Pardee Center Projects

Pardee Center staff participate in myriad projects at RAND and with collaborating universities on research that involves Robust Decision Making. Some of these projects are highlighted here.


  • Robust Stormwater Management in the Pittsburgh Region

    The city of Pittsburgh and its surrounding region face significant—and potentially growing—stormwater management challenges. Analysis can help better understand the system's vulnerabilities and identify solutions.

  • RAND Releases Evaluation of the Jinan City Water Ecological Development Implementation Plan

    The Jinan Municipal Water Resources Bureau, with support from the Shandong Provincial Department of Water Resources, asked RAND to evaluate potential effects of demand and climate uncertainties on investments recently undertaken according to the Jinan City Water Ecological Development Implementation Plan. The RAND research team, led by David Groves and Debra Knopman, also assessed the potential of new investments and management strategies to help Jinan meet its long-term water resources goals.

  • Scenarios on Demand to Allow Users to Consider Vulnerabilities of Climate Policies

    Researchers are developing an online tool that lets users choose a policy goal then virtually stress-test the policy over thousands of plausible futures to identify the factors that highlight when the policy will meet or miss the goal.

  • Robust Decisionmaking May Help EPA's National Water Plan Manage Climate and Other Uncertainties

    Maintaining safe and reliable water supplies depends on timely investments in water treatment, storage, and delivery infrastructure. RAND undertook a project for the EPA to determine the utility of Robust Decision Making (RDM) methods for evaluating the agency's needs and priorities under the National Water Program.

  • Enhancing the Climate Resilience of Africa's Infrastructure

    Working with the World Bank, RAND researchers used robust decision methods to provide the first continent-wide evaluation of the potential effects of climate change on such investments. They also examined the potential impacts of climate change on five specific hydropower and irrigation projects.

  • RDMlab Innovates in Development of Robust Decision Sciences

    A collaboration among RAND, the Pardee RAND Graduate School, Evolving Logic, and network partners, RDMlab promotes the development and use of Robust Decision Making (RDM) methods for policy and decisionmaking.

  • Evaluating Robust Water Management Strategies for the Colorado River Basin

    RAND worked with the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation and Colorado River Basin states to apply innovative robust decision methods to evaluate thousands of plausible futures on the Colorado River and develop and compare strategies to address future vulnerabilities.

  • Examining Analytic Tools to Evaluate Policies for Market Transformations

    Limiting climate change requires a transformation of energy and transportation systems. RAND researchers designed a policy simulation tool and supporting decision framework to examine how alternative designs of market-based policy instruments might or might not facilitate such transformations.

  • Ensuring Robust Flood Risk Management in Vietnam

    Ho Chi Minh City faces significant and growing flood risk. Recent risk reduction efforts may not work if climate and socio-economic conditions diverge from earlier projections. Robust decision making can help Vietnam's largest city develop integrated flood risk management strategies despite this uncertainty.

  • SCRiM Examines Sustainable Climate Risk Management

    An $11.9 million award from the NSF will establish a multi-institution research network on Sustainable Climate Risk Management strategies. RAND's Rob Lempert is the co-principal investigator of the network.

  • Robust Defense Planning Under Conditions of Complexity And Deep Uncertainty

    In an era of growing uncertainty and corresponding complexity in the global security environment, the U.S. Defense Department has asked RAND to improve the value and character of defense resource planning by applying its robust decision making methodology to the area of national security.

  • Reducing New Orleans Storm-Surge Flood Risk in an Uncertain Future

    Preparing for natural disasters is a long, multi-faceted process that requires years of planning, coordination, and direct action. RAND has developed a new approach for assessing hurricane flood risk in New Orleans under uncertainty and evaluating city-wide approaches for reducing this risk.

  • Modeling Climate Change Threat Can Help Improve Policy Decisions

    Climate change presents decisionmakers with a fundamental quandary: how to address a potentially serious, long-term, and uncertain threat. A joint project of RAND Infrastructure, Safety, and Environment and the RAND Pardee Center sought to address this problem through basic research and computer modeling.

  • Adaptive Management of the L.A. Metropolitan Water District's Integrated Resources Plan

    The 2010 Integrated Resource Plan Update developed by the Los Angeles Metropolitan Water District (MWD) includes a preferred resource mix as well as an adaptive management approach to monitor key trends and modify the resource mix as necessary. RAND helped the MWD determine which trends are most useful to monitor.

  • Testing the Scenario Hypothesis: The Effect of Alternative Characterizations of Uncertainty on Decision Structuring

    Decision support processes employing scenarios to characterize deep uncertainty may help contentious groups make more effective decisions than processes that characterize uncertainty using a single set of best-estimate probability distributions. Researchers are testing this hypothesis with an experiment using a fisheries model.

  • Informing Climate-Related Decisions with Earth Systems Models

    An interdisciplinary grand challenge seeks to develop next-generation Earth System Models (EaSMs) not only to improve fundamental scientific understanding of the climate and related systems but also to improve decision makers' ability to proactively plan for the impacts of climate variability and change.

  • Robust Water Management Strategies for the Inland Empire Utilities Agency

    As part of a multiyear study on climate-change decisionmaking under uncertainty, RAND researchers worked with water agencies in California to help them better understand how climate change might affect their systems and what actions, if any, they should take to address this challenge.