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Through numerous forms of media, terrorists are embracing new opportunities to spread the psychological impact of terrorism throughout the world. This article discusses the promise and challenges of counterterrorism communication efforts.
This investigation tested the effectiveness of inoculation as a pre-crisis strategy in combating the effects of politically motivated violent acts.
Testimony submitted on July 1, 2019, to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission as a statement for the record for the hearing on June 20, 2019.
What have the peacekeeping missions undertaken by African institutions in Burundi, the Central African Republic, Darfur, the Comoros, Somalia, and the Lake Chad Basin achieved? The authors assess how these missions responded to challenges in the areas of security, humanitarian relief, governance and civil administration, democratization, and economic reconstruction.
African-led missions are often the peacekeepers of last resort, taking on tasks rejected by others. Two of the six African operations examined helped set a relatively peaceful trajectory. Three of the missions contributed to improving security.
In this report, the authors examine how the United States might respond to Russian and Chinese efforts to seek strategic advantage through coercive actions in the gray zone. They use insights from their extensive field research and general research on the gray zone phenomenon to sketch out the elements of a strategic response to the gray zone challenge and develop a menu of response options for U.S. officials to consider.
Scarborough Shoal is a small, high-tide feature about 140 miles from the Philippines, yet it represents one of the most consequential fault lines of Chinese territorial aggression in the South China Sea. In this paper, the author proposes a graduated menu of response options for the United States to consider in the event that China undertakes irreversible actions to alter the status quo of Scarborough Shoal.
At the request of U.S. Marine Corps Forces Europe and Africa, RAND researchers facilitated three wargaming events exploring how to leverage and enhance the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)'s existing amphibious capacity by organizing extant national forces into a coherent multibrigade command and control (C2) structure. The authors note results of these events and implications for future force development.
The Australian Department of Home Affairs and the Australian Border Force are seeking to establish an auditable, transparent and evidence-based approach to capability lifecycle management. In this report, RAND researchers review domestic and international practices for capability development, define principles for the establishment and implementation of such an approach, propose a detailed framework and identify potential governance models.
The authors of this Perspective discuss current efforts by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) to integrate cyberspace as an operational domain. They examine one particular capability, indications and warning (I&W), that all states should develop to ensure an effective military presence within cyberspace. Cyber I&W is a relatively new capability; the authors explore existing scholarship and adapt a framework for the NATO context.
This chapter reviews social-scientific principles that modelers should be aware of as they attempt to describe social-behavioral systems.
This chapter draws on lessons from the use of social science in marketing research to suggest methods for governments to use in learning about how to use soft-power tactics to improve collaboration with communities and citizens alike.
Cultural inheritance is important but has been difficult to study (Galton's problem). This chapter illustrates use of new computational methods for doing so, although this will require gathering more cultural data than has been customary.
This chapter draws on lessons from other domains to suggest ways for social-behavioral modeling to be useful in aiding high-level decision-making on both national security and social-policy issues.
We identify priority challenges for SB modeling. These involve dealing with complex adaptive systems and deep uncertainty, but also cultural issues such as better relating data-driven and theory-driven research and seeking more coherent models.