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Russia

Information Operations
commentary
NATO: Prepared for Countering Disinformation Operations in the Baltic States?
Marta Kepe @martakepe
Jun 7, 2017
European Geostrategy
NATO alliance countries deploying to the Baltics should prepare to deal with increasing levels of disinformation. An open and robust communication strategy could be crucial in tackling a sophisticated Russian disinformation campaign aimed at disrupting support for these deployments.
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Georgia (country)
commentary
Georgia Wants Reassurance That America Will Help Deter Russia
Kenneth Yalowitz, William Courtney @courtneywmh
May 25, 2017
The National Interest
Georgia is an emerging democracy in a difficult region with mainly authoritarian regimes nearby. To overcome severe challenges from Russian military occupation and economic weakness, it deserves sustained Western support.
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Russia
commentary
Russia in Action, Short of War
Bruce H. McClintock @BHMcClintock, Andrew Radin
May 9, 2017
U.S. News & World Report
The West needs to work more quickly and coordinate better to offset Russia's capabilities, aggressiveness, and success. Responding to Russia's hostile influence involves predicting Russia's targets, identifying the tools it's likely to use, and playing the long game rather than focusing on near-term events.
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Chemical Weapons and Warfare
commentary
Regional Action Needed to Prevent Syrian Chemical Attacks
Daniel M. Gerstein @Daniel_Gerstein
May 8, 2017
The Arab Weekly
Action must be taken to deter future use of chemical weapons. Regional leaders could call for the International Criminal Court to indict Assad for war crimes. Also, borders with Syria could be sealed to prevent any of the remaining stocks from leaving the country.
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Threat Assessment
commentary
How Trump Can Deter Russia and All of America's Other Enemies
Andrew R. Hoehn, Sonni Efron
Apr 26, 2017
Fortune
There is no such thing as blanket deterrence. Rather, one must deter a specific adversary from taking a specific action. A holistic approach should include ramping up U.S. capabilities to anticipate emerging threats, including events that are unlikely to happen.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
How the West Can Press Putin to Keep Assad in Order
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Apr 24, 2017
Newsweek
Moscow has achieved tactical successes in Syria, but without Western and regional help, its long-term strategic interests could be at risk. Denying strong evidence that the regime of Bashar al-Assad attacked civilians with sarin gas makes it harder for Moscow to obtain the Western and regional help it needs to secure its interests there.
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Ukraine
commentary
The Ukraine Crisis: Why Everyone Loses
Samuel Charap @scharap, Timothy J. Colton
Apr 19, 2017
Russia Matters
The Ukraine conflict has left every major actor involved worse off than it was before, and a resolution seems as elusive as ever. An inclusive dialogue on the regional order could be the first step toward defusing the conflict.
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Syria
commentary
(Withholding) Judgment of the U.S. Missile Strike on Syria
Jeffrey Martini
Apr 19, 2017
The National Interest
Will the U.S. missile strike in Syria constrain the Assad regime from future chemical weapons use? Rather than pass judgment, analysts should establish the benchmarks by which they will assess this decision once the facts are in.
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Syria
commentary
The Limits of Going It Alone in Syria
Dalia Dassa Kaye @dassakaye
Apr 18, 2017
U.S. News & World Report
Very little on the ground in Syria has changed since the U.S. missile strikes against the Assad regime. To translate this military action into policy gains, it will be necessary to follow up with increased diplomatic coordination with international partners and institutions.
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Chemical Weapons and Warfare
commentary
Why Would Assad Use Chemical Weapons?
Brian Michael Jenkins @BrianMJenkins
Apr 14, 2017
U.S. News & World Report
The use of chemical weapons today provokes international condemnation, if not always action. Those who order their deployment risk being charged with war crimes. So why would Syria's President Bashar Assad use them?
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Military Strategy
commentary
The Need for a Strategy from the Trump Administration
Linda Robinson @RobinsonL100
Apr 10, 2017
Newsweek
The Trump administration needs to articulate its policy toward Syria and Russia and its campaign to counter the Islamic State group. A coherent national security strategy could steer the U.S. through these complex problems.
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Chemical Weapons and Warfare
commentary
Why the Syria Chemical Attack Is a Big Problem for Putin
Daniel M. Gerstein @Daniel_Gerstein
Apr 6, 2017
Fortune
The growing use of chemicals and toxins as tools of assassination and terrorism are troubling trends. Global expressions of outrage over the latest attack in Syria could weaken Assad’s international support. Russia should listen and abandon its support for the regime while joining the international chorus of denunciation.
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Terrorism Threat Assessment
commentary
Attacks on Russia Will Only Increase
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
Apr 4, 2017
The Atlantic
As Russia gets more involved with the Syrian civil war, it's likely that Sunni militants will intensify their campaign against Russia. But the key reason why Sunni attacks on Russia proper will increase is the fallout between Sunni jihadists in the Caucasus — namely, the al-Qaeda-linked Caucasus Emirate and the ISIS-linked Wilayat Qawqaz.
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Terrorist Bombings
commentary
How Russia Became the Jihadists' No. 1 Target
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
Apr 3, 2017
Politico
Russia is fast replacing the United States as the number-one enemy of Al Qaeda, ISIS, and other Sunni jihadist groups motivated by violent and puritanical Salafist ideology. This shift is rooted in recent Russian actions in the Middle East.
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Cyber Warfare
commentary
Why It's So Hard to Stop a Cyberattack — and Even Harder to Fight Back
Christopher S. Chivvis @CChivvis, Cynthia Dion-Schwarz @CDionSchwarz
Mar 30, 2017
Zócalo Public Square and the Berggruen Institute
Cyber weapons attack the underlying network or computer systems. The possibility of unexpected effects in the cyber world is therefore greater than in conventional warfare. Not knowing if the effects were intentional complicates the response.
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Politics and Government
commentary
Belarus: Between Russia and the West
Kenneth Yalowitz, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Mar 29, 2017
The National Interest
Public demonstrations in Minsk and across Russia hint that winds of political change and disillusionment with stagnation and corruption may be reaching both countries. Their leaders will blame the West, try to ride out the protests and, despite differences, will likely stick together.
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Russia

NATO: Prepared for Countering Disinformation Operations in the Baltic States?

Georgia Wants Reassurance That America Will Help Deter Russia

Russia in Action, Short of War

Regional Action Needed to Prevent Syrian Chemical Attacks

How Trump Can Deter Russia and All of America's Other Enemies

How the West Can Press Putin to Keep Assad in Order

The Ukraine Crisis: Why Everyone Loses

(Withholding) Judgment of the U.S. Missile Strike on Syria

The Limits of Going It Alone in Syria

Why Would Assad Use Chemical Weapons?

The Need for a Strategy from the Trump Administration

Why the Syria Chemical Attack Is a Big Problem for Putin

Attacks on Russia Will Only Increase

How Russia Became the Jihadists' No. 1 Target

Why It's So Hard to Stop a Cyberattack — and Even Harder to Fight Back

Belarus: Between Russia and the West

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