Published Research

We disseminate the results of our work as broadly as possible to benefit the public good. Tens of thousands of RAND publications are available as free downloads, dating back to 1946.

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Report
Reviewing, Refining, and Validating Claims-Based Algorithms of Frailty and Functional Impairment: Final Report
The authors developed new claims-based frailty algorithms that were validated using patient assessment data from post-acute care providers. They then compared the performance of the new algorithms with existing claims-based frailty algorithms.
Nov 6, 2023
Sara E. Heins, Denis Agniel, Jacob Mann, Melony E. Sorbero
Report
Reducing Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Technical Violations of Probation or Parole Supervision
This report presents findings from an expert panel that explored ways to reduce racial and ethnic disparities in the handling of technical violations of probation and parole — violations that, while not criminal, can be a driver of incarceration.
Nov 6, 2023
Joe Russo, Samuel Peterson, Michael J. D. Vermeer, Dulani Woods, Brian A. Jackson
Report
A Revised Recruiting Resource Model for Achieving the Army Personnel Strategy: Accounting for Digital Advertising
Using an updated version of RAND’s Recruiting Resource Model, the authors analyze how observed and alternative mixes of advertising, recruiters, and bonuses affect the Army’s ability to achieve recruiting goals and the cost of doing so.
Nov 6, 2023
Jason M. Ward, Jeffrey B. Wenger, Irineo Cabreros, Daniel Schwam, Craig A. Bond, Samuel Absher
Commentary
AI and Geopolitics: How Might AI Affect the Rise and Fall of Nations?
Public policy has not yet caught up to the rapidly expanding use of artificial intelligence (AI) by both states and private entities. The authors of this paper describe potential futures for the use and regulation of AI.
Nov 3, 2023
Barry Pavel, Ivana Ke, Michael Spirtas, James Ryseff, Lea Sabbag, Gregory Smith, Keller Scholl, Domenique Lumpkin
Journal Article
Vertical Integration of General Practices with Acute Hospitals in England: Rapid Impact Evaluation
This study drew on previous research into NHS hospitals taking over running general practices, and evaluated whether hospital-run practices affect patient satisfaction and attendance, including for patients with long-term conditions.
Nov 2, 2023
Manbinder Sidhu, Catherine L. Saunders, Charlotte Davies, Gemma McKenna, Frances Wu, Ian Litchfield, Fifi Olumogba, Jon Sussex
Commentary
Supporting the Future Effectiveness of Post-Quantum Cryptography
The authors of this Perspective describe the search for quantum-resistant cryptographic methods, explain options for securing communication from quantum attacks, and argue that research will benefit from open access to results.
Nov 2, 2023
Alvin Moon, Michael J. D. Vermeer
Report
A roadmap for the global energy transition
The Scotia Group and RAND Europe convened a series of Majlis Dialogues to help understand how policies, investments and international cooperation can support the global energy transition. The key points formed a roadmap to inform the transition.
Nov 2, 2023
Cecilia Ang, Hans Pung, Magdalena Douleva
Report
The Road to Reintegration: Status and Continuing Support of the U.S. Air Force's Wounded, Ill, and Injured
How do wounded, injured, or ill airmen feel about their medical and nonmedical care and the services provided by the U.S. Air Force? The authors of this report examine the quality of support provided to those who are wounded, ill, or injured.
Nov 1, 2023
Carra S. Sims, Christine Anne Vaughan, John A. Hamm, Brent Anderson, Angela Clague
Report
Report on the Arctic Capabilities of the U.S. Armed Forces
This report summarizes the findings of research on U.S. and other armed forces' capabilities in the Arctic, the extent to which non-U.S. entities are operating where U.S. forces cannot, and how those operations might affect U.S. national interests.
Nov 1, 2023
Abbie Tingstad, Scott Savitz, Benjamin J. Sacks, Yuliya Shokh, Irina A. Chindea, Scott R. Stephenson, Michael T. Wilson, James G. Kallimani, Kristin Van Abel, Stephanie Pezard, Isabelle Winston, Inez Khan, Dan Abel, Clay McKinney, Yvonne K. Crane, Katheryn Giglio, Sherrill Lingel, Lyle J. Morris
Report
Barriers to the Commercialization and Adoption of New Underground Coal Mining Technologies in the United States
This report characterizes barriers to the development, commercialization, and adoption of new technologies for use in underground coal mining in the United States using input from structured interviews and a workshop with industry representatives.
Nov 1, 2023
Tom LaTourrette, Liam Regan, Kristin Van Abel
Report
Alternatives to profit-maximising commercial models of cannabis supply for non-medical use
This study identifies and analyses alternative profit-maximising commercial models of cannabis supply for non-medical use, providing an overview of the regulatory frameworks for such models and evidence on the consequences of their implementation.
Nov 1, 2023
Mafalda Pardal, Beau Kilmer, Sara d'Auria, Tamara Strabel, Silvia Galimberti, Stijn Hoorens, Tom Decorte, Ben Senator
Report
Exploring red teaming to identify new and emerging risks from AI foundation models
RAND Europe and the Centre for Long-Term Resilience organised a workshop to discuss red teaming as a method to identify the risks and capabilities of artificial intelligence foundation models in the lead up to the AI Safety Summit in November 2023.
Oct 31, 2023
Marie-Laure Hicks, Ella Guest, Jess Whittlestone, Jacob Ohrvik-Stott, Sana Zakaria, Cecilia Ang, Chryssa Politi, Imogen Wade, Salil Gunashekar
Report
Industry and Government Collaboration on Security Guardrails for AI Systems: Summary of the AI Safety and Security Workshops
These conference proceedings capture the industry and government perspectives emerging from a series of workshops in 2023 to inform policymakers and the broader public discussion about artificial intelligence safety and security.
Oct 31, 2023
Gregory Smith, Sydney Kessler, Jeff Alstott, Jim Mitre
Dissertation
Moving Enough People Enough: Assessing the Effectiveness of Disinformation Through the Adoption of Disinformation Rhetoric
Assesses the effects of COVID-19 disinformation narratives on behavioral outcomes, particularly vaccine uptake and ivermectin consumption.
Oct 31, 2023
Erik Van Hegewald
Report
A Diverse and Trusted Workforce: Examining Elements That Could Contribute to the Potential for Bias and Sources of Inequity in National Security Personnel Vetting
The authors explore the potential for bias or sources of inequity related to race or ethnicity, gender, gender identity, sexual orientation, or neurodivergence within the security clearance vetting process.
Oct 31, 2023
Sina Beaghley, Jessica Welburn Paige, David Stebbins, Sarah Zelazny, Samantha Ryan, Amy Burnett Cross
Multimedia
Keeping Up with the Joneses: How Can DoD Address Its Technical Talent Shortage?
The U.S. Department of Defense recognizes that it is struggling to recruit and retain the technical talent it needs. An October 2023 panel discussion examined the factors behind the department’s current shortage of technical talent.
Oct 30, 2023
Diana Gehlhaus, Maria C. Lytell, James Ryseff, Kirsten M. Keller
Report
Alternative Futures for Digital Infrastructure: Insights and Considerations for the Department of Defense
This report summarizes an alternative futures analysis of how the global digital infrastructure could evolve out to 2050 and the military implications of those futures for the United States and China.
Oct 30, 2023
Julia Brackup, Sarah Harting, Daniel Gonzales, Brandon Corbin
Journal Article
Evaluating the Effectiveness of Email-Based Nudges to Reduce Postoperative Opioid Prescribing: Study Protocol of a Randomised Controlled Trial
Study protocol of a randomized controlled trial testing the effectiveness of two behavioral nudges, one based on peer behavior and one based on best practice guidelines, in reducing excessive postoperative opioid prescriptions.
Oct 30, 2023
Allison Kirkegaard, Zachary Wagner, Louis T. Mariano, Meghan Martinez, Xiaowei Sherry Yan, Robert J. Romanelli, Katherine E. Watkins
Journal Article
How to Assess the Impact of Non-Lethal Weapons
A RAND team used a structure called a "logic model" to assess the tactical, operational, and strategic impact of non-lethal weapons. This article characterizes what these systems and operations are intended to achieve and how they do so.
Oct 30, 2023
Krista Romita Grocholski, Scott Savitz
Report
Options for Strengthening ROK Nuclear Assurance
Many in the Republic of Korea (ROK) are not feeling assured by the U.S. nuclear umbrella. The authors propose options for strengthening that assurance, including enhancing strategic clarity and committing U.S. nuclear weapons to support the ROK.
Oct 29, 2023
Bruce W. Bennett, Kang Choi, Cortez A. III Cooper, Bruce E., Jr. Bechtol, Myong-Hyun Go, Gregory S. Jones, Du-Hyeogn Cha, Uk Yang

Published Research

Featured Publications

Resisting Russia: Insights into Ukraine's Civilian-Based Actions During the First Four Months of the War in 2022 2023

All Work and No Pay — Teachers' Perceptions of Their Pay and Hours Worked: Findings from the 2023 State of the American Teacher Survey 2023

National Public Defense Workload Study 2023

Preparing for Great Power Conflict: How Experience Shapes U.S. and Chinese Military Training 2023

Exploring Ohio's Pipeline of Manufacturing Workers: Summary of Key Findings 2023

One- to Four-Family Properties with Multiple Losses Insured by the National Flood Insurance Program: Property Characteristics, Community Demographics, and Mitigation Strategies 2023