A Probabilistic Forecasting Methodology Applied to Electric Energy Consumption 1973
Probabilistic forecasting is presented as a technique required when the period to be described is in the far future and the relationships are complex.
Futures Methodologies: Probabilistic Forecasts
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An Experiment in Probabilistic Forecasting 1973
Describes an experiment in forecasting economic, political, and military events, expressing uncertainty with explicit probabilities.
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Probabilistic Forecasts and Reproducing Scoring Systems 1970
Discusses ways to exploit in probabilistic terms the judgment of experts on political, economic, or military problems — frequently the best information available.