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The RAND Blog

Ukraine

  • RAND Weekly Recap
    School Security

    blog

    Arming Teachers, F-16s for Ukraine, Commercial Spaceflight: RAND Weekly Recap

    This weekly recap focuses on how teachers feel about arming teachers, what F-16s will (and won't) do for Ukraine, the need to regulate commercial spaceflight, and more.

    Read More »

    Jun 2, 2023

  • Military Personnel Retention

    commentary

    The Russian Military's Looming Personnel Crises of Retention and Veteran Mental Heath

    Russia's looming troop-retention and veteran-treatment problems are already visible on the horizon, even though they have been delayed by policy. By invading Ukraine, Russia has created a wave of severe trauma that will soon crash over its own country.

    Read More »

    Jun 1, 2023

    The Economist

    Dara Massicot @MassDara

  • Fighter Aircraft

    commentary

    What F-16s Will (and Won't) Do for Ukraine

    After months of publicly lobbying to acquire U.S.-made F-16 fighter jets, it appears that Ukraine may receive them later this year. However, there remains a long road ahead before the F-16s would see service in Ukraine—and it is an open question how much they would affect the outcome of the war.

    Read More »

    May 31, 2023

    The Bulwark

    Brynn Tannehill

  • Security Cooperation

    commentary

    Military Assistance to Ukraine Is a Rare Success

    Recently, the United States reversed its long-standing opposition to sending Ukraine F-16 advanced aircraft to aid its fight against Russia. The policy reversal is a smart call. Once the aircraft are delivered and training is complete the jets will help Ukraine defend its territory more efficiently, and might even help end the war.

    Read More »

    May 26, 2023

    The RAND Blog

    Alexander Noyes @alexhnoyes, Richard Bennet

  • Fighter Aircraft

    commentary

    F-16s Will Bolster Ukraine's Fighting Force

    F-16s going to Ukraine could help it defend against Russian aerial assaults. But their greatest value may be to augment future Ukrainian counteroffensives aimed at retaking occupied land. This will require training and exercising, but Ukrainian forces are fully capable of mastering it.

    Read More »

    May 25, 2023

    RealClearDefense

    John Hoehn, William Courtney @courtneywmh

  • Military Strategy

    commentary

    What Washington Gets Wrong About Deterrence

    The war in Ukraine has depleted American military stockpiles in the short term. But such a shortfall may not necessarily affect U.S. deterrence.

    Read More »

    May 22, 2023

    War on the Rocks

    Raphael S. Cohen

  • Geopolitical Strategic Competition

    q&a

    Alternative Futures Following a Great Power War: Miranda Priebe and Bryan Frederick in Conversation

    Though not a great power war, Russia's invasion of Ukraine has caused many to wonder what a true great power war in Europe or the Indo-Pacific would look like, and especially what kind of world would emerge afterwards. Two RAND researchers discuss how their recent report sheds light on this issue.

    Read More »

    May 9, 2023

    The RAND Blog

  • Ukraine

    blog

    Ukraine's Recovery, Mental Health First Aid, School Staffing: RAND Weekly Recap

    This weekly recap focuses on the trade-offs of Ukraine's reconstruction, the effects of a Mental Health First Aid training program, school staffing challenges, and more.

    Read More »

    May 5, 2023

  • Unmanned Aerial Vehicles

    commentary

    What the Drone Strikes on the Kremlin Reveal About the War in Ukraine

    False flag, special op, or fizzled attack—it may not be possible to get to the bottom of who launched drones at the Kremlin and why any time soon. But the incident and reactions it has elicited from the war's major players reveal just how important weaponized, long-range drones have become in this conflict.

    Read More »

    May 4, 2023

    The Atlantic

    Brynn Tannehill

  • Fighter Aircraft

    commentary

    Why Does Ukraine Want Western Jets?

    Ever since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Ukraine has requested Western fighter jets. Why does it want them? Of what use could they be? And what are some of their limitations?

    Read More »

    May 3, 2023

    RealClearDefense

    John Hoehn, William Courtney @courtneywmh

  • Nuclear Weapons and Warfare

    commentary

    Countering Russia's Nuclear Threat in Europe

    President Vladimir Putin's announced plan to put nuclear arms in Belarus may pose risks to NATO's nuclear posture. Three decades after the Soviet collapse, some allies might be uneasy about reenergizing NATO's nuclear mission. But others might argue that not responding to Russia's plans could cause the Kremlin to doubt NATO's nuclear credibility.

    Read More »

    Apr 20, 2023

    The Hill

    William Courtney @courtneywmh

  • Russia

    commentary

    Stalled in Ukraine, Kremlin Increasingly Turns to Political Theater

    Stymied in Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin has amped up the political theater to achieve his objectives. How do we interpret Putin's statements? While no nuclear threat should be ignored, Putin's pronouncements remain in the realm of propaganda.

    Read More »

    Apr 17, 2023

    The Hill

    Brian Michael Jenkins @BrianMJenkins

  • blog

    Truth Decay and National Security, Gun Violence, Blockading Crimea: RAND Weekly Recap

    This weekly recap focuses on Truth Decay and national security, America's gun violence problem, how Ukraine could blockade Crimea, and more.

    Read More »

    Apr 14, 2023

  • Ukraine

    commentary

    Europe: Ukraine's Essential Ally

    While the United States is Ukraine's primary military backer, Europe is sharing the war's overall burden, sanctioning Russia, arming Ukraine, and helping prepare it to join the European Union, as well as absorbing huge economic costs. Europe's partnership with the United States on Ukraine may be Western diplomacy's finest hour since the Berlin Wall fell.

    Read More »

    Apr 10, 2023

    The Hill

    William Courtney @courtneywmh, Hans Binnendijk

  • Ukraine

    commentary

    Why Blockading Rather Than Retaking Crimea Might Be Kyiv's Best Option

    Ukraine may lack the military capability to retake Crimea from Russia. But Kyiv might still achieve some of its key objectives by blockading the peninsula. New technology may ease this task.

    Read More »

    Apr 10, 2023

    The Moscow Times

    Scott Savitz, William Courtney @courtneywmh

  • Ukraine

    commentary

    What Difference Will Polish and Slovakian Fighter Jets Make to Ukraine?

    The news that Poland and Slovakia are to deliver MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine signals a departure from the longstanding stance of the international community, which had hitherto resisted Kyiv's calls for more combat aircraft. While this donation will be welcomed in Ukraine, it could raise political and practical issues the West must address to maximize the benefits and mitigate the risks.

    Read More »

    Mar 23, 2023

    Defense News

    James Black

Quoted

  • The Biden administration's lack of a competitive economic strategy, not just in Oceania but throughout the Indo-Pacific, is providing China with unique opportunities to leverage its Belt and Road Initiative to deepen trade, investment, and infrastructure development. Chinese economic overtures tend to be successful, given that Pacific Island countries are overwhelmingly small and impoverished.

    Derek Grossman

    Derek Grossman

    Senior Defense Analyst

    Source: Foreign Policy

  • While neurodivergent diagnoses are not automatically disqualifying from Army service, any new recruit who reveals a diagnosis jumps through hoops to serve. Some described having to prove that their diagnoses do not impede their ability to serve, which puts the burden on an eighteen-year-old to prove a negative for which the Army has no assessment criteria.

    Cortney Weinbaum

    Cortney Weinbaum

    Senior Management Scientist

    Source: Modern War Institute (West Point)

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