diego Union-Tribune

    Read More »
  • commentary

    Missile Defense: Avoiding a Crisis in Europe

    F. Stephen Larrabee, David E. Mosher

    Mar 29, 2007

    International Herald Tribune

    Published commentary by RAND staff: Missile Defense: Avoiding a Crisis in Europe, in International Herald Tribune.

    Read More »
  • commentary

    Nothing's Free in Dealing with Putin

    Robert E. Hunter

    Aug 1, 2001

    Los Angeles Times

    Published commentary by RAND staff.

    Read More »
  • commentary

    There's a Better Way to Missile Defense

    Jeffrey A. Isaacson

    May 3, 2001

    Los Angeles Times

    Published commentary by RAND staff.

    Read More »
  • commentary

    The China and Nuclear Reunion Is Only a Motive Away

    David E. Mosher, Lowell H. Schwartz

    Feb 24, 2001

    Los Angeles Times

    Published commentary by RAND staff

    Read More »

Quoted

  • Europeans already spend a lot on defense, but that spending is undercut by the redundancies and inefficiencies associated with so many countries building separate forces to serve separate political ends and nurture separate defense industries. The best remedy for that could be collectivization, or at the very least significantly greater coordination.

    p201301_03, michael shurkin

    Michael Shurkin

    Senior Political Scientist

    Source: RealClearWorld

  • Insulated from the partisan passions that sunder our politics and our society, a January 6 Commission created by Congress or the Biden administration could analyze whether this was an isolated uprising or the harbinger of more to come. It could make recommendations to prevent such attacks in the future in Washington or at statehouses throughout the country.

    brian michael jenkins, brian jenkins

    Brian Michael Jenkins

    Senior Adviser to the RAND President

    Source: Los Angeles Times

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