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Chemical Terrorism
commentary
Arms Control Hostage to Skripal and Syria Attacks
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Apr 19, 2018
RealClearDefense
Two prominent poisoning assassination attempts and Kremlin denials of gas attacks by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad raise doubts about Moscow's commitment to the purposes of the Chemical Weapons Convention. Never has the future of negotiated arms control involving Russia been at greater risk.
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Chemical Weapons and Warfare
commentary
A Norm in Crisis: Implications of Persistent Chemical Weapons Use
Natasha Lander
Apr 18, 2018
RealClearDefense
The international community should consider serious options to hold perpetrators of chemical attacks accountable and stop further attacks. These are not easy choices. But the alternative is accepting that long-held norms are crumbling, and the world is sliding back to a time when inhumane tools of war were common.
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Chemical Terrorism
commentary
Hit Russia Where It Hurts: Take Away World Cup
Andrew Scobell
Apr 5, 2018
United Press International
After a chemical attack in Great Britain, U.K., U.S. and other governments responded unilaterally. But this crime cries out for a more collective response. Revoking Russia's right to host the World Cup tournament would be a powerful signal of global outrage and would hit Putin where it hurts.
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Russia
commentary
Moscow Is Going Too Far
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Apr 3, 2018
The Hill
Russia has become more daring with the West with its retaliatory expulsions and may face a high price. An angered West could turn from expulsions to economic countermeasures.
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Nuclear Deterrence
commentary
Red Glare: The Origin and Implications of Russia's 'New' Nuclear Weapons
Austin Long
Mar 26, 2018
War on the Rocks
Why would Russia, which has over 1,500 deployed strategic nuclear warheads that can be delivered from existing ballistic and cruise missiles, invest in new, exotic systems? The answer is deeply rooted in modern Russian and Soviet history.
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Russia
commentary
Putin Can Learn from Gorbachev on How to Gain from Future U.S. Talks
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Mar 22, 2018
The Hill
Vladimir Putin has won a flawed election to a fourth term as Russia's president, and Donald Trump has suggested the two will likely meet soon. For the Kremlin leader, however, a summit may draw shortcomings into sharper relief. If the two presidents meet, several key issues will await them.
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Chemical Weapons and Warfare
commentary
Russian Nerve Agent from Skripal Attack a Deadly Game-Changer
Daniel M. Gerstein @Daniel_Gerstein
Mar 19, 2018
Axios
The use of Novichok in last week's attack against Russian ex-spy Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia demands global condemnation and an insistence that Russia account for how the nerve agent came to be used at all, much less on foreign soil.
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Russia
commentary
Putin's Boasting About Nuclear Weapons Won't Help Him in the Russian Election
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Miriam Matthews
Mar 15, 2018
Newsweek
In a March 1 address to the nation, Russian President Vladimir Putin evoked Soviet-era exaggeration, proclaiming barely feasible economic and social goals and boasting of nuclear arms that are unlikely to change the strategic balance. Continued exaggeration could sap public confidence in the legitimacy of Russia's ruling system and leaders.
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Nuclear Disarmament
commentary
Could Putin's Speech Signal the Erosion of Nuclear Nonproliferation?
Daniel M. Gerstein @Daniel_Gerstein
Mar 7, 2018
The Hill
Russian President Vladimir Putin has linked the development of new nuclear weapons capabilities to the United States' refusal to collaborate on arms control. Perhaps before Russia goes down this path, another attempt at dialogue would be beneficial as both nations have expressed a shared interest in limiting nuclear proliferation.
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Information Operations
commentary
Free Lunches for Adversaries
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Christopher Paul
Feb 13, 2018
U.S. News & World Report
When leaders take actions that are unpopular with wide audiences, propagandists have it easy. While Western leaders should not make propaganda potential the primary factor when weighing policy decisions, neither should they wholly disregard the opportunities that unpopular policies will offer adversaries.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
A 'Glass Half-Full': Next Steps for Enhancing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank
Scott Boston, Abby Doll, David Ochmanek, David A. Shlapak
Feb 12, 2018
The RAND Blog
The United States and key allies have taken steps toward redressing the imbalance in military power between NATO and Russia in Northeastern Europe. But NATO's defense planners must be clear-eyed about what remains to be done.
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Russia
commentary
Russia Is Not a Viable Counterterrorism Partner for the United States
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
Feb 9, 2018
Russia Matters
Russia is America's adversary and its actions, particularly attempts to fracture NATO, do not align with larger U.S. security goals. Even where there are areas in which the two countries could work together to mutual benefit, any cooperation should be judicious, measured and treated with the requisite degree of skepticism.
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Political Reform Movements
commentary
Iran's Efforts to Create Instability Abroad Have Led to Protests at Home
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Jan 12, 2018
The National Interest
Iran has spent billions of dollars in its quest to be a regional leader, but its main achievement has been to spark instability across a wide swath of the Middle East. Ordinary Iranians are struggling and protesters are urging a retreat from costly foreign fights and more aid at home.
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Trade Regulation
commentary
Not All Russian Oligarchs Are Alike
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Jan 8, 2018
The Hill
The U.S. Secretary of the Treasury must report to Congress the main “oligarchs” in Russia, judged by their closeness to the “regime” and net worth. This broad approach, not aimed at specific wrongdoers, poses several risks.
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Peacekeeping and Stability Operations
commentary
Russia Trapped in Syria
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Dec 20, 2017
The Cipher Brief
Russia alone can neither guarantee the future security of Syria nor mobilize the resources to enable it to recover and rebuild. Only by linking arms with the international community to edge out Iran, forge broader-based governance and spur economic growth can Russia hope to achieve lasting success in Syria.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Kremlin Untruths Boomerang
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Dec 4, 2017
Real Clear World
The main sources of strain in Moscow's ties with the West are actions, such as Russia's aggression in Ukraine. But untruths add fuel to the fire and can provoke stronger Western reactions and impede the search for solutions.
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Russia

Arms Control Hostage to Skripal and Syria Attacks

A Norm in Crisis: Implications of Persistent Chemical Weapons Use

Hit Russia Where It Hurts: Take Away World Cup

Moscow Is Going Too Far

Red Glare: The Origin and Implications of Russia's 'New' Nuclear Weapons

Putin Can Learn from Gorbachev on How to Gain from Future U.S. Talks

Russian Nerve Agent from Skripal Attack a Deadly Game-Changer

Putin's Boasting About Nuclear Weapons Won't Help Him in the Russian Election

Could Putin's Speech Signal the Erosion of Nuclear Nonproliferation?

Free Lunches for Adversaries

A 'Glass Half-Full': Next Steps for Enhancing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank

Russia Is Not a Viable Counterterrorism Partner for the United States

Iran's Efforts to Create Instability Abroad Have Led to Protests at Home

Not All Russian Oligarchs Are Alike

Russia Trapped in Syria

Kremlin Untruths Boomerang

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