CAPP Publications

Recent Publications

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  Military Trends and the Future of Warfare: The Changing Global Environment and Its Implications for the U.S. Air Force 2020

  Forrest E. Morgan, Raphael S. Cohen

  This volume of the Future of Warfare series examines some of the most significant factors shaping military trends over the next ten to 15 years: changes in the size, quality, and character of military forces available to the United States and its potential adversaries. The report identifies six trends regarding who and where the United States is most likely to fight in the future and how those wars will be conducted.

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  Geopolitical Trends and the Future of Warfare: The Changing Global Environment and Its Implications for the U.S. Air Force 2020

  Raphael S. Cohen, Eugeniu Han, Ashley L. Rhoades

  This volume of the Future of Warfare series explains six geopolitical trends—U.S. polarization and retrenchment, China's rise, Asia's realignment, emergence of a revanchist Russia, upheaval in Europe, and turmoil in the Islamic world—that will drive conflict between now and 2030. These trends will shift U.S. alliances; pull limited resources in different directions; and, ultimately, create a deepening strategic dilemma for U.S. defense strategy.

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  China's Health System Reform and Global Health Strategy in the Context of COVID-19 2020

  Jennifer Bouey

  Testimony presented before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on May 7, 2020.

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  Military Applications of Artificial Intelligence: Ethical Concerns in an Uncertain World 2020

  Forrest E. Morgan, Benjamin Boudreaux, Andrew J. Lohn, Mark Ashby, Christian Curriden, Kelly Klima, Derek Grossman

  The authors examine the ethical considerations, benefits, and risks of military applications of artificial intelligence. Comparing development efforts in the United States, China, and Russia (as well as various positions on proposals to regulate or ban autonomous weapons), the authors point to a need for the United States to continue to pursue advantages in the field and explore confidence-building and risk-reduction measures with other states.

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  Measuring Power, Power Cycles, and the Risk of Great-Power War in the 21st Century 2020

  Jacob L. Heim, Benjamin M. Miller

  Growing concern that U.S. power has been declining renews long-standing questions about how we should measure national power, which nations have the most, which states are gaining and losing power, and when such shifts might portend conflict. The authors illustrate a quantitative, scenario-based approach for policymakers, assess the impact of shocks on the balance of power, and identify periods when shifts in the balance could portend conflict.

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  Chinese Investment in Israeli Technology and Infrastructure: Security Implications for Israel and the United States 2020

  Shira Efron, Karen Schwindt, Emily Haskel

  Relations between China and Israel have expanded rapidly since the early 2000s in numerous areas, including diplomacy, trade, investment, construction, educational partnerships, scientific cooperation, and tourism. The authors examine the extent and nature of Chinese investments in Israeli technology and infrastructure and discuss the security implications these pose for Israel and the United States.

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  From SARS to 2019-Coronavirus (nCoV): U.S.-China Collaborations on Pandemic Response: Addendum 2020

  Jennifer Bouey

  Document submitted March 5, 2020, as an addendum to testimony before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Asia, the Pacific, and Nonproliferation on February 5, 2020.

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  Assessment of COVID-19's Impact on Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises: Implications from China 2020

  Jennifer Bouey

  Testimony presented before the House Small Business Committee on March 10, 2020.

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