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NSRD Publications Archive - 2018

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U.S.-Japan Alliance Conference: Meeting the Challenge of Amphibious Operations 2018

Scott W. Harold, Koichiro Bansho, Jeffrey W. Hornung, Koichi Isobe, Richard L. Simcock II
In late March 2018, the Japanese Ministry of Defense announced a major reorganization of the Japan Ground Self-Defense Force that included the establishment of an Amphibious Rapid Deployment Brigade. In anticipation of this, the RAND Corporation convened a conference at its Santa Monica, California, headquarters on March 6, 2018, to examine the establishment of Japan's amphibious operations force from a variety of perspectives.
Toward Resiliency in the Joint Blood Supply Chain 2018

Brent Thomas, Katherine Anania, Anthony DeCicco, John A. Hamm
Ensuring that blood remains available and safe for the Joint military community requires sophisticated logistical support and a dependable supply chain in large-scale combat operations. This report describes the current elements of the military's blood supply chain, outlines a framework for assessing its performance, and then explores an array of approaches offering promise of improving the resiliency of the blood supply chain.
Perspectives and Opportunities in Intelligence for U.S. Leaders 2018

Cortney Weinbaum, John V. Parachini, Richard S. Girven, Michael H. Decker, Richard C. Baffa
This Perspective identifies opportunities for meaningful changes that the U.S. Intelligence Community can make in five areas -- strategic warning; tasking, collection, processing, exploitation, and dissemination (TCPED); security, counterintelligence, and insider threats; open-source information; and surging for crises -- to better meet the wide array of challenges the United States faces, especially potential conflict with Russia or China.
Support for DoD Supervisors in Addressing Poor Employee Performance: A Holistic Approach 2018

Laura Werber, Paul W. Mayberry, Mark Doboga, Diana Gehlhaus
In 2017, the Office of Management and Budget called for federal agencies to develop actionable plans to maximize employee performance, including rewards for high performers and penalties for poor performers. In this report, authors identify ways to address poor Department of Defense employee performance by developing, supporting, and professionalizing supervisors in conjunction with assessing and reporting key performance-related outcomes.
Sexual Assault and Sexual Harassment in the U.S. Military: Volume 5. Estimates for Installation- and Command-Level Risk of Sexual Assault and Sexual Harassment from the 2014 RAND Military Workplace Study 2018

Andrew R. Morral, Terry L. Schell, Matthew Cefalu, Jessica Hwang, Andrew Gelman
The Department of Defense Sexual Assault Prevention and Response Office asked the RAND Corporation to conduct an assessment of the rates of sexual assault, sexual harassment, and gender discrimination in the U.S. military. This volume presents survey estimates of how risk of sexual assault and sexual harassment varies across military installations and major commands using data from the 2014 RAND Military Workplace Study.
Sexual Assault and Sexual Harassment in the U.S. Military: Annex to Volume 5. Tabular Results from the 2014 RAND Military Workplace Study for Installation- and Command-Level Risk of Sexual Assault and Sexual Harassment 2018

Andrew R. Morral, Terry L. Schell, Matthew Cefalu, Jessica Hwang, Andrew Gelman
The Department of Defense Sexual Assault Prevention and Response Office asked the RAND Corporation to conduct an assessment of the rates of sexual assault, sexual harassment, and gender discrimination in the U.S. military. This Annex to Volume 5 contains detailed tabular results for risk of sexual assault and sexual harassment across military installations and major commands using data from the 2014 RAND Military Workplace Study.
Homeland Security National Risk Characterization: Risk Assessment Methodology 2018

Henry H. Willis, Mary Tighe, Andrew Lauland, Liisa Ecola, Shoshana R. Shelton, Meagan L. Smith, John G. Rivers, Kristin J. Leuschner, Terry Marsh, Daniel M. Gerstein
To provide transparency into the decisionmaking process surrounding its planning processes, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) asked RAND to develop a risk assessment methodology that can be used to identify the greatest risks to homeland security and support prioritization of DHS mission elements. The methodology is presented in this report.
Expanding Operating and Support Cost Analysis for Major Programs During the DoD Acquisition Process: Legal Requirements, Current Practices, and Recommendations 2018

Michael Boito, Tim Conley, Joslyn Fleming, Alyssa Ramos, Katherine Anania
The Office of Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation was established to perform a broad set of cost analysis duties related to major defense acquisition programs. Subsequent laws have mandated additional duties. But the personnel, data, expertise, and other resources to fulfill these additional duties are not always available. The authors examine the requirements and offer recommendations for obtaining the resources to complete required analyses.
Reforming Security Sector Assistance for Africa 2018

Stephen Watts, Kimberly Jackson, Sean Mann, Stephen Dalzell, Trevor Johnston, Matthew Lane, Michael J. McNerney, Andrew Brooks
U.S. security-sector assistance has a mixed record in Africa. RAND experts offer recommendations to promote the success of such assistance in Africa. The recommendations focus on strategies, programs, and their assessment, monitoring, and evaluation.
A Developmental Approach to Building Sustainable Security-Sector Capacity in Africa 2018

Stephen Watts, Kimberly Jackson, Sean Mann, Stephen Dalzell
In this report, RAND researchers analyze options to improve the sustainability of security sector assistance (SSA) in the U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) area of responsibility, deriving insights from the development community. They recommend changes to overall SSA structures and specific practices to enhance the sustainability of partner capacity gains.
Building Security in Africa: An Evaluation of U.S. Security Sector Assistance in Africa from the Cold War to the Present 2018

Stephen Watts, Trevor Johnston, Matthew Lane, Sean Mann, Michael J. McNerney, Andrew Brooks
The United States has sought to combat security threats in Africa principally by supporting partner governments, and security sector assistance (SSA) has been one of the primary tools it has used. A RAND Corporation study used statistical models to evaluate the impact that U.S.-provided SSA has had on political violence in Africa — in particular, the incidence of civil wars and insurgencies, terrorist attacks, and state repression.
Preparing for "Post-ISIL" Access Challenges: Robust Basing to Support Operations Against Nonstate Adversaries 2018

Christopher A. Mouton, Adam R. Grissom
Researchers at the RAND Corporation developed an interactive tool, called sequential basing, to identify robust basing options in regions with recurrent access crises. One example of the tool is presented in this report, which focuses on a post–Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant context, a case in which the underlying conditions are shifting. The output of the tool consists of heat maps that highlight key points of strategic geography.
Provider Interventions to Increase Uptake of Evidence-Based Treatment for Depression: A Systematic Review 2018

Eric R. Pedersen, Ryan Kandrack, Marjorie Danz, Aneesa Motala, Marika Booth, Jody Larkin, Susanne Hempel
This systematic review synthesized the findings from studies that evaluated the effects of health care provider interventions to increase evidence-based treatment for depression. The review identified diverse interventions. There was some indication that interventions can improve individual outcomes but we did not identify types of interventions that were consistently associated with improvements across indicators of guideline adherence.
An Overview of Current Trends in Terrorism and Illicit Finance: Lessons from the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria and Other Emerging Threats 2018

Colin P. Clarke
Testimony presented before the House Financial Services Committee, Subcommittee on Terrorism and Illicit Finance on September 7, 2018.
Evolution of the U.S. Overdose Crisis: Understanding China's Role in the Production and Supply of Synthetic Opioids 2018

Bryce Pardo
Testimony presented before the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health, Global Human Rights, and International Organizations on September 6, 2018.

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