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Here's How Russia Will Try to Interfere in the 2018 Elections
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Aug 14, 2018
Fox News Channel
Russia will threaten U.S. midterm elections in November, although by how much is unclear. Moscow might be more restrained this year, but it could be wilier.
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Military Budgets and Defense Spending
commentary
A Look at NATO Funding
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Jul 13, 2018
Inside Sources
European defense spending has been rising since 2014. NATO's two percent of GDP target for defense spending is a goal, not a commitment, and indeed a goal to be reached by 2024, not a standard allies have already failed to meet.
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Russia
commentary
Russia's Wars and Trump
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke, William Courtney @courtneywmh
Jul 11, 2018
The Hill
At the July 16 summit in Helsinki, President Trump might stress that the West will persist in imposing costs on Russia for current and any future malign interventions. At the same time, he could offer to work with Putin in the search for peace in Syria and Ukraine if Moscow were to decide to withdraw its forces.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Time to Make a Deal on Syria
Samuel Charap @scharap, Jeffrey Martini
Jul 10, 2018
Foreign Policy
U.S. leverage is much diminished by the Assad regime's recent gains but there are still opportunities for Washington and Russia to achieve a settlement that preserves some U.S. interests. These include maintaining the gains made against the Islamic State and constraining Iranian influence in Syria.
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Russia
commentary
Western Unity Is Best for Russian Summitry
Denis Corboy, William Courtney @courtneywmh, Kenneth Yalowitz
Jul 5, 2018
The American Interest
In preparing for his summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin, President Donald Trump could benefit from a coordinated Western approach toward Moscow as a prelude. Absent this, his hand will be seriously weakened.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Trump and Putin Should Start Small at Helsinki Summit
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Kenneth Yalowitz
Jul 2, 2018
Reuters
Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will hold their first formal summit on July 16. Their agenda will likely include the main sources of strain in relations, but they might find it easier to make concrete progress if they start with lower-profile issues as Mikhail Gorbachev and Ronald Reagan did at their first summit.
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International Economic Relations
commentary
Why Russia Should Not Rejoin the G7
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Jun 13, 2018
USA Today
Even were it to disgorge the parts of Ukraine that it seized in 2014, Russia still would not qualify for reentry into the G8. An aspirational case for Russian membership might be made, but only if Russia's leadership aspires to democratic government and an open free market economy. At the moment there is no sign of such an aspiration.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Six Lessons for Today from Past Summits
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Michael Haltzel
Jun 5, 2018
Fox News Channel
To prepare for possible meetings with his North Korean and Russian counterparts, President Trump can learn lessons from decades of high-profile summits between U.S. presidents and Kremlin leaders.
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Georgia (country)
commentary
Where Is Georgia Headed?
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Daniel Fried, Kenneth Yalowitz
May 23, 2018
The National Interest
Since its renewed independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, Georgia has made steady progress toward full European and Euro-Atlantic integration, and stabilized relations with Russia. Continuing on this path is a key test of whether it is still possible for reforming former Soviet countries to integrate into the Euro-Atlantic community.
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Russia
commentary
The Limits of Russian Strategy in the Middle East
Ben Connable, Becca Wasser @Becca_Wasser
May 10, 2018
London School of Economics
The greatest limitation of Russia's Middle East strategy is that it is not Russia, but the Middle Eastern states themselves that determine the depth of their relations with Moscow. Just as Russia seeks to engage in the Middle East for its own benefit, these states also seek to use Russia to their advantage.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
How Russia's Blunders Abroad Have Galvanized Europe
William Courtney @courtneywmh, Michael Haltzel
May 10, 2018
The Moscow Times
Russia overrates the efficacy of the military and underrates political and economic assets. Through this outdated prism the Kremlin sees Europe as America's weak sister. This miscalculation has led Russia repeatedly to err, as shown by decades of frustrated efforts to divide Europeans and split them from the U.S.
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Russia
commentary
Russia Chooses Autarchy—and Isolation—Over Cooperation
William Courtney @courtneywmh
May 7, 2018
The Cipher Brief
Russia says it is ending a centuries-long quest to join the West and preparing for “100 years of geopolitical solitude.” If Russia goes this way it will be because of its own unwise policies, not a Western cold shoulder.
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Chemical Terrorism
commentary
Arms Control Hostage to Skripal and Syria Attacks
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Apr 19, 2018
RealClearDefense
Two prominent poisoning assassination attempts and Kremlin denials of gas attacks by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad raise doubts about Moscow's commitment to the purposes of the Chemical Weapons Convention. Never has the future of negotiated arms control involving Russia been at greater risk.
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Chemical Weapons and Warfare
commentary
A Norm in Crisis: Implications of Persistent Chemical Weapons Use
Natasha Lander
Apr 18, 2018
RealClearDefense
The international community should consider serious options to hold perpetrators of chemical attacks accountable and stop further attacks. These are not easy choices. But the alternative is accepting that long-held norms are crumbling, and the world is sliding back to a time when inhumane tools of war were common.
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Chemical Terrorism
commentary
Hit Russia Where It Hurts: Take Away World Cup
Andrew Scobell
Apr 5, 2018
United Press International
After a chemical attack in Great Britain, U.K., U.S. and other governments responded unilaterally. But this crime cries out for a more collective response. Revoking Russia's right to host the World Cup tournament would be a powerful signal of global outrage and would hit Putin where it hurts.
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Russia
commentary
Moscow Is Going Too Far
William Courtney @courtneywmh
Apr 3, 2018
The Hill
Russia has become more daring with the West with its retaliatory expulsions and may face a high price. An angered West could turn from expulsions to economic countermeasures.
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Russia

Here's How Russia Will Try to Interfere in the 2018 Elections

A Look at NATO Funding

Russia's Wars and Trump

Time to Make a Deal on Syria

Western Unity Is Best for Russian Summitry

Trump and Putin Should Start Small at Helsinki Summit

Why Russia Should Not Rejoin the G7

Six Lessons for Today from Past Summits

Where Is Georgia Headed?

The Limits of Russian Strategy in the Middle East

How Russia's Blunders Abroad Have Galvanized Europe

Russia Chooses Autarchy—and Isolation—Over Cooperation

Arms Control Hostage to Skripal and Syria Attacks

A Norm in Crisis: Implications of Persistent Chemical Weapons Use

Hit Russia Where It Hurts: Take Away World Cup

Moscow Is Going Too Far

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