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National Security and Terrorism

Military Strategy
commentary
Small States Can Use Naval Mines and Unmanned Vehicles to Deter Maritime Aggression
Scott Savitz
Jul 16, 2018
RealClearDefense
Small coastal nations face potentially aggressive threats from larger, more powerful adversaries, with coastlines representing vulnerabilities that an adversary may seek to exploit. They can aim to hinder and deter potential aggressors using less-expensive systems like naval mines and unmanned vehicles.
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Military Budgets and Defense Spending
commentary
A Look at NATO Funding
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Jul 13, 2018
Inside Sources
European defense spending has been rising since 2014. NATO's two percent of GDP target for defense spending is a goal, not a commitment, and indeed a goal to be reached by 2024, not a standard allies have already failed to meet.
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National Security Organizations
commentary
Homeland Security Should Consider Filling Vacancies at the Top Before Tackling Department Reform
Ryan Consaul
Jul 13, 2018
The Hill
Vacancies in key management positions in the Department of Homeland Security will likely present a challenge to the implementation of Trump administration government reform and reorganization proposals. Naming permanent deputies could help the administration carry out its reform plans at DHS.
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Arctic Region
commentary
Cooperation in the Arctic Likely to Continue—For Now
Stephanie Pezard @StephaniePezard, Antonia Ward @antoniahward
Jul 12, 2018
The RAND Blog
Risks for serious tensions in the Arctic during the 2020 decade are likely to be overstated. Key players in the Arctic appear likely to continue working together to enhance the economic potential of the region and resolve conflicts before they emerge, as opportunities in the Arctic continue to grow.
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Russia
commentary
Russia's Wars and Trump
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Jul 11, 2018
The Hill
At the July 16 summit in Helsinki, President Trump might stress that the West will persist in imposing costs on Russia for current and any future malign interventions. At the same time, he could offer to work with Putin in the search for peace in Syria and Ukraine if Moscow were to decide to withdraw its forces.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Time to Make a Deal on Syria
Samuel Charap @scharap, Jeffrey Martini
Jul 10, 2018
Foreign Policy
U.S. leverage is much diminished by the Assad regime's recent gains but there are still opportunities for Washington and Russia to achieve a settlement that preserves some U.S. interests. These include maintaining the gains made against the Islamic State and constraining Iranian influence in Syria.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Trump and Putin Should Start Small at Helsinki Summit
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Kenneth Yalowitz
Jul 2, 2018
Reuters
Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will hold their first formal summit on July 16. Their agenda will likely include the main sources of strain in relations, but they might find it easier to make concrete progress if they start with lower-profile issues as Mikhail Gorbachev and Ronald Reagan did at their first summit.
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Japan
commentary
Success with North Korea Still Needs Japan
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Jun 27, 2018
Japan Times
Japan has stakes in the outcome of regional diplomacy involving North Korea. It could play a role far beyond simply writing checks for an agreement, but has not held any bilateral meetings with the other actors. Diplomats hoping to fit their approach to the realities of the geopolitical situation could benefit from Japan's active involvement.
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Military Mobilization
commentary
Military Mobility Returns to the Forefront in Europe
Marta Kepe @martakepe
Jun 25, 2018
Defense News
The importance of military mobility has returned only recently to the international high-level agenda, specifically NATO and the European Union. The EU is expected to tackle the issue of military mobility during a European Council meeting in late June, and NATO will convene a summit in July.
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Afghanistan
commentary
Afghan Ceasefires Offer Hope for a Peaceful Future
Laurel E. Miller
Jun 25, 2018
The Hill
Parallel ceasefires in Afghanistan by the Afghan government and the Taliban for the end of the holy month of Ramadan brought a short respite from the violence. This was an unprecedented development, but was it an opening for resolution of the conflict?
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Afghanistan
q&a
A Way Forward in Afghanistan: Q&A with Laurel Miller
Jun 21, 2018
As the United States approaches its 17th year of military involvement in Afghanistan, Laurel Miller, a senior foreign policy expert at RAND, describes the current situation and hopes for the future.
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Terrorism Threat Assessment
commentary
Toy Drones and Twitter: The Ability of Individuals to Wreak Large-Scale Havoc
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
Jun 18, 2018
The National Interest
Lone wolves or small groups could use drones, virtual currencies, encrypted communications, and artificial intelligence for nefarious purposes. The threat is even greater when these technologies are used in conjunction with disinformation spread over social media.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Maintaining Europol Security Ties After Brexit
Antonia Ward @antoniahward
Jun 18, 2018
Georgetown Security Studies Review
Europol is a highly effective organization that is essential to addressing transnational crime in today's interconnected world. Britain could make continuing membership in Europol one of its highest priorities during Brexit negotiations.
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commentary
The Quad: Second Verse, Same as the First?
Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
Jun 15, 2018
The Diplomat
Members of “the Quad”—an informal collaborative arrangement among the United States, Japan, India, and Australia—have proven incapable of adopting either a shared understanding of or unified policies toward China.
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Military Equipment
commentary
Consider The E-Tool
James T. Quinlivan
Jun 12, 2018
Task & Purpose
We generally trust the entrenchment tool. In a peacetime hike, we might only need a polycarbonate trowel, but in a future war, we might really need full-size picks and shovels. However ingeniously designed, two pounds of metal origami cannot replace a full-size pick and a shovel.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Kim-Trump Summit Rife with Opportunity for U.S.
Michael J. Mazarr
Jun 11, 2018
The Hill
The growing costs of planning for Korean military contingencies place a burden on U.S. defense resources. If Tuesday's summit becomes a step toward eventual guarantees against aggression, the U.S. could remove a major Korean conflict from the top rungs of its defense planning roster, freeing resources for other worries.
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National Security and Terrorism

Small States Can Use Naval Mines and Unmanned Vehicles to Deter Maritime Aggression

A Look at NATO Funding

Homeland Security Should Consider Filling Vacancies at the Top Before Tackling Department Reform

Cooperation in the Arctic Likely to Continue—For Now

Russia's Wars and Trump

Time to Make a Deal on Syria

Trump and Putin Should Start Small at Helsinki Summit

Success with North Korea Still Needs Japan

Military Mobility Returns to the Forefront in Europe

Afghan Ceasefires Offer Hope for a Peaceful Future

A Way Forward in Afghanistan: Q&A with Laurel Miller

Toy Drones and Twitter: The Ability of Individuals to Wreak Large-Scale Havoc

Maintaining Europol Security Ties After Brexit

The Quad: Second Verse, Same as the First?

Consider The E-Tool

Kim-Trump Summit Rife with Opportunity for U.S.

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