Afghanistan and Gorbachev's Global Foreign Policy
ResearchPublished 1989
ResearchPublished 1989
By 1987, the prospects that the Soviet army would ever be able to leave Afghanistan in the hands of a secure client communist regime were becoming more and more remote. But the costs of withdrawal seemed too great to contemplate. However, the Gorbachev leadership's ambitious initiatives in both foreign and domestic policy made the costs of an indefinite military occupation even greater. The most important of these were (1) the obstacles that continued occupation would present to the leadership's abilities to generate popular support for its bold domestic reform program; and (2) the insurmountable barrier that an interminable occupation would pose to the leadership's efforts to create a more positive and trustworthy international image for the Soviet Union. It was only by ending the debacle in Afghanistan that the Gorbachev leadership could proceed with its dramatic attempt to maintain the Soviet Union as a major and relevant world power into the 21st century.
This publication is part of the RAND occasional paper (Soviet) series. The occasional paper (Soviet) series was a product of RAND from 1985 to 1992 that was issued jointly by the RAND/UCLA Center for Soviet Studies to facilitate the exchange of ideas among those who shared the research interests of the center and of scholars participating in its research and seminar programs.
This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.
RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.