Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition
We can act together to shape the future, even when we can’t predict what the future will be. This is not a new insight, but the tools of traditional policy analysis don’t reflect this wisdom and often can get in the way. Fortunately, new concepts and tools for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) can help us navigate more successfully in these tumultuous times.
The RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition was established in 2001 through a generous $5 million pledge from RAND alumnus Frederick S. Pardee. The Pardee Center serves as a RAND laboratory for methods innovation in DMDU, using its funding to catalyze research into new methods, seed new projects using these methods, and disseminate DMDU methods within and outside RAND.
Today our work focuses on three interconnected areas: climate change, participatory engagement, and policy analysis for complex systems.
Building trust in climate equity projects is crucial for their success and long-term impact. RAND's climate equity-centered deliberative conversations are designed to increase diverse stakeholders’ cultural awareness, interaction, and discussion around these difficult topics.
Research Focus Areas
The path to decarbonization, long-term greenhouse gas emission reduction strategies, climate policy options. Pardee Center researchers have studied and are continuing to examine the effects of climate change.
Today’s most pressing policy challenges require expert analysis to address. But public participation can also be essential to the decisionmaking process. The Pardee Center advances the state of the art in analytic facilitation of participatory processes.
Some of the most pressing policy tasks for long-term improvement of society require understanding, managing, and shaping complex adaptive systems (CAS). Complexity is an increasingly salient feature of many of today’s most difficult policy challenges
News and Commentary
Robotaxis are a complex tangle of technology and services with multiple stakeholders, so regulation is messy. There is, however, a process that has been designed to deal with such messy situations. It's called decisionmaking under deep uncertainty.
Similar to cannabis a decade ago, the United States is in the early days of legalizing some psychedelics for nonmedical purposes. Student Michelle Priest and Professor Beau Kilmer say now is the time to make thoughtful choices.
When Congress considers a new law or spending package, analysts calculate its likely impact on the federal budget. When it comes to climate change legislation, those numbers don't capture the whole picture. Potential savings and other benefits get significantly underestimated.