Published Research

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Report
Conflict Projections in U.S. Central Command: Incorporating Climate Change
This report presents an analysis of the impact of climate change on the frequency of conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility.
Nov 29, 2023
Mark Toukan, Stephen Watts, Emily Allendorf, Jeffrey Martini, Karen M. Sudkamp, Nathan Chandler, Maggie Habib
Report
Pathways from Climate Change to Conflict in U.S. Central Command
This report presents an analysis of the pathways from climate change to conflict and how that relationship is unfolding in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility.
Nov 29, 2023
Nathan Chandler, Jeffrey Martini, Karen M. Sudkamp, Maggie Habib, Benjamin J. Sacks, Zohan Hasan Tariq
Report
Mischief, Malevolence, or Indifference? How Competitors and Adversaries Could Exploit Climate-Related Conflict in the U.S. Central Command Area of Responsibility
This report presents an analysis of how U.S. competitors and adversaries — China, Russia, and Iran — could attempt to exploit climate-related conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility in future decades.
Nov 29, 2023
Howard J. Shatz, Karen M. Sudkamp, Jeffrey Martini, Mohammad Ahmadi, Derek Grossman, Kotryna Jukneviciute
Report
A Hotter and Drier Future Ahead: An Assessment of Climate Change in U.S. Central Command
This report characterizes how climate hazards will affect the physical environment in the U.S. Central Command's area of responsibility in 2035, 2050, and 2070.
Nov 29, 2023
Michelle E. Miro, Flannery Dolan, Karen M. Sudkamp, Jeffrey Martini, Karishma V. Patel, Carlos Calvo Hernandez
Commentary
A Framework for Building a Civil Reserve Space Program: Applicability of U.S. Transportation Command’s Commercial Partnership Models
The U.S. Department of Defense could develop a civil reserve space program to meet surge needs for space capabilities in crisis or wartime. The authors examine key elements that would contribute to this program's success.
Nov 29, 2023
Yool Kim, George Nacouzi
Testimony
Enhancing Security in a Changing Arctic
Testimony submitted to the U.S. House Committee on Homeland Security on November 29, 2023.
Nov 29, 2023
Abbie Tingstad
Report
The Limits of Russian Manipulation: National Identity and the Origins of the War in Ukraine
Using the concept of national identity as a starting point, RAND researchers developed a framework in an effort to illuminate the underlying causes of Russian manipulation, Ukrainian resistance, and the Russia-Ukraine war.
Nov 29, 2023
Clint Reach, Ryan Bauer, Alyssa Demus, Khrystyna Holynska
Report
U.S.-Japan Alliance Conference: The U.S.-Japan Alliance in an Era of Strategic Competition
These proceedings present insights that experts of Europe, Japan, Taiwan, and U.S. security policies presented at RAND Corporation–hosted virtual conferences that explored relevant issues on the U.S.-Japan alliance regarding strategic competition.
Nov 29, 2023
Jeffrey W. Hornung
Journal Article
Growth in Suicide Rates Among Children During the Illicit Opioid Crisis
This paper shows how the transition of the opioid crisis to illicit opioids increased suicide rates among children.
Nov 29, 2023
David Powell
Journal Article
Insurance Coverage During Transitions: Evidence from Medicaid Automatic Enrollment for Children Receiving Supplemental Security Income
We examine the relationship between SSI-Medicaid automatic enrollment and insurance coverage. Medicaid automatic enrollment policies are associated with increased insurance coverage for SSI children, particularly when transitioning into the program.
Nov 29, 2023
Stephanie Rennane, Danielle Sobol, Bradley D. Stein, Andrew W. Dick
Research Brief
Greater Conflict-Phase Access to Asia: U.S. Policies for Five Indo-Pacific Countries
This research brief addresses how U.S. allies and partners are likely to make decisions about granting approval for U.S. military access during a conflict and what U.S. policies in peacetime could affect those decisions.
Nov 28, 2023
Bryan Frederick, Kristen Gunness, Gabrielle Tarini, Andrew Stravers, Michael J. Mazarr, Emily Ellinger, Jonah Blank, Shawn Cochran, Jeffrey W. Hornung, Lyle J. Morris, Jordan Ernstsen, Lydia Grek, Howard Wang, Lev Navarre Chao
Report
Improving Conflict-Phase Access: Identifying U.S. Policy Levers
This report explores how U.S. allies and partners in the Indo-Pacific are likely to respond to military access requests in the event of a conflict with China and what policy levers the United States might use in peacetime to affect those responses.
Nov 28, 2023
Bryan Frederick, Kristen Gunness, Gabrielle Tarini, Andrew Stravers, Michael J. Mazarr, Emily Ellinger, Jonah Blank, Shawn Cochran, Jeffrey W. Hornung, Lyle J. Morris, Jordan Ernstsen, Lydia Grek, Howard Wang, Lev Navarre Chao
Report
Designing A Strange Game: A Nuclear Wargame for the 21st Century
This report details the theoretical motivation and design of a wargame meant to address the lack of serious games that consider nuclear weapon employment and tools available to teach stakeholders about the challenges of nuclear weapon employment.
Nov 28, 2023
Stephen M. Worman, David R. Frelinger, David A. Shlapak, Katherine Pfrommer, Kelly Elizabeth Eusebi, Jenny Oberholtzer
Tool
A Toolkit for Community-Police Dialogue
This guide provides background on the purpose for the development of the RAND Corporation’s community-police dialogue exercise, guidance for planning and implementing the dialogue, and materials to help carry out the dialogue effectively.
Nov 27, 2023
Dionne Barnes-Proby, Samuel Peterson, Alexandra Mendoza-Graf, Pierrce Holmes, Danielle Sobol, Nipher Malika, Meagan Cahill
Journal Article
Can Scenarios Help Policymakers Be Both Bold and Careful?
Low-probability and high-impact events have the potential to escalate into systemic crises. Developing the tools to anticipate and manage these scenarios is the focus of this volume.
Nov 27, 2023
Robert J. Lempert
Journal Article
Estimating the Lifetime Prevalence of Incarceration in the U.S. Veteran Population
This brief report estimates the lifetime prevalence of incarceration among U.S. military veterans using data from three nationally representative U.S. samples.
Nov 27, 2023
Jack Tsai, Robert H. Pietrzak, Stephanie Brooks Holliday, Shoba Sreenivasan
Journal Article
A Comparative Look at Various Countries' Legal Regimes Governing Automated Vehicles
This article summarizes the makeup of AV legal regimes of Australia, China, France, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom, with a focus on law and policy relating to highly to fully automated vehicles.
Nov 27, 2023
Brittany Eastman, Shay Collins, Ryan Jones, J.J. Martin, Marjory S. Blumenthal, Karlyn D. Stanley
Report
Testing the Efficacy of Pretrial Diversion: A Randomized Trial at the San Francisco Neighborhood Courts
An evaluation of Neighborhood Court, a restorative justice diversion program, indicates a statistically insignificant reduction in recidivism, positive perceptions of the program among stakeholders, and a public willingness to pay for its features.
Nov 27, 2023
Melissa M. Labriola, Jessie Coe, Isaac M. Opper, Danielle Sobol, Amy Mahler
Journal Article
Written Evidence Submitted by RAND Europe: MIN0040 Critical Minerals
This document provides RAND Europe’s submission of evidence in relation to the UK House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee’s Call for Evidence on Critical Minerals and draws upon previous RAND research on critical minerals and supply chains.
Nov 22, 2023
Jacopo Bellasio, Kristin Thue, Maria Chiara Aquilino, Sarah Winder, James Black
Journal Article
Within‐Physician Differences in Patient Sharing Between Primary Care Physicians and Cardiologists Who Treat White and Black Patients With Heart Disease
Within-physician Black-White differences in patient sharing exist and may contribute to disparities in cardiac care.
Nov 22, 2023
Luke J. Matthews, Cheryl L. Damberg, Shiyuan Zhang, Jose J. Escarce, C. Ben Gibson, Megan S. Schuler, Ioana Popescu

Published Research

Featured Publications

Resisting Russia: Insights into Ukraine's Civilian-Based Actions During the First Four Months of the War in 2022 2023

All Work and No Pay — Teachers' Perceptions of Their Pay and Hours Worked: Findings from the 2023 State of the American Teacher Survey 2023

National Public Defense Workload Study 2023

Preparing for Great Power Conflict: How Experience Shapes U.S. and Chinese Military Training 2023

Exploring Ohio's Pipeline of Manufacturing Workers: Summary of Key Findings 2023

One- to Four-Family Properties with Multiple Losses Insured by the National Flood Insurance Program: Property Characteristics, Community Demographics, and Mitigation Strategies 2023