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  3. >Blog posts from 2018
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The RAND Blog

2018

  • Iran's President Hassan Rouhani and Austria's Chancellor Sebastian Kurz are seen on the mobile phone screen as they attend a news conference at the Chancellery in Vienna, Austria July 4, 201,8
    Information Operations

    commentary

    Iran's Disinformation Campaigns

    Ariane M. Tabatabai

    Aug 24, 2018

    Foreign Affairs

    New reports suggest that the Kremlin may have company in its efforts to shape the United States' domestic information landscape: Iran. As Americans prepare to return to the voting booths this fall, Washington would be well advised to look into Iran's disinformation capabilities and intentions.

    Read More »
  • International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde speaks at a Belt and Road conference in Beijing, China, April 12, 2018
    Globalization

    commentary

    The Global Order Will Outlast U.S. Leadership

    James Dobbins @Jim_Dobbins

    Aug 23, 2018

    The Wall Street Journal

    Even if America bails on the international order there is plenty of evidence that Europe, China, Japan, and the rest of the developed world will maintain existing multilateral structures and build new ones. The order will survive but may become less liberal, less democratic, and perhaps less peaceful.

    Read More »
  • Detachment of Americans leave for the front, Le Havre, France, July 12, 1918
    Military Transformation

    commentary

    How the U.S. Military Learned to Learn in World War I: Lessons from the American Expeditionary Forces

    Michael Shurkin

    Aug 22, 2018

    War on the Rocks

    The U.S. military generally believes it has little to learn from its allies. But during World War I, the more open the Americans were to their allies’ wisdom, the better they fought and the less they suffered.

    Read More »
  • Russia's President Vladimir Putin speaks during an interview with Fox News after a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump in Helsinki, Finland, July 16, 2018
    Russia

    commentary

    Walking a Fine Line on Russian Sanctions

    William Courtney @courtneywmh

    Aug 22, 2018

    Reuters

    The United States and its allies are increasingly frustrated over malign activities by Russia. This week the U.S. unveiled new sanctions, and is expected to impose even more in the future. But choosing sanctions requires care. Their purpose should be to penalize Russia for misbehavior, but not to isolate Russians.

    Read More »
  • Israeli armored vehicles take part in a drill in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights, August 7, 2018 August 7, 2018
    Syria

    commentary

    The Growing Risk of a New Middle East War

    Richard C. Baffa, Nathan Vest

    Aug 21, 2018

    United Press International

    Escalating clashes between Israeli and Iranian forces in Syria have demonstrably increased the risk of a new, large-scale regional conflict that would likely involve the U.S. military. Tehran's continued provocations and violations of Israel's stated red lines are fueling escalation with the potential to rapidly spin out of control.

    Read More »
  • Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin attend a welcome ceremony outside the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, June 8, 2018
    International Diplomacy

    commentary

    A U.S.-Russia Partnership Against China Is Unlikely

    Ali Wyne

    Aug 21, 2018

    Lowy Institute's Interpreter

    After Donald Trump's summit with Vladimir Putin in Helsinki in July, it might appear as if the U.S. and Russia are considering the formation of a partnership against China. But Russia seems more likely to try to expand the scope of its cooperation with China while also attempting to extract concessions from the United States.

    Read More »
  • Elizabeth D'Amico outside a marijuana dispensary in Los Angeles, California
    Underage Substance Use

    q&a

    How Marijuana Ads Affect Youth: Q&A with Elizabeth D'Amico

    Aug 21, 2018

    RAND's Elizabeth D'Amico discusses her research on how medical marijuana advertising influences adolescents' use of—and positive attitudes toward—the drug. Los Angeles County used her findings to limit the placement of marijuana billboards and signage outside dispensaries.

    Read More »
  • The Missile Defense Agency conducts the first intercept flight test of a land-based Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense weapon system from the Aegis Ashore Missile Defense Test Complex in Kauai, Hawaii, December 10, 2015
    Missile Defense

    commentary

    Japan's Aegis Ashore Defense System

    Jeffrey W. Hornung

    Aug 20, 2018

    Yomiuri Shimbun

    For nearly 20 years, Japan has used the North Korea threat as a legitimate rationale to build its missile defense system and cooperate closely with the U.S. in its development. This argument remains as true today as it was before the flurry of regional diplomacy began earlier this year.

    Read More »
  • Teacher and children in school
    Disadvantaged Students

    commentary

    How Early Childhood Education and Care Can Help to Tackle the Impact of Childhood Disadvantage

    Tom McBride, Julie Belanger

    Aug 20, 2018

    Early Intervention Foundation

    Disadvantaged children underperform educationally partly because on average they experience more risk factors. Interventions to address multiple causes of underperformance for disadvantaged children may have a better chance of success. The calibre of early childhood education and care professionals also likely matters.

    Read More »
  • Face detection and recognition
    Artificial Intelligence

    commentary

    Keeping Artificial Intelligence Accountable to Humans

    Osonde A. Osoba @OsondeOsoba

    Aug 20, 2018

    TechCrunch

    Artificial intelligence (AI) systems are often only as intelligent and fair as the data used to train them. To enable AI that frees humans from bias instead of reinforcing it, experts and regulators must think more deeply not only about what AI can do, but what it should do—and then teach it how.

    Read More »
  • German riot police enter the Hamburg SV supporters' block during a break in their German Bundesliga first division soccer match against Bayern Munich in Hamburg, Germany, May 3, 2014
    Crime and Violence Prevention

    commentary

    The Rules of the Game: Reducing Antisocial Behaviour and Violence at Football Events

    Lucy Strang, Christian Van Stolk

    Aug 14, 2018

    Policing Insight

    Violent behavior at football matches has garnered international media attention for decades even though the vast majority of matches pass without any significant violent incidents. Despite the widespread attention toward harmful behaviors, there is limited evidence on the effectiveness of current practices targeting negative fan behavior.

    Read More »
  • Voters voting in polling place
    Information Operations

    commentary

    Here's How Russia Will Try to Interfere in the 2018 Elections

    William Courtney @courtneywmh

    Aug 14, 2018

    Fox News Channel

    Russia will threaten U.S. midterm elections in November, although by how much is unclear. Moscow might be more restrained this year, but it could be wilier.

    Read More »
  • Maj. Mike Stinchfield, left, and Maj. Greg. Pavlichko, demonstrate the virtual capabilities of the Stryker Virtual Collective Trainer concept at the Combined Arms Center - Training Innovation Facility on Fort Leavenworth, Kansas
    Military Strategy

    commentary

    The Military's Search for Innovation

    Daniel M. Gerstein @Daniel_Gerstein

    Aug 13, 2018

    RealClearDefense

    Militaries have historically sought ways to incorporate new weapons, armaments and methods of fighting into their operations. As the United States military continues to vigorously pursue innovation, history has provided important lessons which can help guide future innovation efforts.

    Read More »
  • A drone is used to survey high-voltage power lines of electric company Westnetz near Wilnsdorf, Germany, July 11, 2018
    Terrorism Threat Assessment

    commentary

    Approaching a 'New Normal': What the Drone Attack in Venezuela Portends

    Colin P. Clarke

    Aug 13, 2018

    Foreign Policy Research Institute

    The attempt to assassinate Venezuelan President Maduro showed that drones are easy to use and difficult to defend against. Commercial off-the-shelf technology is easy to acquire. It is imperative that counterterrorism specialists begin planning a robust response to the threat.

    Read More »
  • Health care spending, money, medication, stethoscope
    Health Insurance Mandates

    commentary

    Understanding the Impact of the Elimination of the Individual Mandate Penalty

    Christine Eibner @Chrissyeibner, Sarah A. Nowak

    Aug 10, 2018

    The Commonwealth Fund Blog

    Starting in 2019, the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate penalty will be eliminated, effectively ending the law's requirement that most people have health insurance. While declines in coverage and increases in premiums are likely, the magnitudes of these effects are highly uncertain.

    Read More »

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