Missiles

Antisatellite Systems
commentary
U.S. Decision on ASAT Testing a Positive Step Towards Space Sustainability
Bruce McClintock @BHMcClintock
Apr 21, 2022
RealClearDefense
The United States recently committed not to conduct destructive, direct-ascent anti-satellite missile testing. This sets an important example others might follow and takes an important first step towards a binding, international ban.
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North Korea
commentary
North Korea's 'Business as Usual' Missile Provocations
Soo Kim @mllesookim
Oct 14, 2021
Korea On Point
North Korea has revved up its cycle of missile provocations, its go-to method of securing leverage against the United States and South Korea in the on-again off-again nuclear negotiations. How will the United States and South Korea choose to respond?
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Japan's Potential Acquisition of Ground-Launched Land-Attack Missiles: Implications for the U.S.-Japanese Alliance
Jeffrey W. Hornung, Scott W. Harold
Sep 9, 2021
War on the Rocks
If Japan acquired ground-based strike capabilities, it would have significant consequences for the U.S.-Japanese alliance. American and Japanese policymakers may need to have a new and expanded set of conversations about how such capabilities would be used and how the alliance could adjust to incorporate them.
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Military Strategy
commentary
Is Japan's Interest in Enemy Base Attack Capabilities a Good Idea?
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Jul 17, 2020
War on the Rocks
In the span of a month, Tokyo has rapidly gone from canceling a ballistic missile defense system to considering strike capabilities against foreign adversaries. Is Japan on the precipice of dramatically changing the way it uses its military?
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Japan
commentary
Japan Is Canceling a U.S. Missile Defense System
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Jul 6, 2020
Foreign Policy
In June, Japan canceled its planned deployment of two Aegis Ashore ballistic missile defense systems. This decision is understandable, but that doesn't negate the problems it could pose for Japanese security and Japan's relationship with the United States.
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Air Defense
commentary
Drone-Era Warfare Shows the Operational Limits of Air Defense Systems
John V. Parachini @JohnParachini, Peter A. Wilson
Jul 2, 2020
RealClearDefense
External powers have intervened in the civil wars in Libya and Syria, supplying advanced conventional weapons that have intensified the conflicts. But not all of the weapons have performed as claimed.
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Missile Defense
commentary
Russian S-400 Surface-to-Air Missile System: Is It Worth the Sticker Price?
Peter A. Wilson, John V. Parachini @JohnParachini
May 6, 2020
The RAND Blog
Many countries do not fully appreciate that effective air defense requires a networked system and not just one missile system component. Getting the true defensive value out of the S-400 surface-to-air system requires additional components that add costs and complexities.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Maximizing Bargaining Leverage with Beijing: Developing Missiles as Bargaining Chips
Luke Griffith
Apr 3, 2020
RealClearDefense
Arms negotiations may offer the only way to reduce the grave threat posed to the United States and allied security by China's missiles. U.S. owned and operated missiles could provide the best bargaining chips.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Japan's North Korea Challenge in 2020
Naoko Aoki
Jan 27, 2020
East Asia Forum
North Korea began 2020 by announcing a shift toward a more hard-line foreign policy approach. While this is bad news for all countries in the region, it is particularly unwelcome for Japan.
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North Korea
commentary
Downplaying North Korea's Missile Tests Carries Political and Strategic Risks
Naoko Aoki
Jun 5, 2019
East Asia Forum
North Korea test-fired short-range ballistic missiles for the first time in 18 months. President Trump is downplaying the tests, refusing to call them a violation of U.N. Security Council resolutions. But if North Korea starts testing longer-range missiles, it could become harder for Washington to return to talks, risking the end of diplomacy with Pyongyang altogether.
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Missile Defense
commentary
Japan's Aegis Ashore Defense System
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Aug 20, 2018
Yomiuri Shimbun
For nearly 20 years, Japan has used the North Korea threat as a legitimate rationale to build its missile defense system and cooperate closely with the U.S. in its development. This argument remains as true today as it was before the flurry of regional diplomacy began earlier this year.
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North Korea
blog
Preparing for U.S.-North Korea Talks: Insights from Researcher Bruce Bennett
Apr 5, 2018
What are the chances that a meeting between North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and President Trump will lead to meaningful progress? And what should U.S. leaders be thinking about as they prepare? RAND's Bruce Bennett discusses.
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Ballistic Missiles
commentary
Hypersonic Missiles: A New Proliferation Challenge
Richard H. Speier
Mar 29, 2018
Georgetown Journal of International Affairs
Within 10 years, hypersonic missiles are likely to be deployed and offered on the international market. But there is time for action by states that do not want hypersonic missiles to flourish in their neighborhoods. It is time to move toward heading off this threat while it is still possible to do so.
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Nuclear Deterrence
commentary
Red Glare: The Origin and Implications of Russia's 'New' Nuclear Weapons
Austin Long
Mar 26, 2018
War on the Rocks
Why would Russia, which has over 1,500 deployed strategic nuclear warheads that can be delivered from existing ballistic and cruise missiles, invest in new, exotic systems? The answer is deeply rooted in modern Russian and Soviet history.
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Submarines
commentary
Location, Location, Location: Evaluating Risks to Submarines from Low-Yield Warhead and Submarine Missile Launch Detection
Austin Long
Mar 12, 2018
Lawfare
Experts can argue that a low-yield SLBM might not be worth deploying as it would put U.S. submarines at unacceptable risk. But the costs to adversaries to develop the capability to target U.S. submarines with nuclear weapons are substantial. In contrast, the costs to the United States are low, requiring only modification to an existing warhead.
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Ballistic Missiles
commentary
Discrimination Details Matter: Clarifying an Argument About Low-Yield Nuclear Warheads
Austin Long
Feb 16, 2018
War on the Rocks
Nuclear forces and nuclear strategy are complex and the facts surrounding them are often shrouded in classification. But if the United States were to deploy a low-yield submarine-launched ballistic missile warhead in the future, an adversary would face the same problems as it does today in knowing what the missile contains.
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Missiles

U.S. Decision on ASAT Testing a Positive Step Towards Space Sustainability

North Korea's 'Business as Usual' Missile Provocations

Japan's Potential Acquisition of Ground-Launched Land-Attack Missiles: Implications for the U.S.-Japanese Alliance

Is Japan's Interest in Enemy Base Attack Capabilities a Good Idea?

Japan Is Canceling a U.S. Missile Defense System

Drone-Era Warfare Shows the Operational Limits of Air Defense Systems

Russian S-400 Surface-to-Air Missile System: Is It Worth the Sticker Price?

Maximizing Bargaining Leverage with Beijing: Developing Missiles as Bargaining Chips

Japan's North Korea Challenge in 2020

Downplaying North Korea's Missile Tests Carries Political and Strategic Risks

Japan's Aegis Ashore Defense System

Preparing for U.S.-North Korea Talks: Insights from Researcher Bruce Bennett

Hypersonic Missiles: A New Proliferation Challenge

Red Glare: The Origin and Implications of Russia's 'New' Nuclear Weapons

Location, Location, Location: Evaluating Risks to Submarines from Low-Yield Warhead and Submarine Missile Launch Detection

Discrimination Details Matter: Clarifying an Argument About Low-Yield Nuclear Warheads

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