Published Research

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Testimony
Addressing the Recruiting Crisis in the Armed Services: Insights from Research
Testimony presented before the U.S. House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, Subcommittee on Coast Guard and Maritime Transportation on May 11, 2023.
May 11, 2023
Beth J. Asch
Research Brief
Key Findings from RAND Health Care Research on Telehealth Policy
RAND Health Care researchers used public and private data, such as data from health care claims, to understand telehealth’s effect on health care delivery and how it affects care quality, access, and equity.
May 11, 2023
Lori Uscher-Pines, Shira H. Fischer
Report
Living Wages in Los Angeles County's Homeless Response Sector
This report documents the challenges associated with not paying workers in the homeless response sector a living wage and highlights the potential impacts of higher pay for these workers.
May 10, 2023
Lisa Abraham, Sarah B. Hunter, Samantha Matthews, Alex Sizemore
Journal Article
Risk Perception of the COVID-19 Vaccines: Revisiting the Psychometric Paradigm
Americans' concerns about the risks of vaccination are rising in recent years. A national survey (N=1025) conducted in August 2021 reflects this trend in risk perception of the COVID-19 vaccines.
May 9, 2023
Jody Chin Sing Wong, Janet Z. Yang
Report
Alternative Futures Following a Great Power War: Volume 1, Scenarios, Findings, and Recommendations
RAND researchers generated four plausible near-term great power war scenarios and assessed how they could shape the postwar strategic environment.
May 9, 2023
Miranda Priebe, Bryan Frederick, Anika Binnendijk, Alexandra T. Evans, Karl P. Mueller, Cortez A. III Cooper, James Benkowski, Asha Clark, Stephanie Anne Pillion
Report
Alternative Futures Following a Great Power War: Volume 2, Supporting Material on Historical Great Power Wars
To inform a project on the aftermath of great power wars, the author examined ten conflicts since 1853. This volume presents brief historical summaries and assesses past forecasts of the duration, intensity, stakes, and consequences of each war.
May 9, 2023
Alexandra T. Evans
Research Brief
The Aftermath of a Great Power War
RAND researchers drew on historical great power wars to develop four scenarios illustrating how hypothetical wars between the United States and either China or Russia could produce unanticipated consequences — even for the state that is victorious.
May 9, 2023
Miranda Priebe, Bryan Frederick, Anika Binnendijk, Alexandra T. Evans, Karl P. Mueller, Cortez A. III Cooper, James Benkowski, Asha Clark, Stephanie Anne Pillion
Research Brief
Labor Trafficking in the United States: Current and Future Research
Reducing the prevalence of human trafficking is a national priority. This brief summarizes the research needs for addressing labor trafficking policy and enforcement.
May 9, 2023
Joe Eyerman, Melissa M. Labriola, Bella González
Report
Current and Future Research on Labor Trafficking in the United States
Reducing the prevalence of human trafficking is a national priority. In this report, researchers recommend a research agenda for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security to address labor trafficking policy and enforcement.
May 9, 2023
Joe Eyerman, Melissa M. Labriola, Bella González
Report
Elicitation of Climate Information to Support Water Agency Planning: Report of a Workshop with the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission
Expert elicitation can supplement information from climate models to support adaptation planning. This report describes how the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission used elicitation to identify climate impacts on the city's water supply.
May 8, 2023
Robert J. Lempert, Sandra H. Berry, Stephanie Tanverakul
Report
Community and Individual Disaster Resilience for Floods: Options for Improving Protective Action Guidance
This report describes options for Department of Homeland Security officials to improve protective action flood guidance and messaging in response to growing flood risks that continue to cause adverse effects and threaten lives and property.
May 8, 2023
Rachel Steratore, Aaron Clark-Ginsberg, Shoshana R. Shelton, Nipher Malika, Kristin J. Leuschner, Tucker Reese
Journal Article
CalAIM and Specialty Behavioral Health Care: Lessons from Other States on Value-Based Payment
This report examines the experience of state Medicaid agencies with implementation of value-based payment models for behavioral health care and the implications of that experience for future payment reform in California.
May 5, 2023
Joshua Breslau, Marcela Horvitz-Lennon, Nicole K. Eberhart, Jonathan S. Levin, Jonah Kushner, Mallika Bhandarkar
Journal Article
Projected Long-Term Effects of Colorectal Cancer Screening Disruptions Following the COVID-19 Pandemic
This comparative analysis uses two CISNET colorectal cancer (CRC) microsimulation models to assess the impact of ongoing screening disruptions induced by the COVID-19 pandemic on long-term CRC outcomes.
May 5, 2023
Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Rosita van den Puttelaar, Anne I. Hahn, Matthias Harlass, Nicholson Collier, Jonathan Ozik, Ann G. Zauber, Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar, Carolyn M. Rutter
Report
The Backbone of U.S. Joint Operations: Army Roles in the Indo-Pacific
The authors of this report seek to provide an engaging and structured illustrated narrative to more clearly describe the U.S. Army's role throughout the Indo-Pacific region in the present day and into 2035.
May 5, 2023
Abby Doll, Yvonne K. Crane, Gian Gentile, D. Sean Barnett, John IV Gordon, Timothy R. Heath, Jeffrey W. Hornung, Mark Hvizda, Sale Lilly, Bradley Martin, David A. Ochmanek, Stephanie Anne Pillion, Barry Wilson, Emily Yoder
Journal Article
Is China Planning to Attack Taiwan? A Careful Consideration of Available Evidence Says No
Is China preparing to invade Taiwan within the next two decades? In the past year, fears that war could break out in the Taiwan Strait have grown palpable, owing in large part to the shock of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
May 5, 2023
Timothy R. Heath
Journal Article
Could Beijing Risk a Diversionary War Against Taiwan?
The combination of a weakening strategic situation and an increasingly despotic regime has left Xi with few constraints on his power, leaving many to fear that he could risk military adventurism as a diversion from China's deteriorating situation.
May 5, 2023
Timothy R. Heath
Journal Article
Wargames Can't Tell Us How to Deter a Chinese Attack on Taiwan — But Different Games Might
Wargames that simulate combat between the United States and China near Taiwan can provide useful insight about potential military challenges.
May 5, 2023
Timothy R. Heath
Journal Article
Barriers and Facilitators to Home- and Community-Based Services Access for Persons With Dementia and Their Caregivers
Barriers to HCBS access for persons with dementia range from community and infrastructure barriers (e.g., clinicians and cultural differences), to interpersonal and individual-level barriers (e.g., caregivers, awareness, and attitudes).
May 4, 2023
Molly Waymouth, Daniel Siconolfi, Esther M. Friedman, Debra Saliba, Sangeeta C. Ahluwalia, Regina A. Shih
Journal Article
State Experiences Linking Medicaid Data With Birth Certificates and Other Data Sources
We completed a literature review, developed an inventory of linkage efforts, and facilitated discussions to understand the technical details, experiences creating and maintaining linkages, and barriers or facilitators to establishing linkages.
May 4, 2023
Zachary Predmore, Sara E. Heins, Emily Hoch, Sangita M. Baxi, Violanda Grigorescu, Scott R. Smith
Journal Article
Treatment Goals for Rheumatoid Arthritis: Patient Engagement and Goal Collection
We worked with a steering committee and surveyed patients with rheumatoid arthritis to test a new method for engaging patients in healthcare valuation using patient goals.
May 4, 2023
Zachary Predmore, Emily K. Chen, Thomas W. Concannon, Suzanne Schrandt, Susan J. Bartlett, Clifton O. Bingham, Richard Z. Xie, Richard H. Chapman, Lori Frank

Published Research

Featured Publications

The Science of Gun Policy: A Critical Synthesis of Research Evidence on the Effects of Gun Policies in the United States, Third Edition 2023

Little in Common: Prospects for U.S.-China and U.S.-Russia Security Cooperation 2023

Assessing Pittsburgh's Science- and Technology-Focused Workforce Ecosystem 2023

Expanding Army Cooperation Between the United States and France in the Indo-Pacific 2023

Evaluation of Mental Health First Aid in New York City 2023

Gaining Victory in Systems Warfare: China's Perspective on the U.S.-China Military Balance 2023