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This monthly bulletin summarizes RAND national security publications released in the last month. Click on any link to view the full report. To request free copies of RAND publications, write to ocr@rand.org.

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May 2002


Table of Contents:
A. New Releases

  1. Studies
  2. Series: Global Hawk & DarkStar
  3. Papers
  4. Documented Briefings
B. About RAND
C. Subscription and Ordering Information

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A. NEW RELEASES
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1. Studies
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ANALYTIC ARCHITECTURE FOR CAPABILITIES-BASED PLANNING, MISSION-SYSTEM ANALYSIS, AND TRANSFORMATION
Author: Paul K. Davis

This report discusses how the Department of Defense could change its system of analysis to better support capabilities-based planning, puts it in the larger context of defense activities generally, and sketches an analytic architecture for carrying it out.
blue arrowRead the report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1513/

ASSESSING THE PERSONAL FINANCIAL PROBLEMS OF JUNIOR ENLISTED PERSONNEL
Authors: Richard Buddin, D. Phuong Do

Financial problems are widespread among young enlisted personnel in the U.S. military. This report shows that young military members are more prone to problems paying bills than their civilian counterparts. These problems diminish the members' quality of life, and related stress can degrade job performance. The military provides classes and counseling, but money woes remain a problem. The authors encourage the Defense Department to reevaluate programs to identify effective types of training and counseling.
blue arrowRead the report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1444/

THE EUROPEAN SECURITY AND DEFENSE POLICY:
NATO'S COMPANION - OR COMPETITOR?
Author: Ambassador Robert E. Hunter

The European Union's new European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP) is a major step toward full European integration, in parallel with progress toward a Common Foreign and Security Policy. The United States supports ESDP--but on the basis that it is created within NATO, "separable but not separate" from the Alliance, and drawing mainly on NATO's military assets. This book tells the story of ESDP's relationship to NATO--and what must be done to ensure that the storehouse of European security is increased and transatlantic cohesion is preserved.
blue arrowRead the report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1463/

EXPLORATION OF SELECTION BIAS ISSUES FOR THE DOD FEDERAL EMPLOYEES HEALTH BENEFITS (FEHB) PROGRAM DEMONSTRATION
Authors: Donna O. Farley, Barbara O. Wynn

In recent years, the Congress has asked the Department of Defense (DoD) to conduct a number of demonstrations including the FEHBP demonstration to test ways to enhance medical benefits for Medicare-eligible military retirees. This debate ceased last year when the Congress passed and the president signed legislation establishing what has come to be known as TRICARE for Life (TFL). TFL makes TRICARE a secondary payor to Medicare and entitles Medicare-eligible retirees to these benefits if they have Medicare part B. This report provides very useful information on selection bias that will be important to DoD in examining DoD health care use patterns under TFL and in policy analysis to refine a wide array of medical programs. blue arrowRead the report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1482/

FEDERAL CONTRACT BUNDLING:
A FRAMEWORK FOR CUTTING COSTS, IMPROVING PERFORMANCE, AND SUPPORTING SMALL BUSINESS
Authors: Laura H. Baldwin, Frank Camm, Nancy Y. Moore

An organization "bundles" the services that it purchases when it consolidates activities previously provided by separate sources and purchases the services through a single contract from a single provider. The Department of Defense is giving increasing attention to this practice because commercial firms report that bundling offers the potential for significant performance and cost benefits. However, the goals of the federal government differ from those of commercial firms in that federal regulations commit the Air Force and other federal organizations to place "a fair proportion" of purchases and contracts with small business enterprises and to maintain free and open competition among prospective providers of services to the federal government.
blue arrowRead the summary: http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB89/
blue arrowRead the full report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1224/

CONCEPTS FOR ENHANCING CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE PROTECTION:
RELATING Y2K TO CIP RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
Author: B. David Mussington

This study examines the year 2000 (Y2K) crisis to assist in evaluating whether the massive and costly remediation effort was justified in view of the fact that no catastrophic system failures occurred. The report presents lessons from the Y2K experience for critical infrastructure protection (CIP) and discusses what these lessons imply for federal CIP research priorities.
blue arrowRead the report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1259/

EXAMINING THE COST OF MILITARY CHILD CARE
Authors: Gail L. Zellman, Susan M. Gates The military child-care system, the largest system of employer-sponsored child care in the country, has received high marks for providing quality, accessible care for children of military employees. In an effort to control expenses, the Department of Defense (DoD) has considered a number of different approaches to delivering this care. This book presents estimates of the cost of providing care in DoD-operated Child Development Centers (CDCs), Family Child Care (FCC) homes, and centers operated by outside providers under contract to the DoD.
blue arrowRead the report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1415/

IMPROVING JOINT OPERATIONS:
LESSONS FROM KOSOVO, 1999
Authors: Bruce R. Nardulli, Walter L. Perry, Bruce Pirnie, John Gordon IV, John G. McGinn

The 1999 military operation in Kosovo suggests several areas in which Joint military operations were deficient. This study examines all aspects of the Kosovo conflict, with a focus on U.S. Army involvement, including its political and historical underpinnings, in an attempt to understand these deficiencies and to recommend improvements.
blue arrowRead the summary: http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB3031/
blue arrowRead the full report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1406/

MEASURES OF EFFECTIVENESS FOR THE INFORMATION-AGE NAVY:
THE EFFECTS OF NETWORK-CENTRIC OPERATIONS ON COMBAT OUTCOMES
Authors: Walter Perry, Robert W. Button, Jerome Bracken, Thomas Sullivan, Jonathan Mitchell

This report creates a framework for developing measures to help the Navy decide how network-centric operations affect combat outcomes and which information systems work best. The authors demonstrate a proof-of-concept tool that can generate several alternative network-centric command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems.
blue arrowRead the report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1449/

THE SOUTH KOREAN DEBATE OVER POLICIES TOWARD NORTH KOREA:
INTERNAL DYNAMICS
Authors: Norman D. Levin, Yong-Sup Han

The second in a series of reports examining the public debate over South Korean's attempts at engagement with North Korea, this work focuses on the internal dynamics of the debate, particularly the role of the major players in the current controversy. While the first report focused on the content of the debate, this report addresses its source: How did the growing consensus behind the need for engagement with North Korea evaporate so quickly? And how does South Korea's democratization and political dynamics affect its policy toward the North more broadly?
blue arrowRead the report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1555z0z1/
blue arrowRead the first report in this series: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1555z0/

2. Series
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INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT: GLOBAL HAWK AND DARKSTAR
Authors: Jeffrey A. Drezner and Robert S. Leonard

In 1994, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) and the Defense Airborne Reconnaissance Office launched a joint initiative with the goal to overcome the impediments that had hampered past unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) development. This effort-designated the High-Altitude Endurance Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Advanced Concept Technology Demonstration (HAE UAV ACTD) program-applied an innovative acquisition strategy to the development of two UAVs: one conventionally configured (Global Hawk) and the other with a low-observable configuration (DarkStar).

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
THEIR ADVANCED CONCEPT TECHNOLOGY DEMONSTRATOR PROGRAM EXPERIENCE

This report summarizes the major research findings regarding the HAE UAV ACTD program's acquisition strategy.
blue arrowRead the Report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1473/

I. HAE UAV ACTD PROGRAM DESCRIPTION AND COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

This report evaluates several key elements of the new DARPA and Defense Airborne Reconnaissance Office acquistion strategy to determine how they affected the development of the two air vehicles.
blue arrowRead the Report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1474/

II. FLIGHT TEST IN THE HAE UAV ACTD PROGRAM

This report addresses the effect of the acquisition strategy on the flight test program of the two air vehicles.
blue arrowRead the Report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1475/

III. TRANSITIONS WITHIN AND OUT OF THE HAE UAV ACTD PROGRAM

This report assesses two transitions of the HAE UAV ACTD program-the first from DARPA to Air Force management and the second from an ACTD to a Major Defense Acquisition Program (MDAP)-toward the goal of determining which elements of the program's novel acquisition strategy facilitated these transitions and which engendered problems.
blue arrowRead the Report: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1476/

3. Papers
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NATO AND RUSSIA:
BRIDGE-BUILDING FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
Authors: Ambassador Robert E. Hunter, Sergey M. Rogov, Olga Oliker

The New NATO-Russia Council-and the broader relationship-can and should be organized to promote greater stability, take into account other European states' interests, promote joint decisionmaking, and pursue a practical agenda of common tasks both in Europe and beyond.
blue arrowRead the paper: http://www.rand.org/pubs/white_papers/WP128/

RUSSIA AND THE INFORMATION REVOLUTION
Authors: Jeremy R. Azrael, D.J. Peterson

This issue paper outlines some of the major trends and contradictions in the development of information and communications technologies in Russia and explores their impact on Russian society.
blue arrowRead the paper: http://www.rand.org/pubs/issue_papers/IP229/

4. Documented Briefings
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ASSESSING THE USE OF "OTHER TRANSACTIONS" AUTHORITY FOR PROTOTYPE PROJECTS
Authors: Giles K. Smith, Jeffrey Drezner, Irving Lachow

In 1994, Congress authorized use of Other Transactions (OT) for the development of prototypes "directly relevant to weapons or weapon systems" (NDAA for FY1994," Pub. L. 103-160, Sect. 845). Under this authority, projects are not required to comply with procurement-specific laws and regulations. A principal objective of the legislation was to enable and encourage a broader range of commercial firms to participate in developing defense systems, thus bringing to such programs similar advanced technologies being developed for the commercial markets. During the 1994-1998 time period, 72 such projects began. RAND was asked by the Department of Defense (DoD) to assess the experience of those projects, with an emphasis on implementation and goal achievement. This documented briefing presents the results of that assessment.
blue arrowRead the documentation: http://www.rand.org/pubs/documented_briefings/DB375/

DEPLOYABILITY IN PEACETIME
Authors: Bruce R. Orvis

This documented briefing provides formal documentation of work previously undertaken on behalf of the Army Chief of Staff and the Deputy Chief of Staff for Personnel to examine issues of deployability in peacetime.
blue arrowRead the documentation: http://www.rand.org/pubs/documented_briefings/DB351/

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