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2017

Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder
commentary
Raising Awareness of the Need for Collaborative Care to Treat PTSD
Lisa S. Meredith
Jun 23, 2017
The RAND Blog
Post-traumatic stress disorder affects nearly 8 percent of American adults from all walks of life. Research suggests that more work is needed to improve and adapt models of care for PTSD.
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Afghanistan
commentary
Trump's Options for Afghanistan: Losing or Not Losing
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins
Jun 23, 2017
The Cipher Brief
The Trump administration faces the choice of losing quickly by withdrawing from Afghanistan; losing slowly by staying at the current, inadequate levels of commitment; or not losing by increasing that commitment enough to maintain a stalemate on the battlefield.
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Security Cooperation
commentary
The U.S.-France Dustup Over Counterterrorism in the Sahel
Michael Shurkin @MichaelShurkin
Jun 23, 2017
U.S. News & World Report
It's time for Paris and Washington to get together with the G5 nations of the Sahel and draft a strategy for achieving shared objectives. The French cannot do it alone or even with the support of the G5 nations. The U.S. would be penny wise but pound foolish to stay aloof or even just uphold the status quo.
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The Islamic State (Terrorist Organization)
commentary
Is ISIS Leader Baghdadi Still Alive?
Colin P. Clarke @ColinPClarke
Jun 22, 2017
Foreign Affairs
The Russian military announced that it might have killed the leader of the Islamic State, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, in an airstrike in Raqqa. Would his death weaken the group or will ISIS continue to adapt, evolve, and expand like al Qaeda did?
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Program Evaluation
commentary
Imagine You Have to Start All Over Again Every 12 Months: The Case for Multi-Annual Core Funding in Grant-Making
Daniel Schweppenstedde
Jun 20, 2017
Grant Solutions
Multi-annual core funding might allow grantees to grow and mature, and develop or change their ways of doing business. But unlimited renewal of funding is unfeasible as funding priorities change. Providers of multi-annual core funding could develop long-term strategies to prepare for challenges when a funding stream ends.
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The Islamic State (Terrorist Organization)
commentary
The Islamic State's Disposable Army
Brian Michael Jenkins @BrianMJenkins
Jun 20, 2017
U.S. News & World Report
To leaders of the Islamic State group, murder of its own and collective suicide are keys to its defense strategy. The group targets malcontents and the most suggestible, knowing they are desperate to belong to something and willing to die for it.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
How China Could Truly Rein in North Korea
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman
Jun 20, 2017
The Cipher Brief
China has key pressure points at its disposal to help deter North Korea from nuclear activities. It could cut off oil supplies or limit other trade, or crack down on illicit finance networks as many of the banks laundering money for the regime are in China. It could also stop shielding Pyongyang at the UN.
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Japan
commentary
Giving Japan a Military
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Jun 20, 2017
The Japan Times
After 70 years, Japan may finally be on the cusp of acquiring its own military. Legally, that is. Prime Minister Abe has proposed a change to Japan's constitution to give legal standing to the Self-Defense Forces, and it's long overdue.
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Counterterrorism
commentary
Can We Predict Where Terrorists Will Strike Next?
Brian Michael Jenkins @BrianMJenkins
Jun 19, 2017
Newsweek
Terrorism has escalated horizontally, not vertically. Instead of weapons of mass destruction, there has been a proliferation of low-level attacks. The trick will be to predict and prevent new plots.
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Education Policy
commentary
How to Solve a Problem Like Missing Data
Alex Sutherland, Catherine L. Saunders
Jun 16, 2017
Statistics Views
Missing data is a challenge for statisticians, policymakers, and analysts, particularly when a robust evidence base is needed. How can this problem be addressed?
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Syria
commentary
When the Caliphate Falls, What Then for U.S. Policy?
Brian Michael Jenkins @BrianMJenkins
Jun 16, 2017
Defense One
The eventual fall of ISIS-controlled Raqqa will necessitate a review of U.S. policy in Syria. Policymakers can start thinking about the questions it will raise now.
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Taiwan
commentary
Taiwan's 2017 Quadrennial Defense Review in Context
Derek Grossman @DerekJGrossman, Michael Chase, Logan Ma
Jun 14, 2017
Global Taiwan Brief
Taiwan's 2017 Quadrennial Defense Review is consistent with past reviews on defense strategy, reform of the military service system, and defense budget constraints. It also emphasizes the importance to President Tsai of Taiwan's domestic defense industry and shows uncertainty about U.S. Asia policy.
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International Diplomacy
commentary
U.S. Interests and World Community
Michael J. Mazarr
Jun 14, 2017
The Cipher Brief
Evidence shows that many countries consider themselves part of an emerging global community. This represents America's most potent competitive advantage. U.S. strategy is stronger when it works to reflect and build such a community.
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Japan
commentary
Japan's Mistaken South Sudan Withdrawal
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Jun 8, 2017
The Diplomat
Being a proactive contributor to peace involves risk if a country is serious about gaining real-world experience. Pulling out of South Sudan deprives Japan's Self-Defense Force of crucial operational experience and sends a confusing message to the United States and the international community.
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North Korea
blog
Conversations at RAND: Bruce W. Bennett on Security Tensions in Northeast Asia
Jun 8, 2017
The increasing tempo of developments in North Korea is of growing concern not only to South Korea but also to the U.S., Japan, and even China. At a RAND event, senior researcher Bruce Bennett discussed how complex the situation is and what options the U.S. has going forward.
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North Korea
commentary
End the Korean War, Finally
James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins, Jeffrey W. Hornung
Jun 8, 2017
New York Times
The North Koreans want a declaration of peace as reassurance that they won't be attacked and as recognition that their country is a sovereign state and legitimate power. A peace agreement is most likely a necessary element to any resolution of the North Korean nuclear challenge.
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2017

Raising Awareness of the Need for Collaborative Care to Treat PTSD

Trump's Options for Afghanistan: Losing or Not Losing

The U.S.-France Dustup Over Counterterrorism in the Sahel

Is ISIS Leader Baghdadi Still Alive?

Imagine You Have to Start All Over Again Every 12 Months: The Case for Multi-Annual Core Funding in Grant-Making

The Islamic State's Disposable Army

How China Could Truly Rein in North Korea

Giving Japan a Military

Can We Predict Where Terrorists Will Strike Next?

How to Solve a Problem Like Missing Data

When the Caliphate Falls, What Then for U.S. Policy?

Taiwan's 2017 Quadrennial Defense Review in Context

U.S. Interests and World Community

Japan's Mistaken South Sudan Withdrawal

Conversations at RAND: Bruce W. Bennett on Security Tensions in Northeast Asia

End the Korean War, Finally

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