Nuclear Disarmament

Nuclear Disarmament

commentary
How Russia's Nuclear Double Cross of Ukraine Teaches Dangerous Lessons
Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the West's support for Kyiv has been tempered by an ace up Vladimir Putin's sleeve: the potential use of nuclear weapons. But other countries are taking notice, which could imperil world stability even further.
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Aug 16, 2022
Polina Sinovets, John V. Parachini @JohnParachini, et al.

Arms Proliferation and Control

commentary
Nuclear Ban Treaty Offers Rare Chance for Japan
As the only country to suffer the horrors of wartime atomic bombings, one would assume Japan would eagerly sign any treaty to ban such weapons. Why hasn't Japan signed the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, which took effect in January 2021?
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Apr 30, 2021
Sayuri Romei
Summer Learning

blog
Summer Learning, America's Middle Class, Waking Up After the Pandemic: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on how to make summer learning count, U.S. deterrence in the ‘gray zone,’ why so many Americans are stuck outside the middle class, and more.
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Apr 23, 2021
North Korea

commentary
Think the Coronavirus Is Curbing Kim's Atomic Appetite? Think Again
Coronavirus or not, Kim Jong-un's appetite for nuclear and missile bargaining with the United States remains intact. This likely spells further weapons demonstrations from North Korea, with potentially longer-range missile demonstrations to test Washington's resolve in its nuclear negotiations with Pyongyang.
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Apr 20, 2021
Soo Kim @mllesookim
Iran

commentary
Why Biden Can't Turn Back the Clock on the Iran Nuclear Deal
Enacted in 2016, the Iran nuclear deal was predicated on a geopolitical context that no longer exists. Addressing Iran's nuclear program today may require a different solution.
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Mar 1, 2021
Raphael S. Cohen
Arms Proliferation and Control

commentary
Arms Control Held Hostage
President-elect Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin have wisely promised to extend the 2010 New START Treaty, which cuts long-range nuclear arms. The two leaders may also pursue a broader follow-on accord, but frigid U.S.-Russian relations could put this out of reach. Progress on arms control often comes when political winds are warmer.
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Dec 28, 2020
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

blog
'Vaccine Nationalism,' a Pandemic Election, Women in the Workforce: RAND Weekly Recap
This weekly recap focuses on why 'vaccine nationalism' could be costly, how Americans feel about voting during a pandemic, why women are leaving the workforce, and more.
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Oct 30, 2020
Nuclear Disarmament

commentary
North Korea Has Agreed to Denuclearization. Trump Could Try to Make It Happen
President Trump came into office determined to rein in the North Korean nuclear weapons program, but it has become quite clear that North Korea has no intention of giving it up. How might the United States bring North Korea into compliance with its denuclearization commitments?
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Sep 28, 2020
Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett, Soo Kim @mllesookim
North Korea

commentary
In North Korea, The U.S. Could Take the Lead
North Korea is hurting: its economy is stagnant and it is having trouble feeding even its elites because of the UN/U.S. sanctions designed to pressure North Korean toward denuclearization. A combined carrot and stick approach may help overcome some of North Korea's reluctance to negotiate the future of its nuclear weapons program.
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Aug 17, 2020
Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett, Soo Kim @mllesookim
South Korea

commentary
Moon's North Korea Vision Up in Smoke? Not So Fast…
Even after North Korea's demolition of the inter-Korean liaison office, it appears that South Korean President Moon Jae-in will continue to prioritize improving inter-Korean relations. What are the implications of this strategy?
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Jul 20, 2020
Soo Kim @mllesookim
Nuclear Deterrence

commentary
Take the Bird in the Hand. Strike a Nuclear Weapons Deal with Russia
By extending New START, the Trump administration would preserve verifiable constraints on Russia's nuclear arsenal, buy time to negotiate a more comprehensive agreement, and pave the way for arms talks about intermediate-range missiles.
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Jul 1, 2020
Luke Griffith
North Korea

commentary
North Korean Provocations, Not Denuclearization
Kim Jong-un's reappearance raises questions about the course of U.S.–North Korea relationships in the coming year. What should we expect? What can we learn from the past?
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May 8, 2020
Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett
North Korea

commentary
The Coronavirus and North Korea: Is There a Cure for Kim's Nuclear Blackmail?
Despite the pandemic, North Korea's recent activities suggest that Kim Jong Un will likely stay the course in his ongoing campaign against the United States and the broader Northeast Asia region.
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Apr 13, 2020
Soo Kim @mllesookim
Nuclear Disarmament

commentary
New START Is Not NAFTA
The 2010 New START Treaty with Russia reduces long-range nuclear arms. President Trump may seek a different deal, however, as he did in renegotiating NAFTA. But NAFTA talks succeeded because America had predominant leverage and because Canada and Mexico are friends. Neither holds true with Russia.
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Apr 8, 2020
William Courtney @courtneywmh, John Lauder
International Diplomacy

commentary
Maximizing Bargaining Leverage with Beijing: Developing Missiles as Bargaining Chips
Arms negotiations may offer the only way to reduce the grave threat posed to the United States and allied security by China's missiles. U.S. owned and operated missiles could provide the best bargaining chips.
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Apr 3, 2020
Luke Griffith
North Korea

commentary
North Korea: Selling Political Deception
Why did Kim Jong-un substitute releasing the North Korean Workers' Party Plenary report instead of his traditional New Year's address? As with many things in North Korea, we do not know, forcing us to speculate.
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Jan 3, 2020
Bruce W. Bennett @bwbennett

Page 1 of 6

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Nuclear Disarmament

How Russia's Nuclear Double Cross of Ukraine Teaches Dangerous Lessons

Nuclear Ban Treaty Offers Rare Chance for Japan

Summer Learning, America's Middle Class, Waking Up After the Pandemic: RAND Weekly Recap

Think the Coronavirus Is Curbing Kim's Atomic Appetite? Think Again

Why Biden Can't Turn Back the Clock on the Iran Nuclear Deal

Arms Control Held Hostage

'Vaccine Nationalism,' a Pandemic Election, Women in the Workforce: RAND Weekly Recap

North Korea Has Agreed to Denuclearization. Trump Could Try to Make It Happen

In North Korea, The U.S. Could Take the Lead

Moon's North Korea Vision Up in Smoke? Not So Fast…

Take the Bird in the Hand. Strike a Nuclear Weapons Deal with Russia

North Korean Provocations, Not Denuclearization

The Coronavirus and North Korea: Is There a Cure for Kim's Nuclear Blackmail?

New START Is Not NAFTA

Maximizing Bargaining Leverage with Beijing: Developing Missiles as Bargaining Chips

North Korea: Selling Political Deception

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