What's Next for Korea?
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July 10, 2018
United States President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un issued a joint statement after their meeting last month committing to establishing new U.S.-DPRK relations, including building a lasting, stable peace regime on the Korean Peninsula and working toward complete denuclearization.
In this Call with the Experts podcast, James Dobbins, Bruce W. Bennett, and Michael J. Mazarr discuss the meaning of this historic summit and what to expect next. RAND's media relations director Jeffrey Hiday moderates the call.
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This is the third time the United States and North Korea have started down a path toward denuclearization and normalization of relations. The difference now is that Trump and Kim have committed themselves earlier on in the process and more publicly than their predecessors did.
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The growing costs of planning for Korean military contingencies place a burden on U.S. defense resources. If Tuesday's summit becomes a step toward eventual guarantees against aggression, the U.S. could remove a major Korean conflict from the top rungs of its defense planning roster, freeing resources for other worries.
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Verifiable denuclearization is an impossible goal, not just because Kim Jong Un may not agree, but because such a deal couldn't be fully verified if he did. But this doesn't mean there is no deal worth making for America.
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In this Events @ RAND podcast, Bruce W. Bennett offers RAND alumni and supporters his analysis of recent developments in North Korea and suggests new strategies for putting pressure on Kim Jong-un at the negotiating table.
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An analysis of three potential security challenges on the Korean Peninsula points to rising threats that will pose significant demands on the U.S. Army. The United States needs to think in new ways about how it should deter North Korea and prepare for a possible conflict on the peninsula.
