Expiration of TRIA Could Prove Costly for Workers' Compensation Markets, Businesses, and States | Web version

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May 9, 2014

Banking and Financial Services

New RAND Study Finds Expiration of Terrorism Risk Insurance Act Could Prove Costly for Workers' Compensation Markets, Businesses, and States

filling up a work injury claim form

Policy debates over extending the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act have focused mainly on property insurance, yet certain institutional features of workers' compensation markets could cause the act's expiration to have very different consequences in worker's compensation than in property and other insurance lines.

Compared to other insurance lines covered by the act, workers' compensation offers insurers less flexibility to control terrorism exposure through modifications in coverage. Workers' compensation policies -- which are rigidly defined by state statute -- cannot exclude terrorism, impose policy limits, or exclude losses from nuclear, biological, chemical, or radiological attacks.

If reinsurers are unwilling to provide much more coverage for both conventional and nuclear, biological, chemical, or radiological attacks, insurers might respond to the December 2014 expiration of the act by declining to provide workers' compensation coverage to employers who present a high geographic concentration of potential losses.

Without the act in place, employers perceived to be at high risk for terrorism might have to obtain coverage in markets of last resort (residual markets) which could charge higher premiums. The higher cost of coverage, in turn, would tend to reduce labor incomes and economic growth even if there is never another attack, although these effects are likely to be small.

The expiration of the act and growth in the residual market might also mean that workers' compensation losses from a catastrophic terrorist attack would largely be financed by businesses and taxpayers throughout the state where an attack takes place, adding to the challenge of rebuilding in that state. The federal Terrorism Risk Insurance Act, on the other hand, would spread those losses across the country.

The study, "The Impact on Workers' Compensation Insurance Markets of Allowing the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act to Expire," can be found at www.rand.org.

For questions or an opportunity to discuss this or other RAND research, please contact me at Nancy_Camm@rand.org, (703) 413-1100 ext. 5512.


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