CRE Publications Archive

Latest Publications

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  Implementing Restraint: Changes in U.S. Regional Security Policies to Operationalize a Realist Grand Strategy of Restraint 2021

  Miranda Priebe, Bryan Rooney, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Jeffrey Martini, Stephanie Pezard

  Some U.S. policymakers are interested in a new approach to the U.S. role in the world: a realist grand strategy of restraint, under which the United States would cooperate more with other powers, reduce its forward military presence, and end some security commitments. The authors explain how U.S. policies toward key regions would change under such a strategy, identify unanswered questions, and offer next steps for developing policy implications.

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  Cyber Threats to NATO from a Multi-Domain Perspective 2021

  James Black, Alice Lynch

  This paper situates cyber threats in the wider context of evolving multi-domain operations (MDO) theory and practice.

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  Russia's Cyber Limitations in Personnel Recruitment and Innovation, Their Potential Impact on Future Operations and How NATO and Its Members Can Respond 2020

  Joe Cheravitch, Bilyana Lilly

  This chapter addresses questions arising from the gap that separates Russian cyber personnel and capabilities from its ambitions and what effect this disparity has on future state-backed cyber campaigns.

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  How could technological developments influence the future of cybercrime? 2020

  Jacopo Bellasio, Erik Silfversten, Eireann Leverett, Anna Knack, Fiona Quimbre, Emma Louise Blondes, Marina Favaro, Giacomo Persi Paoli

  How could technological developments influence the future of cybercrime? RAND Europe investigated this policy question and identified possible approaches to prevent future technologies from being exploited for criminal purposes.

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  The Future of Cybercrime in Light of Technology Developments 2020

  Jacopo Bellasio, Erik Silfversten, Eireann Leverett, Anna Knack, Fiona Quimbre, Emma Louise Blondes, Marina Favaro, Giacomo Persi Paoli

  RAND Europe was commissioned by the European Commission to conduct a study aimed at: 1. Conducting an analysis of future technologies and how these could be used to commit or prevent cybercrimes. 2. Proposing possible ways to prevent future technologies from being exploited for criminal purposes. To achieve this, RAND Europe employed a mixed methods approach leveraging desk research, horizon scanning, stakeholder consultations, and serious gaming.

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  RAND Arroyo Center Annual Report 2020 2020

  This Annual Report illustrates the depth, breadth, and responsiveness of the studies that RAND Arroyo Center conducted for the Army in fiscal year 2020. It highlights portfolios of research in areas of enduring interest to Army leadership and includes a sampler of research summaries that demonstrate the range of Arroyo's analytic capabilities. It also describes Arroyo's organization, leadership, and oversight.

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  Social Media and Influence Operations Technologies: Implications for Great Power Competition 2020

  Todd C. Helmus

  Russia, China, and the so-called Islamic State are three key U.S. adversaries that have exploited online technologies for propaganda. This chapter reviews the aims, capabilities, and limitations of online propaganda for each of these entities.

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  At the Vanguard: European Contributions to NATO's Future Combat Airpower 2020

  Anika Binnendijk, Gene Germanovich, Bruce McClintock, Sarah Heintz

  Airpower is critical to strengthening deterrence and reinvigorating NATO's warfighting competencies in response to Russia's aggressive actions and continued military modernization. The authors assess the contributions Europe's air forces could make to NATO's defense and deterrent posture at the vanguard—playing a significant role at the outset of any high-intensity collective defense operation.

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  The Past, Present, and Future of Russia's Cyber Strategy and Forces 2020

  Bilyana Lilly, Joe Cheravitch

  This article aims to show that there is more continuity than contrast between Russian cyber perspectives and practice.

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  Russian Propaganda Hits Its Mark: Experimentally Testing the Impact of Russian Propaganda and Counter-Interventions 2020

  Todd C. Helmus, James V. Marrone, Marek N. Posard, Danielle Schlang

  Given the size and scope of the Russian propaganda campaign that targeted the U.S. electorate in 2016, it is critical to understand the impact of that campaign and mechanisms that can reduce the impact of future campaigns. This report, the third in a series, describes a study that assessed how people react to and engage with this propaganda, and found that media literacy advisories and labeling the source of the propaganda had a counter effect.