Deterrence and Stability for the Korean Peninsula 2016
RAND and KIDA have been conducting a collaborative research addressing the issue of deterrence and stability for the Korean Peninsula.
NSRD Publications Archive - 2016
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Designing Adaptable Ships: Modularity and Flexibility in Future Ship Designs 2016
This report explores the U.S. Navy's options for extending the service lives of operational ships by adopting the concepts of modularity and flexibility in ship design. These concepts can help to mitigate the risks of uncertain future missions and technologies to which ships will need to adapt, as well as potentially reduce modernization costs and/or initial cost.
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From Patchwork to Framework: A Review of Title 10 Authorities for Security Cooperation 2016
The accelerated proliferation of legislative authorities for the Department of Defense (DoD) after September 11, 2001, has created an increasingly unwieldy catalog of security cooperation statutes, which have generated challenges in DoD planning and execution for engagement with foreign partners. This report develops a framework and options to streamline this patchwork of authorities that the DoD employs in security cooperation.
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Simple Culture-Informed Models of the Adversary 2016
Describes a series of research efforts over three decades to build simple cognitive models of the adversary, some as complex computer programs and some exceptionally simple.
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Emerging Cyber Threats and Implications 2016
Testimony presented before the House Homeland Security Committee, Subcommittee on Cybersecurity, Infrastructure Protection, and Security Technologies on February 25, 2016.
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Quality of Care for PTSD and Depression in the Military Health System: Phase I Report 2016
Understanding the current quality of care for posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and depression delivered to service members is an important step toward improving care across the Military Health System (MHS). This report describes the characteristics of active-component service members who received care for PTSD or depression through the MHS and assesses the quality of care received using quality measures derived from administrative data.
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Supporting Readiness: Ensuring Excellent PTSD and Depression Care for Service Members 2016
This research brief summarizes the findings of a report on the quality of psychological care through the Military Health System for service members diagnosed with PTSD or depression and recommends strategies for improving such care.
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The Role of Logic Modeling in a Collaborative and Iterative Research Process: Lessons from Research and Analysis Conducted with the Federal Voting Assistance Program 2016
The report describes the underlying method of collaborative logic-model development and application and frames the approach in generalizable step-by-step terms, drawing from research and analysis conducted in conjunction with the Federal Voting Assistance Program. The report derives from a more-detailed report that more fully documents both the process and its results, including recommendations, guidance, and organizational change.
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Reserve Component General and Flag Officers: A Review of Requirements and Authorized Strength 2016
Increased use of the reserve component, particularly since September 11, 2001, and an expectation that this role will continue and possibly increase in the future has renewed interest in the question of the appropriate number of reserve component general and flag officers (RC G/FOs). RAND researchers conducted a review of requirements and authorized strength for RC G/FOs.
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Tour Lengths, Permanent Changes of Station, and Alternatives for Savings and Improved Stability 2016
This study examined U.S. Department of Defense permanent change of station programs to determine the potential for savings that could accrue by increasing the amount of time between moves. The research reviewed current policies and investigated the potential for incentive programs to encourage servicemembers to stay longer at their current stations. Potential implementation of an auction program was also discussed.
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Unconventional Options for the Defense of the Baltic States: The Swiss Approach 2016
The decentralized resistance approach that was part of Swiss military strategy during the Cold War could also benefit the defense of the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. This RAND perspective outlines key concepts and elements of the Swiss approach and discusses how they may be of use in the context of the current potential threats to these countries.
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Counterinsurgency Scorecard Update: Afghanistan in Early 2015 Relative to Insurgencies Since World War II 2016
A key finding of previous RAND research on insurgencies worldwide since World War II was that an overall score on a scorecard of 15 equally weighted good and 11 equally weighted bad counterinsurgency factors and practices distinguished conflicts' historical outcomes. Using the scorecard approach and an expert elicitation exercise, a RAND study sought to extend the findings to the case of Afghanistan in 2015.
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Uncertainty-Sensitive Heterogeneous Information Fusion: Assessing Threat with Soft, Uncertain, and Conflicting Evidence 2016
This report presents research on various methods for heterogeneous information fusion — combining data that are qualitative, subjective, fuzzy, ambiguous, contradictory, and even deceptive, in order to form a realistic uncertainty-sensitive assessment of threat. The context is counterterrorism, for both military and civilian applications, but the ideas are more generally applicable in intelligence and law enforcement.
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Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty: An Application of Robust Decision Making to Munitions Mix Planning 2016
Defense planning faces significant uncertainties. This report applies robust decision making (RDM) to the air-delivered munitions mix challenge. RDM is quantitative, decision support methodology designed to inform decisions under conditions of deep uncertainty and complexity. This proof-of-concept demonstration suggests that RDM could help defense planners make plans more robust to a wide range of hard-to-predict futures.
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PLA Expeditionary Capabilities and Implications for United States Asia Policy 2016
Testimony presented before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on January 21, 2016.