Ukraine

blog
Politicized Topics in School, the War in Ukraine, Post-Quantum Cryptography: RAND Weekly Recap
Aug 12, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on the intrusion of politicized topics in America's schools, where the war in Ukraine may be headed, post-quantum cryptography, and more.
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Ukraine
commentary
The Case for Cautious Optimism in Ukraine
Raphael S. Cohen, Gian Gentile
Aug 9, 2022
Foreign Policy
While the outcome of the war in Ukraine is by no means clear, the balance of materiel, manpower, and willpower all seem to make the case for cautious optimism. Although Ukraine is unlikely to throw Russia back to its borders any time soon, the war will likely trend in Ukraine's favor in the coming months. But only if the West does not blink first.
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Military Strategy
commentary
Is the Virtue in the Weapon or the Cause?
David E. Johnson @DaveJohnsonDC
Aug 5, 2022
Lawfire
The Biden administration's recent announcement of its intention to adhere to the provisions of the Ottawa Convention on anti-personnel landmines has real consequences. This decision is the latest in the long controversy over the use of anti-personnel landmines and, more broadly, what means are moral in war.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
Could U.S. Weapons Assistance to Ukraine Lead to Russian Escalation?
Samuel Charap @scharap, Jeremy Shapiro
Aug 1, 2022
New York Times
The United States and its allies should certainly continue providing Ukraine with the matériel it needs, but they should also—in close consultation with Kyiv—begin opening channels of communication with Russia. An eventual cease-fire should be the goal, even as the path to it remains uncertain.
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Military Strategy
commentary
Might Russia Turn to Terror Bombing Civilians in Ukraine?
Karl P. Mueller
Jul 29, 2022
The RAND Blog
Recent Russian missile attacks against civilian targets in cities far away from the front lines have killed scores of Ukrainians, leading to widespread outrage. These events raise the question of whether the war in Ukraine is entering a new phase in which terror attacks might become common.
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Russia
blog
Talking to Russia, Racial Bias, Mine-Hunting Dolphins: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 29, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on preventing escalation of the war in Ukraine, how racial bias compounds over time, why the Navy should stick with its mine-hunting dolphins, and more.
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Military Strategy
commentary
The Lessons the United States Learned, and That Russia Did Not
Raphael S. Cohen, Gian Gentile
Jul 25, 2022
Lawfare
As dissimilar as the Iraq and Afghanistan wars may be to the war in Ukraine, those conflicts taught the United States a few important lessons, often the hard way. As a result, the U.S. military probably would have avoided the problems that beset the Russians in Ukraine—not in spite of the global war on terrorism, but because of it.
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Employment and Unemployment
blog
U.S. Labor Market, 988 Hotline, Firearm Homicides: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 22, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on the U.S. economy’s uneven pandemic recovery, a new national mental health hotline, firearm homicides, and more.
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Gun Policy
blog
Gun Storage, the Dangers of Replacement Theory, War in Ukraine: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 15, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on how Americans store their guns, why ‘replacement theory' is a danger to us all, the war in Ukraine, and more.
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Women's Health
blog
Abortion Misinformation, Deepfakes, Environmental Racism: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 8, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on abortion misinformation in a post-Roe world, the threat of deepfakes, environmental hazards in historically redlined communities, and more.
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Disaster Recovery Operations
commentary
Rebuilding Ukraine for a Changing Climate
Mark Stalczynski, Ismael Arciniegas Rueda, Nihar Chhatiawala
Jul 8, 2022
The Hill
When the war in Ukraine ends, the country will in all likelihood undergo a massive reconstruction. Ukraine could rebuild in a way that would both lower its carbon footprint and construct infrastructure resilient to the effects of climate change.
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Ukraine
commentary
Obstacles to Lasting Peace Between Ukraine and Russia
Clint Reach
Jul 7, 2022
Santa Monica Daily Press
The current situation in Ukraine suggests that neither side will be able to achieve a decisive military victory that settles the disputes that led to the war. Ukraine and Russia theoretically could reach an agreement to stop the fighting, but the politics between the two sides and centuries of confrontational history do not suggest a lasting peace.
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Women's Health
blog
Overturning Roe, a New Mental Health Hotline, Russia: RAND Weekly Recap
Jul 1, 2022
This weekly recap focuses on how repealing Roe v. Wade could affect women in the military, whether America is prepared to launch a new emergency mental health hotline, Russia's war in Ukraine, and more.
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Russia
commentary
War of the Worlds: How Cognitive Dissonance and Repression Shape Russian Perceptions of the Conflict in Ukraine
Alyssa Demus
Jun 29, 2022
InkStick
Cognitive dissonance theory offers a compelling explanation for one of the confounding phenomena emerging from the war in Ukraine—Russians who refuse to believe their Ukrainian family members' lived experiences of the war. How is it that of the two cognitions Russians are wrestling with, the Kremlin's manufactured truth often prevails?
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Russia
q&a
Russia's Ambitions and the War in Ukraine: Q&A with Dara Massicot
Jun 29, 2022
Dara Massicot is a senior policy researcher at RAND who specializes in Russian military strategy. In this interview, she discusses Russia's war in Ukraine, its incorrect assumptions about Ukraine's will to fight, and how hard it's going to be for Russia to restore its military capabilities.
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Military Strategy
commentary
What Better Way to Use the Arsenal of Democracy?
David E. Johnson @DaveJohnsonDC
Jun 28, 2022
RealClearDefense
At what point can the United States and other countries no longer afford the massive transfer of weapons to the Ukrainians, lest they jeopardize the readiness of their own militaries? When does the arsenal of democracy shift to the arsenal for self? These are questions that are starting to be raised as the demand for weapons becomes clear in what is now a protracted war in Ukraine.
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…

Quoted

The strength of NATO is that it is at its essence an ongoing consultation based on trust, and where needed a central meeting point for smaller groups of allies to collaborate on an issue-by-issue basis. Finland and Sweden could benefit by working from the outset to advance the dialogue, express their interests, and help to shape what can be a stronger, smarter NATO.

Gene Germanovich

International Defense Researcher

Source: United Press International

The world is two-and-a-half years into COVID-19, facing another international and national emerging infectious disease outbreak with monkey pox, and experts have warned that such diseases are only becoming more likely. A serious reckoning beginning with a 9/11-like commission for COVID-19 could be undertaken to develop a system for preparing for and responding to emerging infectious diseases. Relying on “ad hoc-ery” may not be the best option.

Daniel M. Gerstein

Senior Policy Researcher

Source: The Hill

North Korean Sanctions Evasion

Hypothetical Scenarios of U.S.-China Conflict

Learning, Relearning, and Not Learning the Lessons of COVID-19

Finnish and Swedish NATO Membership: Toward a Larger, Stronger, Smarter Alliance

Three Steps to Protect Communities from Climate Change

The Policy Currents Podcast

Improving Psychological Wellbeing and Work Outcomes in the UK

Managing Escalation in Crisis and War

Getting to Know Military Caregivers and Their Needs

Planning for the Rising Costs of Dementia

Ukraine

Politicized Topics in School, the War in Ukraine, Post-Quantum Cryptography: RAND Weekly Recap

The Case for Cautious Optimism in Ukraine

Is the Virtue in the Weapon or the Cause?

Could U.S. Weapons Assistance to Ukraine Lead to Russian Escalation?

Might Russia Turn to Terror Bombing Civilians in Ukraine?

Talking to Russia, Racial Bias, Mine-Hunting Dolphins: RAND Weekly Recap

The Lessons the United States Learned, and That Russia Did Not

U.S. Labor Market, 988 Hotline, Firearm Homicides: RAND Weekly Recap

Gun Storage, the Dangers of Replacement Theory, War in Ukraine: RAND Weekly Recap

Abortion Misinformation, Deepfakes, Environmental Racism: RAND Weekly Recap

Rebuilding Ukraine for a Changing Climate

Obstacles to Lasting Peace Between Ukraine and Russia

Overturning Roe, a New Mental Health Hotline, Russia: RAND Weekly Recap

War of the Worlds: How Cognitive Dissonance and Repression Shape Russian Perceptions of the Conflict in Ukraine

Russia's Ambitions and the War in Ukraine: Q&A with Dara Massicot

What Better Way to Use the Arsenal of Democracy?

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