Technology Issues

Report

Jan 3, 2024

Understanding the Limits of Artificial Intelligence for Warfighters: Volume 3, Predictive Maintenance

This report presents an assessment of the use of statistical distributions for predicting aircraft parts failure and an evaluation of how artificial intelligence can be used to determine the content of U.S. Air Force readiness spares packages.

Li Ang Zhang, Yusuf Ashpari, Anthony Jacques

Report

Jan 3, 2024

Understanding the Limits of Artificial Intelligence for Warfighters: Volume 2, Distributional Shift in Cybersecurity Datasets

Distributional shift can significantly degrade the performance of artificial intelligence systems and limit their application. In the context of cybersecurity, distributional shift could be especially dangerous as the threat of cyberattacks grows.

Joshua Steier, Erik Van Hegewald, Anthony Jacques, Gavin S. Hartnett, Lance Menthe

Report

Jan 3, 2024

Understanding the Limits of Artificial Intelligence for Warfighters: Volume 4, Wargames

Rapid progress in artificial intelligence (AI) for game-playing has inspired intense interest in the possible benefits of the technology for wargames. This report presents an assessment of the limits to applying AI technologies to wargaming.

Edward Geist, Aaron B. Frank, Lance Menthe

Report

Jan 2, 2024

Plagues, Cyborgs, and Supersoldiers: The Human Domain of War

Advancements in biotechnology have renewed questions about how biotechnologies might be used in battle. The authors of this report explore how these technologies can affect the human body, and how the human body can become a warfighting domain.

Luke J. Matthews, Mary Lee, Brandon De Bruhl, Daniel Elinoff, Christopher A. Eusebi

Report

Dec 19, 2023

Cybersecurity and Supply Chain Risk Management Are Not Simply Additive: Implications for Directions in Risk Assessment, Risk Mitigation, and Research to Secure the Supply of Defense Industrial Products

This report presents an examination of how cyber-related risks compare with other risks to defense-industrial supply chains and the implications of the differences in risks for directions in risk assessment and mitigation and for research.

Victoria A. Greenfield, Jonathan W. Welburn, Karen Schwindt, Daniel Ish, Andrew J. Lohn, Gavin S. Hartnett

Report

Dec 11, 2023

China's AI Exports: Developing a Tool to Track Chinese Development Finance in the Global South — Technical Documentation

This report is the technical documentation for a tool that tracks Chinese government–supported development finance projects that used or enabled artificial intelligence technology in the Global South between 2000 and 2017.

Jennifer Bouey, Lynn Hu, Keller Scholl, William Marcellino, James Gazis, Ammar A. Malik, Kyra Solomon, Sheng Zhang, Andy Shufer

Report

Dec 11, 2023

China's AI Exports: Technology Distribution and Data Safety

The authors analyze a new project finance dataset on China's development-funded artificial intelligence (AI) export projects — adding interview-based country case studies — to better understand China's AI exports and their impact on developing countries.

Jennifer Bouey, Lynn Hu, Keller Scholl, William Marcellino, Rafiq Dossani, Ammar A. Malik, Kyra Solomon, Sheng Zhang, Andy Shufer

Report

Dec 5, 2023

Artificial Intelligence–Based Student Activity Monitoring for Suicide Risk: Considerations for K–12 Schools, Caregivers, Government, and Technology Developers

Schools have begun employing artificial intelligence (AI)–based tools to help identify students at risk for suicide. The authors examine how these programs are implemented, how stakeholders perceive their effects, and their benefits and risks.

Lynsay Ayer, Benjamin Boudreaux, Jessica Welburn Paige, Pierrce Holmes, Tara Laila Blagg, Sapna J. Mendon-Plasek

Report

Dec 4, 2023

Demographic and Geographic Characteristics of Green Stormwater Infrastructure Investments in Five U.S. Cities: A Machine Learning–Based Analysis

This report presents the results of an exploratory machine learning–based analysis of green stormwater infrastructure asset data across five cities in the United States.

Michelle E. Miro, Susan A. Resetar, Kelly Hyde, Joshua Steier, Michael T. Wilson, Zara Fatima Abdurahaman, Vanessa Wolf

Report

Nov 29, 2023

Conflict Projections in U.S. Central Command: Incorporating Climate Change

This report presents an analysis of the impact of climate change on the frequency of conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility.

Mark Toukan, Stephen Watts, Emily Allendorf, Jeffrey Martini, Karen M. Sudkamp, Nathan Chandler, Maggie Habib

Report

Nov 20, 2023

Identifying and Prioritizing Systemically Important Entities: Advancing Critical Infrastructure Security and Resilience

This report helps the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency codify the concept of systemically important critical infrastructure by documenting the work surrounding systemic risks and cyber risks in software supply chains.

John Bordeaux, Jonathan W. Welburn, Sasha Romanosky, Benjamin Boudreaux, Aaron Strong, Shannon Prier, Cheryl K. Montemayor, Jhacova Williams, Jessica Welburn Paige, Michael J. D. Vermeer, Zev Winkelman

Report

Nov 16, 2023

An Assessment of U.S.-Allied Nations' Industrial Bases in Quantum Technology

The authors assess the quantum industrial bases of several U.S.-allied nations that are major players in the development of quantum technology, beginning with a global look and then focusing on Australia, the UK, Germany, and Japan.

Edward Parker, Richard Silberglitt, Daniel Gonzales, Natalia Henriquez Sanchez, Justin W. Lee, Lindsay Rand, Jon Schmid, Peter Dortmans, Christopher A. Eusebi

How to Support Victims of Elder Mistreatment

Climate Change Affects Health and Will Increase Drug Demand

India Can Weather Its Bangladesh Headache

No Easy Answers: America's Limited Choices in Dealing with North Korea

The Math Equity Equation

The Policy Currents Podcast

Getting to Know Military Caregivers and Their Needs

Managing Escalation in Crisis and War

Assessing and Articulating the Wider Benefits of Research

Improving Access to Early Childhood Education

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The AI Playbook: What Other Sectors Can Learn from the Creative Industry's Fight Against AI

China's Use of Generative AI and Social Bots

Rolling Out AI? Mind the Panic in the Office

Technology Briefs, Reports, and Testimonies

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Understanding the Limits of Artificial Intelligence for Warfighters: Volume 3, Predictive Maintenance

Understanding the Limits of Artificial Intelligence for Warfighters: Volume 2, Distributional Shift in Cybersecurity Datasets

Understanding the Limits of Artificial Intelligence for Warfighters: Volume 4, Wargames

Plagues, Cyborgs, and Supersoldiers: The Human Domain of War

Cybersecurity and Supply Chain Risk Management Are Not Simply Additive: Implications for Directions in Risk Assessment, Risk Mitigation, and Research to Secure the Supply of Defense Industrial Products

China's AI Exports: Developing a Tool to Track Chinese Development Finance in the Global South — Technical Documentation

China's AI Exports: Technology Distribution and Data Safety

Artificial Intelligence–Based Student Activity Monitoring for Suicide Risk: Considerations for K–12 Schools, Caregivers, Government, and Technology Developers

Demographic and Geographic Characteristics of Green Stormwater Infrastructure Investments in Five U.S. Cities: A Machine Learning–Based Analysis

Conflict Projections in U.S. Central Command: Incorporating Climate Change

Identifying and Prioritizing Systemically Important Entities: Advancing Critical Infrastructure Security and Resilience

An Assessment of U.S.-Allied Nations' Industrial Bases in Quantum Technology

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