Southeast Asia

Philippines
commentary
New Philippine President Marcos Jr. Likely Won't Repeat Duterte's Foreign Policy Mistakes
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
May 10, 2022
Foreign Policy
The May 2022 election of Bongbong Marcos as the next president of the Philippines will hold significant implications for Manila's foreign policy. He is likely to be influenced by the policies of both his father, former dictator Ferdinand Marcos, and his predecessor, Rodrigo Duterte, yielding a new government interested in engaging China while keeping the United States close by.
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Russia
blog
Russian Mercenaries, Online Extremism, the Commercial Space Market: RAND Weekly Recap
Apr 15, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on Russia's use of mercenaries, understanding how extremist movements operate online, trends in the commercial space market, and more.
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Russia
commentary
Why Most of the Indo-Pacific Tiptoes Around Russia
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Apr 7, 2022
Foreign Policy
Since the start of Russia's increasingly brutal war in Ukraine, the West has ramped up pressure on the rest of the world to condemn Moscow's belligerence and join sanctions against Russia and its regime. In the vast Indo-Pacific region, however, the West's message has fallen flat.
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Vietnam
commentary
Taiwan Isn't the Ukraine of the Indo-Pacific. Try Vietnam Instead
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Mar 21, 2022
Nikkei Asia
Russia's war in Eastern Europe has prompted Indo-Pacific security watchers to draw comparisons between Ukraine's plight and that of Taiwan with regard to China. But the more-applicable analogy is a different Indo-Pacific country: Vietnam.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Could the U.S. Play Offense in China's Back Yard?
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jan 13, 2022
Foreign Policy
Relations with Cambodia and Laos have fallen victim to the U.S. administration's foreign policy priority of shared values over shared interests. This approach has failed to make headway in Cambodia and Laos, isolates the United States in a region where few countries are true democracies, and unnecessarily cedes ground to Beijing.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Biden's Southeast Asia Policy Still Has Much to Prove
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Dec 17, 2021
Foreign Policy
As the Biden administration's first year comes to a close, how is the United States faring in Southeast Asia? Washington got a lot right, but it could do better to optimize competition against China and work on a more sensitive understanding of the delicate and at times precarious position Southeast Asian states are in.
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Philippines
commentary
Duterte's Dalliance with China Is Over
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Nov 2, 2021
Foreign Policy
When Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte took office in 2016, he pledged to shift his country's foreign policy away from the United States in favor of China and Russia. His China-friendly policy is now effectively over, and he's doing his best to align the Philippines with the United States once more.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Reinforcing U.S. Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific After the Fall of Afghanistan
Scott W. Harold
Sep 3, 2021
RealClearDefense
China and North Korea are seizing on the U.S. departure from Afghanistan to press their own political warfare messages. What can the United States do to mitigate the impact of the Taliban takeover on America's interests in the Indo-Pacific?
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Biden's Indo-Pacific Policy Blueprint Emerges
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Aug 23, 2021
Nikkei Asia
The Biden administration has yet to detail its goals in the Indo-Pacific region and how it plans to achieve them. But following recent virtual engagements and U.S. visits to the region, at least three key points have crystallized.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Biden's Troubled Southeast Asia Policy Needs a Reboot
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jul 6, 2021
Nikkei Asia
Nearly six months into Joe Biden's presidency, it is now possible to begin assessing the effectiveness of some of his administration's policies. When it comes to Southeast Asia, the Biden administration has thus far fallen short, but the future looks relatively bright with certain caveats.
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Indonesia
commentary
Indonesia Is Quietly Warming Up to China
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jun 7, 2021
Foreign Policy
Improving China-Indonesia relations could have profound geostrategic significance for the United States. Washington may want to focus on assistance that would benefit Indonesia itself, not just the United States in its competition with China.
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Educational Equity
blog
Pandemic Education, Working Mothers, Predicting Cyber Threats: RAND Weekly Recap
May 14, 2021
This weekly recap focuses on the urban-rural divide in pandemic education, supporting working moms, what makes a good COVID-19 reopening plan, and more.
Read More »
Philippines
commentary
China Has Lost the Philippines Despite Duterte's Best Efforts
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
May 6, 2021
Foreign Policy
Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte has time and again underscored his anti-U.S. and pro-Chinese orientation. Duterte now recognizes, in spite of his continued rhetoric to the contrary, that China is no friend.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
Biden Should Consider Downsides of Stressing National Values in Indo-Pacific
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
May 3, 2021
Nikkei Asia
The Biden administration has argued that the United States must strengthen its Indo-Pacific alliances and partnerships to compete more successfully with China. Will Washington prioritize national interests or national values?
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Vietnam
commentary
Vietnam Must Be Pleased with the Biden Administration—for the Most Part
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Mar 16, 2021
The Diplomat
After four years of steadily strengthening U.S.-Vietnam security relations under the Trump administration, the presidential transition to Joe Biden naturally carries some measure of uncertainty for Hanoi. Early signs from the Biden administration, however, are extremely positive for Vietnam.
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Health Care Costs
blog
Reducing Hospital Prices, Vaccinating the Most Active, Myanmar: RAND Weekly Recap
Feb 19, 2021
This weekly recap focuses on regulating hospital prices to cut spending, a COVID-19 vaccine strategy that prioritizes "active" people, what the Capitol attack means for security clearances, and more.
Read More »

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Southeast Asia

New Philippine President Marcos Jr. Likely Won't Repeat Duterte's Foreign Policy Mistakes

Russian Mercenaries, Online Extremism, the Commercial Space Market: RAND Weekly Recap

Why Most of the Indo-Pacific Tiptoes Around Russia

Taiwan Isn't the Ukraine of the Indo-Pacific. Try Vietnam Instead

Could the U.S. Play Offense in China's Back Yard?

Biden's Southeast Asia Policy Still Has Much to Prove

Duterte's Dalliance with China Is Over

Reinforcing U.S. Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific After the Fall of Afghanistan

Biden's Indo-Pacific Policy Blueprint Emerges

Biden's Troubled Southeast Asia Policy Needs a Reboot

Indonesia Is Quietly Warming Up to China

Pandemic Education, Working Mothers, Predicting Cyber Threats: RAND Weekly Recap

China Has Lost the Philippines Despite Duterte's Best Efforts

Biden Should Consider Downsides of Stressing National Values in Indo-Pacific

Vietnam Must Be Pleased with the Biden Administration—for the Most Part

Reducing Hospital Prices, Vaccinating the Most Active, Myanmar: RAND Weekly Recap

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