Published Research

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Report

Consequences of a Precipitous U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan

In December 2018, President Donald Trump directed the Secretary of Defense to reduce the U.S. troop presence in Afghanistan by half. In this paper, the authors consider the likely effects of an early and complete or near-complete departure.

Jan 16, 2019

James Dobbins, Jason H. Campbell, Sean Mann, Laurel E. Miller
Research Brief

Countering Sectarianism in the Middle East: Lessons from Lebanon, Bahrain, Syria, and Iraq

This research draws lessons on how to promote resilience to sectarianism and cross-sectarian cooperation through an exploration of four Middle Eastern case studies: Lebanon, Bahrain, Syria, and Iraq.

Jan 14, 2019

Jeffrey Martini, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Becca Wasser, Amanda Rizkallah, Justin Gengler, Kathleen Reedy, Ami Carpenter
Report

Countering Sectarianism in the Middle East

What drives sectarianism in the Middle East? This report explores how communities inoculate themselves from sectarianism or recover from it and draws lessons on how to promote resilience and cross-sectarian cooperation.

Jan 14, 2019

Jeffrey Martini, Dalia Dassa Kaye, Becca Wasser, Amanda Rizkallah, Justin Gengler, Kathleen Reedy, Ami Carpenter
Journal Article

Addressing Uncertainty in Developing Long-Term Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Strategies

Long-term strategies (LTSs). and the body of research on which they are based, offer strategies of how each nation can achieve a prosperous future with no or low greenhouse gas emissions. But current LTSs rest on methods insufficient to meet the challenges of the Paris Agreement.

Jan 11, 2019

Robert J. Lempert
Journal Article

Journal Article

Examining the Effectiveness of Risk Elicitations: Comparing a Deliberative Risk Ranking to a Nationally Representative Survey on Homeland Security Risk

This paper compares the Deliberative Method for Ranking Risks to results from a nationally representative survey. We find evidence that the Deliberative Method for Ranking Risks produces more informed rankings with less evidence of bias.

Jan 11, 2019

Russell Lundberg, Henry H. Willis
Research Brief

Holistic Representation: An Innovative Approach to Defending Poor Clients Can Reduce Incarceration and Save Taxpayer Dollars — Without Harm to Public Safety

Holistic defense is an innovative and promising approach to defending poor clients in criminal cases, and this brief summarizes the first large-scale empirical evaluation of the impact of holistic representation on criminal justice outcomes.

Jan 11, 2019

James M. Anderson, Maya Buenaventura, Paul Heaton
Tool

Four Problems on the Korean Peninsula: North Korea's Expanding Nuclear Capabilities Drive a Complex Set of Problems

This toolkit provides visualizations illuminating four Korea-related problems: North Korea's nuclear arsenal, North Korean artillery systems, evacuating South Korean population centers, and securing North Korean nuclear weapons and facilities.

Jan 11, 2019

Gian Gentile, Yvonne K. Crane, Dan Madden, Timothy M. Bonds, Bruce W. Bennett, Michael J. Mazarr, Andrew Scobell
Journal Article

Journal Article

Novice School Principals Constructing Their Role Vis-A-Vis External Stakeholders: (Not) Attempting to Be "All Things to All People"

This study examines how novice school principals make sense of different external stakeholders' demands and their own role in relation to external stakeholders during their first year on the job.

Jan 10, 2019

Andrea Prado Tuma, James P. Spillane
Journal Article

Journal Article

Performance Comparison of Solar Photovoltaic Models for Plant Siting in India

India will add 100 GW of solar electric power generation by 2022. This report examines the performance of four annual solar photovoltaic production models against actual generation data from utility-scale plants in Gujarat, India.

Jan 9, 2019

Kelly Klima, Harshid Sridhar, Vaishalee Dash, Mridula Dixit Bharadwaj, Parveen Kumar, Jay Apt
Brochure

Waging War Beyond the Battlefield: Remarks at the Celebration of 50 Years at RAND

At an event commemorating his 50 years of service at RAND, Brian Michael Jenkins spoke about terrorism and the United States' response to it over the past several decades.

Jan 8, 2019

Brian Michael Jenkins
Journal Article

Journal Article

Qualitative Study of Patient Views on a 'Telephone-First' Approach in General Practice in England: Speaking to the GP by Telephone Before Making Face-to-Face Appointments

A series of interviews to help understand patients' views on a 'telephone-first' approach, in which all appointment requests in general practice are followed by a telephone call from the general practitioner (GP).

Jan 8, 2019

Sarah Ball, Jennifer Newbould, Jennie Corbett, Josephine Exley, Emma Pitchforth, Martin Roland
Journal Article

Journal Article

Crossing Interagency Lines: Enhancing Navy-Coast Guard Cooperation to Combat Gray Zone Conflicts of East Asia

Using the region of East Asia as a case study, paper proposes that greater coordination and interoperability between navies and coast guards should be pursued among States in the region as one prescription to address gray zone challenges.

Jan 8, 2019

Lyle J. Morris
Journal Article

Journal Article

Dynamic Adaptive Pathways in Downscaled Climate Change Scenarios

Dynamic adaptive pathways are introduced as useful tools to draw out which elements of a potentially infinite scenario space connect with decision-relevant aspects of particular climate-related and non-climate-related risks and response options.

Jan 8, 2019

Nicholas A. Cradock-Henry, Bob Frame, Benjamin Lee Preston, Andy Reisinger, Dale Rothman
Periodical

Periodical

RAND Review: January-February 2019

This issue spotlights (1) research on how faith-based organizations promote health and well-being in underserved communities and (2) the Pardee RAND Graduate School's new approach to policy and training the next generation of policy experts.

Jan 7, 2019
Report

A Wage Differential Approach to Managing Special and Incentive Pay

The authors review special and incentive pays and the potential to convert some into a wage differential, finding pays with an incentive to select a longer military obligation more cost-effective and possibly more beneficial than a wage differential.

Jan 7, 2019

James Hosek, Michael G. Mattock, Beth J. Asch
Journal Article

Journal Article

Identifying Climate Service Production Constraints to Adaptation Decision-Making in Sweden

This paper draws on semi-structured interviews across climate service production environments in Sweden and finds that climate service producers experience multiple constraints related to the production and dissemination of actionable information.

Jan 4, 2019

Kathleen M. Ernst, Asa Gerger Swartling, Karin Andre, Benjamin Lee Preston, Richard JT Klein
Report

Advancing Autonomous Systems: An Analysis of Current and Future Technology for Unmanned Maritime Vehicles

In this report, RAND researchers explore current and potential military applications of autonomous systems, focusing especially on unmanned undersea vehicles and unmanned surface vehicles.

Jan 4, 2019

Bradley Martin, Danielle C. Tarraf, Thomas C. Whitmore, Jacob DeWeese, Cedric Kenney, Jon Schmid, Paul DeLuca
Report

Design of Air Force Human Resource Management Governance Board Membership and Processes for Optimal Force Management: Preliminary Discussion and Recommendations

The Air Force has employed two governance structures to oversee human resource development and human resource management. This Perspective reviews the two structures, with analysis of strengths and weaknesses informed by viewpoints of experts.

Jan 4, 2019

Shirley Ross, Charles P. Armentrout
Report

Report

Organizational Dynamics Between the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force, Manpower and Reserve Affairs (SAF/MR) and the Air Force Deputy Chief of Staff for Manpower, Personnel, and Services (AF/A1)

This Perspective offers recommendations on how the relationship between the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force, Manpower and Reserve Affairs and the Air Force Deputy Chief of Staff for Manpower, Personnel, and Services might be further refined.

Jan 4, 2019

Shirley Ross, Charles P. Armentrout
Journal Article

Journal Article

The Enriched Life Scale (ELS): Development, Exploratory Factor Analysis, and Preliminary Construct Validity for U.S. Military Veteran and Civilian Samples

The primary objective of this study was to explore the psychometric properties of the Enriched Life Scale (ELS) in veteran and civilian samples.

Jan 4, 2019

Caroline M. Angel, Mahlet Atakilt Woldetsadik, Nicholas J. Armstrong, Brandon B. Young, Rachel K. Linsner, Rosalinda V. Maury, John M. Pinter

Published Research

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