CAPP Publications

Recent Publications

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  China's Military Activities in the East China Sea: Implications for Japan's Air Self-Defense Force 2018

  Edmund J. Burke, Timothy R. Heath, Jeffrey W. Hornung, Logan Ma, Lyle J. Morris, Michael S. Chase

  A long-standing rivalry between China and Japan has intensified in recent years, owing in part to growing parity between the two Asian great powers. The authors examine how China has stepped up its surface and air activities near Japan, particularly near the Senkaku Islands. They survey the patterns in Chinese vessel and air activity, consider Japan's responses, and offer suggestions for the United States and Japan to manage emerging challenges.

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  The New Geopolitics of the Arctic: Russia's and China's Evolving Role in the Region 2018

  Stephanie Pezard

  Testimony presented before the Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs and International Development of the Canadian House of Commons on November 26, 2018.

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  Defeat, Not Merely Compete: China's View of Its Military Aerospace Goals and Requirements in Relation to the United States 2018

  Scott W. Harold

  Aerospace power has been a core feature of the People's Liberation Army's rapid modernization. This report examines how competition with the U.S. Air Force shapes Chinese thinking about developing this power. It also examines how China selects between "copying" foreign powers and "innovating" its own solutions, as well as the arenas of aerospace in which China chooses not to compete.

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  An evaluation of Dance4Life's social franchising and empowerment models 2018

  Ben Baruch, Yulia Shenderovich, Tom Ling

  Dance4Life, an international NGO working with young people on health and promotion of safe sexual choices, wanted to develop their understanding of new implementation and social franchising pilots. RAND Europe delivered a process evaluation that provided evidence on these pilots. The evaluation employed several data collection methods (document review, interviews, surveys and ecological momentary assessments) to provide evidence on the pilots.

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  China's Long-Range Bomber Flights: Drivers and Implications 2018

  Derek Grossman, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Logan Ma, Michael S. Chase

  This report examines the key drivers behind China's strategic bomber flights throughout the Asia-Pacific region. It provides a review of all known flights, assesses Chinese official statements, and unofficial expert commentary on flights while leveraging many sources to better understand and gauge regional reactions. The report recommends specific responses for consideration by the U.S. Air Force, U.S. policymakers, and allies and partners.

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  Alternative Paths to Korean Unification 2018

  Bruce W. Bennett

  In this report, the author describes seven challenges to any potential unification of Korea and then outlines nine alternative paths to such unification. These nine paths span three possible unification contexts (major war, collapse of North Korea's regime, or peace). The author assesses the likelihood of each path and recommends actions that South Korea and the United States could take to achieve a more favorable outcome.

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  At the Dawn of Belt and Road: China in the Developing World 2018

  Andrew Scobell, Bonny Lin, Howard J. Shatz, Michael Johnson, Larry Hanauer, Michael S. Chase, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Ivan W. Rasmussen, Arthur Chan, Aaron Strong, et al.

  China has always viewed itself as a vulnerable underdeveloped country. In the 1990s, it began negotiating economic agreements and creating China-centric institutions, culminating in the 2000s in numerous institutions and ultimately the Belt and Road Initiative. The authors analyze China's political and diplomatic, economic, and military engagement with the Developing World and discuss specific countries that are most important to China.

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  Olympic-Caliber Cybersecurity: Lessons for Safeguarding the 2020 Games and Other Major Events 2018

  Cynthia Dion-Schwarz, Nathan Ryan, Julia A. Thompson, Erik Silfversten, Giacomo Persi Paoli

  Understanding the cybersecurity threat landscape is critical to mitigating threats, apportioning limited resources, and hosting a resilient, safe, and secure Olympic Games. To support the security goals of Tokyo 2020, this report characterizes the cybersecurity threats that are likely to pose a risk to the games, visualizes a threat actor typology, and presents a series of policy options to guide cybersecurity planning.

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