Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition

We can act together to shape the future, even when we can’t predict what the future will be. This is not a new insight, but the tools of traditional policy analysis don’t reflect this wisdom and often can get in the way. Fortunately, new concepts and tools for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) can help us navigate more successfully in these tumultuous times.

The RAND Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition was established in 2001 through a generous $5 million pledge from RAND alumnus Frederick S. Pardee. The Pardee Center serves as a RAND laboratory for methods innovation in DMDU, using its funding to catalyze research into new methods, seed new projects using these methods, and disseminate DMDU methods within and outside RAND.

Today our work focuses on three interconnected areas: climate change, participatory engagement, and policy analysis for complex systems.

Learn more

Featured Project

  • Climate-Equity Centered Deliberative Conversations

    Building trust in climate equity projects is crucial for their success and long-term impact. RAND's climate equity-centered deliberative conversations are designed to increase diverse stakeholders’ cultural awareness, interaction, and discussion around these difficult topics.

Research Focus Areas

  • Climate Change

    The path to decarbonization, long-term greenhouse gas emission reduction strategies, climate policy options. Pardee Center researchers have studied and are continuing to examine the effects of climate change.

  • Participatory Planning

    Today’s most pressing policy challenges require expert analysis to address. But public participation can also be essential to the decisionmaking process. The Pardee Center advances the state of the art in analytic facilitation of participatory processes.

  • Policy Analysis for Complex Systems

    Some of the most pressing policy tasks for long-term improvement of society require understanding, managing, and shaping complex adaptive systems (CAS). Complexity is an increasingly salient feature of many of today’s most difficult policy challenges

News and Commentary

  • Reining in the Risks of Robotaxis

    Robotaxis are a complex tangle of technology and services with multiple stakeholders, so regulation is messy. There is, however, a process that has been designed to deal with such messy situations. It's called decisionmaking under deep uncertainty.

    Feb 5, 2024

  • Treat Psychedelics Like Cannabis?

    Similar to cannabis a decade ago, the United States is in the early days of legalizing some psychedelics for nonmedical purposes. Student Michelle Priest and Professor Beau Kilmer say now is the time to make thoughtful choices.

    Dec 13, 2023

  • Budget Models Are Underselling the Benefits of Solving Climate Problems

    When Congress considers a new law or spending package, analysts calculate its likely impact on the federal budget. When it comes to climate change legislation, those numbers don't capture the whole picture. Potential savings and other benefits get significantly underestimated.

    Nov 15, 2023