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  1. RAND
  2. >The RAND Blog
/content/rand/blog/jcr:content/par/bloglist .topic.oceania
The RAND Blog

Oceania

  • U.S. President-elect Joe Biden delivers a speech after a conference video call focused on foreign policy at his transition headquarters in Wilmington, Delaware, December 28, 2020, photo by Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Biden Will Inherit Healthy Indo-Pacific Alliances

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Jan 11, 2021

    Nikkei Asia

    Certainly there is much work ahead as the United States embarks on the next chapter of competition against China throughout the Indo-Pacific. But U.S. alliances and partnerships are in good shape—the result of a growing Indo-Pacific consensus on the existential economic and security threat China poses.

    Read More »
  • U.S. President-elect Joe Biden delivers a speech at his transition headquarters in Wilmington, Delaware, November 25, 2020, photo by Joshua Roberts/Reuters
    International Diplomacy

    commentary

    Persistent Security Concerns in an Election Year

    Jeffrey W. Hornung

    Dec 10, 2020

    Council for Security Cooperation in the Asia Pacific

    The security challenges facing the incoming Biden administration are likely to remain largely the same as those in 2020. The increasing geopolitical, military, and economic heft of the Indo-Pacific region means the United States will likely continue to prioritize this region in 2021.

    Read More »
  • Overhead view of a container ship in port, photo by CHUNYIP WONG/Getty Images
    International Trade

    commentary

    RCEP Forms the World's Largest Trading Bloc. What Does This Mean for Global Trade?

    Tobias Sytsma

    Dec 9, 2020

    The RAND Blog

    In November, 15 nations signed the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), a free-trade agreement of economic and political significance eight years in the making. Why have some heralded RCEP as a landmark agreement?

    Read More »
  • People's Liberation Army soldiers stand on a ship sailing off from a military port in Zhanjiang, Guangdong province, July 11, 2017, photo by China Stringer Network/Reuters
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Biden Administration Could Benefit from Keeping an Indo-Pacific Focus

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Nov 30, 2020

    Nikkei Asia

    U.S. President-elect Joe Biden may be poised to reverse many of President Donald Trump's policies, but one that is very likely to remain is the Indo-Pacific strategy. Any changes will probably be stylistic rather than substantive.

    Read More »
  • Photo by Ron Przysucha/U.S. Government Photo
    Oceania

    commentary

    PIF Fragmentation May Alter U.S.-China Competition in the Pacific

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Oct 14, 2020

    The Diplomat

    The Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) may be on the verge of fragmentation, and if it happens, the consequences for U.S.-China geostrategic competition could be significant. A divided PIF would likely present several opportunities and challenges for China and the United States as their competition ramps up in Oceania.

    Read More »
  • Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Navy warships and fighter jets take part in a military display in the South China Sea, April 12, 2018
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    America's Indo-Pacific Vision Is Becoming a Reality—Because of China

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Sep 14, 2020

    Nikkei Asian Review

    The Trump administration's Indo-Pacific strategy has received a significant boost in recent months toward achieving its goal of keeping the region “free and open” from Chinese coercion. Ironically, China itself has been doing the boosting.

    Read More »
  • U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper meets with Palauan President Tommy Remengesau in Koror, Palau, August 27, 2020, photo by Jim Garamone/U.S. Department of Defense
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    America Is Betting Big on the Second Island Chain

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Sep 8, 2020

    The Diplomat

    The United States has deep and abiding interests in the Second Island Chain. But China's growing influence in the region could complicate U.S. plans. Washington will almost certainly seek to strengthen security cooperation with Pacific Island states in the Second Island Chain and bolster defensive positions on U.S. territories in the region.

    Read More »
  • India's prime minister Narendra Modi shakes hands with Shinzo Abe, Japan's prime minister, during a bilateral meeting in Osaka, Japan, June 27, 2019, photo by Kiyoshi Ota/Reuters
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    The Quad Is Poised to Become Openly Anti-China Soon

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Jul 28, 2020

    The Wire

    What has been striking about the Quad thus far is that it has resisted openly identifying China as the primary target it seeks to rein in. If the Quad is to be sustained, then it will likely have to come to grips with a forward-leaning approach to opposing Chinese activities.

    Read More »
  • The U.S. 7th Fleet amphibious command ship USS Blue Ridge (LCC 19) approaches the Royal Australian Navy's Fleet Base East on Garden Island in Sydney July 15, 2013, U.S. Navy Photo
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    The Indo-Pacific Contest: It Could be Time for Fresh Ideas on Allied Security Cooperation

    John Blaxland, Jennifer D. P. Moroney @jdpmoroney

    Jul 8, 2020

    Pacific Forum

    U.S. and Australian interests in the Pacific and Southeast Asia face unprecedented challenges from China, and Australia may not be able to handle them on its own. Momentum is growing for heightened cooperation between Australia and the United States.

    Read More »
  • A U.S. military B1B Lancer on the tarmac of Andersen Air Force base, on the island of Guam, August 17, 2017, photo by Joseph Campbell/Reuters
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Japan and Dynamic Force Employment

    Jeffrey W. Hornung

    Jun 23, 2020

    Yomiuri Shimbun

    In April, the United States ended a program that maintained a rotational bomber force to the U.S. territory of Guam. While the removal of a permanent bomber presence in the region has caused some in Japan to worry, U.S. commitment to Japan's defense shows no sign of changing nor does America's deterrent capability.

    Read More »
  • Naval ships from India, Australia, Japan, Singapore, and the United States steam in formation in the Bay of Bengal during Exercise Malabar, September 5, 2007, photo by MCSN Stephen Rowe/U.S. Navy
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Don't Get Too Excited, 'Quad Plus' Meetings Won't Cover China

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Apr 9, 2020

    The Diplomat

    The “Quad” countries met with several non-Quad countries to help each other amid the coronavirus pandemic. For all the good that can come of these countries working together, the Quad Plus, if sustained, may eventually jeopardize the Quad's primary mission: to counter China's assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific.

    Read More »
  • U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo meets with members of the Federated States of Micronesia Congress in Kolonia, Micronesia, August 5, 2019, photo by Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Delayed Chuuk Secession Vote a Win for U.S. Policy in Oceania

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Mar 6, 2020

    The Diplomat

    In February, the island of Chuuk postponed a referendum vote on secession from the Federated States of Micronesia. At least for the time being, Chuuk's decision is a significant victory in the U.S. diplomatic, economic, and security competition with China in the Pacific Islands.

    Read More »
  • Wildfires

    blog

    Australia's Fires, Artificial Intelligence, Fentanyl: RAND Weekly Recap

    Jan 24, 2020

    This weekly recap focuses on Australia's devastating fires, how artificial intelligence could manipulate the masses, the fentanyl crisis, and more.

    Read More »
  • A burning gum tree is felled to stop it from falling on a car in Corbago, as bushfires continue in New South Wales, Australia, January 5, 2020, photo by Tracey Nearmy/Reuters
    Wildfires

    commentary

    Australia's Fires: Respond Now, but Also Measure Toll on People for the Future

    Melissa L. Finucane @MelissaFinucane

    Jan 20, 2020

    The RAND Blog

    As an Australian, Melissa Finucane has watched with anguish as massive bushfires devastated wide swaths of her home country. As a researcher who studies community resilience, she can't help but think of how much blood, sweat, tears, and money will be required to recover.

    Read More »
  • (L-R) Solomon Islands Prime Minister Manasseh Sogavare and Foreign Minister Jeremiah Manele, and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang and State Councillor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi attend a signing ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, October 9, 2019, photo by Thomas Peter/Reuters
    China

    commentary

    What Does Beijing Want from the Pacific Islands?

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman, Michael S. Chase

    Dec 9, 2019

    ChinaFile

    China's recent activities in Oceania highlight a formidable two-pronged strategy of diplomatic and economic engagement that Washington and its allies and partners will have to vigorously compete against to maintain their preeminence in the Pacific.

    Read More »
  • Australian flag waving in blue sky, photo by MicroStockHub/Getty Images
    Fighter Aircraft

    commentary

    B-21 Raider Stealth Bomber Is Handy, but It May Not Be the Perfect Fit

    Carl Rhodes @CarlRhodes

    Dec 2, 2019

    The Australian

    Some in the Australian defence community have called for significant changes to the Australian Defence Force structure in response to changing global strategic conditions. Before Australia considers any new long-range strike capabilities, an analysis of alternatives that examines both cost and capability is essential.

    Read More »
  • Taiwan's guards of honour attend a welcoming ceremony for Marshall Islands President Hilda Heine in Taipei, Taiwan, July 27, 2018, photo by Tyrone Siu/Reuters
    Taiwan

    commentary

    China Will Struggle to Shut Taiwan Out of the Pacific

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Oct 3, 2019

    The Hill

    With the decisions of the Solomon Islands and Kiribati to recognize Beijing over Taipei, the list of Taiwan's official diplomatic partners has decreased to 15. But China is likely to have a difficult time eliminating Taiwan's presence diplomatically in the Pacific.

    Read More »
  • Destroyer HMAS Vampire moored alongside submarine HMAS Onslow, Sydney, Australia, May 22, 2017, photo by sfe-co2/Getty Images
    Submarines

    commentary

    Nuclear Subs Idea Worth Floating

    John Birkler, Robert Murphy

    Oct 1, 2019

    The Australian

    Whether Australia should operate and maintain nuclear-propelled attack submarines has been debated for years. While controversial to some, the option of nuclear subs in Australia's future fleet may be a useful alternative given trends in the country's security environment.

    Read More »
  • U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Micronesia President David Panuelo, Marshall Islands President Hilda Heine, and Palau's Vice President Raynold Oilouch hold a news conference, Kolonia, Micronesia, August 5, 2019, photo by Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
    International Economic Relations

    commentary

    Maintaining the U.S. Edge in the Freely Associated States

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman, Michael S. Chase

    Sep 3, 2019

    East Asia Forum

    In the geo-strategically vital region of the Freely Associated States (FAS), China is increasingly competing with the United States for influence. The United States and its allies and partners will need to engage not only with economic aid, but also with other issues including health, economic development, natural disasters, climate change and illegal fishing to sustain a strong partnership with the FAS.

    Read More »
  • Gun Violence

    blog

    Gun Policy, Cannabis, ISIS: RAND Weekly Recap

    Aug 9, 2019

    This weekly recap looks at gun policy in America, the cannabis market in Washington state, countering an ISIS comeback, and more.

    Read More »
  • Gun Violence

    blog

    Christchurch, Brexit, China and Israel: RAND Weekly Recap

    Mar 22, 2019

    This weekly recap focuses on the Christchurch shootings, how the UK can improve its post-Brexit prospects, China and Israel's evolving relationship, and more.

    Read More »
  • Imam Ibrahim Abdul Halim of the Linwood Mosque is embraced by Father Felimoun El-Baramoussy from the Coptic Church, in Christchurch, New Zealand March 18, 2019, photo by Edgar Su/Reuters
    Terrorism

    commentary

    The Christchurch Massacre Was Another Internet-Enabled Atrocity

    James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins

    Mar 20, 2019

    The Hill

    Terrorism has become an internet-enabled abuse—incited, propagated, and sometimes organized and concealed by online activity. Who should be held accountable for abusive content, the author or the publisher? And what role should the government play in regulating it?

    Read More »
  • U.S. Air Force 36th Contingency Response Group Airmen speak with India Air Force subject matter experts at Andersen Air Force Base, Guam, July 23, 2018, photo by Airman 1st Class Gerald Willis/U.S. Air Force
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    How the U.S. Is Thinking About the Quad

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Feb 7, 2019

    Australian Strategic Policy Institute

    The United States has been consistent in discussing the security objectives it seeks to promote through the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue. But U.S. interactions with other Quad partners have likely convinced Washington to repackage public presentation of the dialogue proceedings and manage its expectations of what the Quad can realistically achieve.

    Read More »
  • China's Liaoning aircraft carrier with accompanying fleet conducts a drill in an area of South China Sea, December, 2016
    Law of the Sea

    commentary

    The Quad Needs Broadening to Balance China—and Now's the Time to Do It

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Oct 22, 2018

    Foreign Policy

    Even in its resurrected form, the Quad could be in danger of failing to achieve its mission. The Quad might consider getting its house in order by extending dialogue partnerships to ASEAN maritime counterclaimant states.

    Read More »
  • Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi talk as they visit the Hubei Provincial Museum in Wuhan, China, April 27, 2018
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Is India the Weakest Link in the Quad?

    Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman

    Jul 23, 2018

    Foreign Policy

    India's sustained membership in the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue would fit with the goal of balancing against China to deter it from further militarizing the Indo-Pacific. But New Dehli may be getting cold feet.

    Read More »
  • Japan's Defence Minister Itsunori Onodera, U.S. Secretary of Defence Jim Mattis, and Australia's Defence Minister Marisa Payne meet on the sidelines at the IISS Shangri-la Dialogue in Singapore, June 2, 2018
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    The Quad: Second Verse, Same as the First?

    Ali Wyne

    Jun 15, 2018

    The Diplomat

    Members of “the Quad”—an informal collaborative arrangement among the United States, Japan, India, and Australia—have proven incapable of adopting either a shared understanding of or unified policies toward China.

    Read More »
  • Chinese boats fish at the disputed Scarborough Shoal, April 5, 2017
    Security Cooperation

    commentary

    The Potential of the Quadrilateral

    Jeffrey W. Hornung

    Feb 22, 2018

    Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (CSIS)

    The countries of the Quadrilateral Security Framework are the region's four most capable maritime powers, and are naturally concerned with China's assault on international rules and norms. If ever put in place, the Quad could contribute to the maintenance of security and order in the Indo-Pacific maritime commons.

    Read More »
  • Hacked internet of things
    Cybercrime

    commentary

    Gaming Policy in Cyberspace

    Michelle Price, Igor Mikolic-Torreira

    Aug 23, 2017

    Policyforum.net

    Hacked devices and intellectual property theft are a rich hunting ground for policy development. The challenge posed by Internet-connect devices is only getting worse as the number of online devices continues to grow.

    Read More »
  • The 24-hour Operations Room inside GCHQ, Cheltenham, UK, November 17, 2015
    Intelligence Community

    commentary

    Five Eyes at 70: Where to from Here?

    Cameron Colquhoun, Bradley Knopp, Arzan Tarapore

    Apr 21, 2017

    RealClearWorld

    The Five Eyes intelligence alliance of the U.S., Canada, Great Britain, Australia, and New Zealand began in the Cold War to meet the threat posed by the Soviet Union. Today, the nations' intelligence communities must contend with domestic terrorism and cyber threats while remaining ahead of Russia and China.

    Read More »
  • Police talk as they guard a house that was involved in pre-dawn raids in western Sydney September 18, 2014
    Intelligence Collection

    commentary

    Three Ways to Improve Australia's Intelligence Capability

    Arzan Tarapore

    Apr 4, 2017

    Lowy Institute's Interpreter

    Intelligence agencies should become centers of expertise, focus on what matters for their customers, and coordinate a network of partners. To better deliver on these three priorities, the Australian Intelligence Community should consider a leadership structure with authority to guide and coordinate these processes.

    Read More »
  • A survivor of sexual violence, waiting to be seen at the Antenatal Clinic in Port Morseby, Papua New Guinea
    Domestic Violence

    commentary

    Domestic Violence as a Way of Life: The Reality for Papua New Guinea's Women

    Mahlet Atakilt Woldetsadik

    Dec 31, 2014

    The RAND Blog

    Violence against women is a persistent problem around the world. That's particularly true of Papua New Guinea, where abuse of women by domestic partners, gang members, and members of law enforcement is widespread, drawing comparisons to conditions in conflict zones.

    Read More »
  • A hostage runs toward a police officer outside Lindt cafe, where other hostages are being held, in Martin Place, Sydney, December 15, 2014
    Australia

    blog

    Could the Sydney Cafe Siege Happen Elsewhere?

    Dec 17, 2014

    As the world mourns those lost in the Sydney cafe siege, investigations have begun examining the efficacy of Australia's anti-terrorism measures and details about the background and motives of the gunman. At the same time, terrorism experts are reflecting on where else such an attack could emerge.

    Read More »
  • Scientists filling test tubes in a laboratory
    Science, Technology, and Innovation Policy

    commentary

    Measuring Impact: How Australia and the UK Are Tackling Research Assessment

    Catriona Manville

    Dec 8, 2014

    The Guardian

    The UK is the first country to attempt to allocate funding based on the wider societal impact of research, and in 2012, a subset of higher education institutions in Australia ran a small-scale pilot exercise to assess impact and understand the potential challenges of the process. What can be learned by comparing the UK and Australian approaches?

    Read More »
  • Hercules aircraft parked on the tarmac at Marine Corps Air Station Futenma in Ginowan on Okinawa
    Defense Infrastructure

    commentary

    Should the U.S. Move the Marines to Guam?

    Michael J. Lostumbo

    Feb 28, 2014

    The Diplomat

    The option to permanently base Marines on Guam should hinge on the benefits of the location and the costs. Guam scores poorly on both counts and better options exist. However, previous guidance provided to the Marine Corps constrains consideration of such options.

    Read More »
  • counterinsurgency mission in Afghanistan
    Military Strategy

    commentary

    Paths to Victory in the Australian Defence and Security Context

    Christopher Paul

    Oct 2, 2013

    The Strategist

    The historical importance of commitment and motivation and the need to overmatch insurgents suggest that Australia should weigh any commitment of support against existing conditions, those that can be changed and those that can't, writes Christopher Paul.

    Read More »
  • Global Climate Change

    commentary

    Green Buildings, Jobs and Summits

    Charles P. Ries @charles_ries

    Sep 25, 2009

    Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

    If the United States is to be a global competitor in green building technology, it needs to learn from some of the countries that are at the table in Pittsburgh this week, writes Charles Ries.

    Read More »
  • commentary

    The New Politics of the Pacific Sends Shudders Through Australia

    Robert E. Hunter

    Jul 24, 2000

    Los Angeles Times

    Like everyone else concerned with Asia, Australia also is taking a hard look at China's future, as well as at Washington's approach to it. It's not clear that Canberra and Washington see eye to eye.

    Read More »

Quoted

  • Instead of a new domestic terrorism law, this moment calls for rigorous and equal enforcement of existing law, treating offenders as ordinary criminals, and avoiding legislation that may undermine Americans' rights and create labels that deepen the current political divide.

    brian michael jenkins, brian jenkins

    Brian Michael Jenkins

    Senior Adviser to the RAND President

    Source: The Hill

  • While I am glad to see all the teaching resources available today, our survey suggests a more systemic approach to expanding civic education is necessary. A first step toward that would be to make civic education a priority in state education standards and requirements.

    julia kaufman, k0442

    Julia H. Kaufman

    Senior Policy Researcher

    Source: The RAND Blog

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